Wondering what the Galway West Irish General Election odds are? Well then wonder no longer as we have you covered with all the latest odds for this constituency.
We also break down everything you need to know about the constituency including the number of seats available, previous election results and candidate track records.
Galway West General Election Odds
Candidate | Odds | Chance |
|---|---|---|
Noel Grealish (Independent) | 1/8 | 88.9% |
Catherine Connolly (Independent) | 1/5 | 83.3% |
Hildegarde Naughton (Fine Gael) | 4/11 | 73.3% |
Gráinne Seoige (Fianna Fáil) | 4/9 | 69.2% |
John Connolly (Fianna Fáil) | 8/13 | 61.9% |
Mairéad Farrell (Sinn Féin) | 8/13 | 61.9% |
Noel Thomas (Independent Ireland) | 8/11 | 57.9% |
Seán Kyne (Fine Gael) | 11/10 | 47.6% |
Antoin Watters (Sinn Féin) | 9/2 | 18.2% |
Pauline O’Reilly (Green Party) | 33/1 | 2.9% |
Mike Cubbard (Independent) | 40/1 | 2.4% |
Doran McMahon (Irish Freedom Party) | 100/1 | 1% |
Galway West Favourites For Election
Noel Grealish (Independent) – Galway West Favourite For Election
The favourite to be elected in Galway West is Noel Grealish (Independent) at odds of 1/8. Those odds imply that he has an 88.9% chance of being elected in this constituency.
Noel has been a TD for Galway West constituency since the 2002 general election and is formerly of the Progressive Democrats. He supported the Fianna Fáil and Green Party government from 2007 but in 2010 he withdrew his support due to health cuts.
Catherine Connolly (Independent)
According to the latest betting odds, Catherine Connolly (Independent) is the next most likely candidate to earn a seat in Galway West at odds of 1/5. These odds suggest that she has an 83.3% chance of winning a seat in this constituency.
Catherine has been a TD since 2016 and has been serving as the Leas-Cheann Comhairle of Dáil Éireann since July 2020. S he previously served as Chair of the Committee on the Irish Language, the Gaeltacht and the Islands from 2016 to 2020 and Mayor of Galway from 2004 to 2005
Hildegarde Naughton (Fine Gael)
Next up in the Galway West 2024 Irish Election odds is Hildegarde Naughten (Fine Gael) who has been given odds of 1/5 to win a Dáil seat. Those odds imply she has an 83.3% chance of election.
Hildegarde has been a TD for the constituency since 2016 and previously served as Chair of the Committee on Communications, Climate Action and the Environment from 2016 to 2020 and Mayor of Galway from 2011 to 2012. She is currently the Government Chief Whip.
Galway West Breakdown
Number of seats
There are 5 seats up for grabs in Galway West
2020 Galway West General Election Results (Outgoing TDs)
Éamon Ó Cuiv (Fianna Fáil) –14.1% FPV, elected on 8th count
Mairead Farrell (Sinn Féin) – 14% FPV, elected on 8th count
Noel Grealish (Independent) – 13.3% FPV, elected on 8th count
Hildegarde Naughton (Fine Gael) – 9.3% FPV, elected on 12th count
Catherine Connolly (Independent) – 9% FPV, elected on 12th count
Galway West Projected Results
Noel Grealish (Independent) is projected to be the first candidate elected in Galway West according to the latest Politics betting odds at BoyleSports.
Catherine Connolly (Independent) and Hildegarde Naughten (Fine Gael) are also expected to follow and win a seat in the next Dáil.
There looks to be a battle for both the fourth and fifth seats with Gráinne Seoige (Fianna Fáil) and either John Connolly (Fianna Fáil) or Mairéad Farrell (Sinn Féin) taking the fifth and final seat.
Galway West Irish Election Tips
With 5 seats up for grabs in Galway West and the first three candidates money is on for election. This could end up being one of the tightest counts in the country for the final two seats.
The betting suggests that Gráinne Seoige and John Connolly both Fianna Fáil could take the final two seats.
In 2020 Éamon Ó Cuiv topped the poll with 14.1% of the first preference vote with Mairead Farrell, Noel Grealish, Hildegarde Naughton and Catherine Connolly taking the remaining seats.
However, with such a large Independent vote in the constituency, Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland could benefit from plenty of transfers.
Bet on Irish Election Odds at BoyleSports
*Prices are subject to fluctuation.
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