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Spain v England Prediction, Tips & Preview – Euro 2024 Final

Bill Gaine on Jul 12, 2024 at 11:26 AM
Euro 2024 Football 4

We have a Spain v England prediction for you plus betting tips as we break down the odds, team news and matchups ahead of the Euro 2024 Final.

Spain came from behind to defeat France 2-1 and book their place in their first Euro Championship Final since Euro 2012 when they beat Italy by 4 goals to nil.

England arguably put in their strongest showing of the tournament against the Netherlands to come from behind to win 1-2. They now have the opportunity again to win their first-ever Euro Championship having lost against Italy in the Euro 2020 Final.

How To Watch Spain v England

When is Spain v England?

The Euro 2024 Final of Spain v England will take place on Sunday, July 14th at 8.00 pm.

TV Channel

In Ireland, you can watch the Euro 2024 Final on RTÉ2.

In the UK, viewers will have the option of watching the Euro 2024 Final on BBC One and ITV1.

Stream

If you are in Ireland you can stream Spain v England on RTÉ Player.

Those in the UK can stream the big game on BBC iPlayer and ITVX.

Where is Spain v England Being Played?

The Euro 2024 Final between Spain and England will be played in the Olympiastadion, in Berlin, Germany. This stadium has previously hosted the 2006 FIFA World Cup Final and is home to Bundesliga side Hertha Berlin.

Spain v England Betting Odds

Team

Odds

Chance

Spain

13/10

43.5%

England

9/4

30.8%

Draw

9/5

35.7%

Spain are the favourites going into the Euro 2024 Final at odds of 13/10 to win the final in 90 minutes.

England are the underdogs for this final at 9/4 in the 90-minute match betting. Meanwhile, the draw at full-time and subsequent extra-time is seen as a real possibility at 9/5 in the betting.

Handicap Betting

Spain: -1 @ 9/2

England: +1 @ 11/20

Handicap Draw: -1 @ 14/5

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Spain v England Betting Odds Euro 2024 Final

Spain v England Preview

Spain’s Form

Spain opened their 2024 campaign with a 0-1 defeat against Colombia and a 3-3 draw with Brazil during the March friendlies. However, since the start of the summer football window, they’ve turned on the style with now 7 wins in their last 7 international games since June scoring 21 goals and having only conceded 2 goals.

The Spaniards have been the strongest and most consistent side at Euro 2024 having been drawn in the “Group of Death”. They commenced the tournament in flying fashion with a 3-0 victory against Croatia, which was followed by two 1-0 victories against Italy and Albania. They then continued their perfect tournament record coming from behind in the Round of 16 before they convincingly beat Georgia by a 4-1 scoreline.

In the Quarter-Final they were drawn against tournament host Germany and played out arguably the game of the tournament so far. They took the lead through Olmo in the 51st minute before Wirtz rescued the game in the 89th minute for Germany. However, with the game heading to penalties Merino channelled his inner Iniesta scoring in the 119th minute to book their Semi spot.

The Semi-Final against France started in disaster with Kolo-Muani opening the scoring for France in the 9th minute However within less than 20 minutes later the game was turned on its head with a Yamal stunner in the 21st minute and a 25th-minute goal from Olmo which proved to be the winner with Spain controlling the rest of the game and France unable to land that killer blow.

De la Fuente has managed Spain since he was appointed on the 8th of December 2022 following the resignation of Luis Enrique after they were knocked out of the World Cup Round of 16 by Morocco. His record in the job so far has been 15 wins (80%) 2 draws and 2 defeats from 20 games. Throughout Euro 2024 they’ve averaged 17.7 shots per game, 57.4% possession, 89.5% pass completion percentage and 13 aerials won.

Spain's Last Five Results

Spain 2-1 France | June 9th | Win

Spain 2-1 Germany (AET) | July 5th | Win

Spain 4-1 Georgia | June 30th | Win

Albania 0-1 Spain | June 24th | Win

Spain 1-0 Italy | June 20th | Win

5 Wins

England’s Form

England elected to commence their 2024 season with two difficult fixtures which ended in a 0-1 defeat against Brazil and a 2-2 draw against Belgium. Ahead of Euro 2024, they had a routine 3-0 win over Bosnia but were shocked by Iceland (again) losing 0-1 to take their pre-tournament tally for the season to 2 defeats, 1 win and 1 draw scoring 5 goals and conceding 4.

Throughout Euro 2024 England have been putting in sub-standard performances constantly, initially struggling to a 0-1 win over Serbia and drawing 1-1 with Denmark. Following those results, media pressure continued to intensify and despite calls for Southgate to release the shackles and experiment against Slovenia, they put in another drab showing drawing 0-0 which ironically meant they won the group. They got over Slovakia in the Round of 16 by the skin of their teeth. Bellingham's 95th-minute equaliser sent it into extra-time where Kane’s 91st-minute goal proved to be the winner.

Ahead of their Quarter-Final with Switzerland the talk behind their game was generally they had the luck of the draw again and would surely turn on the style this time around. However, an Embolo goal in the 75th minute sent them into a short-lived nightmare scenario before Saka equalised in the 80th minute. Despite being less than impressive they held their nerve from the spot kicks with a 5-3 win.

England, to their credit, put in arguably their best performance of Euro 2024 in the Semi-Final against the Netherlands. Despite Simons’ stunner in the seventh minute, Kane equalised from the spot in the 18th minute. The game looked to be heading for extra-time, but Watkins then stepped up with a top-class finish in the 91st minute and they held on to win the game. England finished the game with the majority of possession (58%), a higher accumulation of XG 1.25 vs 0.54 and more shots 9 vs 7.

Southgate has been in charge since 2016 and despite criticism has brought them to a

4th finish at the 2018 World Cup, Euro 2020 runners-up, a Quarter Final at the 2022 World Cup and now another Euro Championship Final. Throughout the tournament they have averaged 11.2 shots per game, 57.6% of possession, a pass completion rate of 89.8% and 12.7 aerials won.

England’s Last Five Results

Netherlands 1-2 England | July 11th | Win

England 1-1 Switzerland (5-3 Pens) | July 6th | Draw

England 2-1 Slovakia (AET) | June 30th | Win

England 0-0 Slovenia | June 25th | Draw

Denmark 1-1 England | June 20th | Draw

2 Wins and 3 Draws

Spain v England Weather Forecast

The weather is expected to be 22 degrees with no rain.

Spain v England Predicted Lineups

Spain Predicted Starting XI (4-3-3)

GK: Simon

RB: Carvajal, CB: Le Normand, CB: Laporte, LB: Cucurella

RM: Olmo, CM: Rodri, CM: Ruiz

RW Yamal, CF: Morata, LW: Williams

England Predicted Starting XI (3-4-2-1)

GK: Pickford

RCB: Walker, CB: Stones, LCB: Guehi

RM: Saka, CM: Mainoo, CM: Rice, LM: Shaw

AM: Bellingham, AM: Foden

CF: Kane

Spain v England Head-To-Head Results & Stats

All-Time Head-To-Head Record

Spain wins: 10

England wins: 14

Draws: 3

Head-To-Head Results

Spain 2-3 England | Nations League | October 15th, 2018

England 1-2 Spain | Nations League | September 8th, 2018

England 2-2 Spain | Friendly | November 15th, 2016

Spain 2-`0 England | Friendly | November 13th, 2015

England 1-0 Spain | Friendly | November 12th, 2011

Key Players To Watch

Dani Olmo – Spain

The Spanish player of the tournament so far has been RB Leipzig midfielder Dani Olmo (26) who has featured in 5/6 of their games in Euro 2024 and has totalled 3 Goals and 2 Assists including most recently scoring the winner against France in the Semi-Final.

Olmo is an elite dribbler and passer, but one of the most fundamentally underrated features in his game is his strong defensive contribution also ranking highly for interceptions, clearances and tackles compared to other attacking midfielders/wingers.

Kobee Mainoo – England

The English midfield which began the tournament was a disjointed, dysfunctional mess with no coherent structure, especially in midfield. Southgate originally bemoaned the lack of Kalvin Philips for this reason. Trent was trialled in midfield but proved wasteful, Gallagher provided energy but not much on the ball.

Mainoo was brought on for Gallagher against Slovenia and seemed to provide more balance to the team. It’s no surprise either considering the teenage sensation had already shown ability, maturity and composure beyond his years this last 12 months and had already experience helping to stabilise a dysfunctional midfield for his club.

Southgate in recent games has almost by accident stumbled on the Mainoo “solution” and they certainly look to have more balance and cohesion in the middle of the park when Mainoo is on the pitch. Against the Dutch, he put in another strong showing completing 36/42 passes (86%), 2/2 long balls and 1 chance created. In defence, he made 2 interceptions, won 3/3 ground duels and was fouled once.

Spain v England Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Spain 2-0 England

Spain have been the team of the tournament at Euro 2024, but unlike the Spanish sides, they offer far more than the heavily possession-dominant style designed to choke opponents out. Now they also can have direct attacking play led by the ferocious winger duo of Yamal and Williams.

England are into their second successive Euro Championship and despite being less than impressive for the majority of it, signs looked brighter against the Dutch and the argument could be made that they’ve shown their hand far less than Spain have.

Spain should win this game, they look far stronger and are deserving of the title of Euro 2024 Champions. I think they do it in the end comfortably even if England won’t roll over easily.

Best Bet: Spain Win + Under 3.5 Goals

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Spain v England Odds Price Boosts Euro 2024 Final

*Prices are subject to fluctuation.

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