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Argentina v Colombia Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds – 2024 Copa America Final

Bill Gaine on Jul 13, 2024 at 01:19 PM
Copa America Trophy

We have an Argentina v Colombia prediction for you betting tips, odds and team news ahead of the 2024 Copa America Final.

Argentina ran out comfortable 2-0 winners over Canada in their semi-final after goals from Julian Alvarez and Lionel Messi.

Colombia continued their unbeaten streak in their semi-final with Lerma’s 39th-minute goal enough to earn them a 0-1 win over Uruguay.

How To Watch Argentina v Colombia

When is Argentina v Colombia?

Argentina v Colombia will take place on July 15th, Monday morning (Sunday night) at 1 am.

TV Channel

Premier Sports 1

Where is Argentina v Colombia Being Played?

Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida

Argentina v Colombia Odds

Team

Odds

Chance

Argentina

21/20

48.8%

Colombia

19/10

34.5%

Draw

16/5

23.8%

Argentina are favourites at 21/20 to win this final in 90 minutes.

Colombia are 19/10 to be crowned Copa America champions after 90 minutes while the game to be tied at the full-time whistle is 16/5.

Handicap Betting

Argentina -1 @ 10/3

Colombia: +1 @ 8/11

Handicap Draw: +1 @ 5/2

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Argentina v Colombia Betting Odds 2024 Copa America Final

Argentina v Colombia Preview

Argentina’s Form

Argentina have been in brilliant form this year winning their first 4 friendly matches of the season scoring 11 goals and conceding just 1 against El Salvador, Costa Rica, Ecuador and Guatemala before the tournament.

They opened their Copa America defence with a comfortable 2-0 win over Colombia following goals from Alvarez and a late Lautaro Martinez goal in the 88th minute. In their second group game, Lautaro Martinez struck again in the 88th minute to notch a big win and he continued that fine vein of form with a double against Peru.  Another Martinez (Lisandro) scored in the 35th minute against Ecuador and despite being pegged back were eventually able to overcome the Ecuadorian challenge 4-2 on penalties.

Argentina were comfortable favourites ahead of their game against Canada and they duly delivered with a 2-0 victory following goals from Alvarez (22nd minute) and Messi in the 51st minute. It was exactly what they deserved to having had 11 shots for an XG of 2.20 in their 51% of possession compared to Canada who had 9 shots for an XG of 0.78. The interesting thing about this game was the decision to start Alvarez over the tournament’s top-scorer Lautaro Martinez.

Scaloni has been in charge since November 2018  and helped them land the 2022 World. He generally sets his team up in a 4-3-3 formation (but used a 4-4-2 in their last game) and there is naturally plenty of quality in the side. Throughout the tournament, he has averaged 14.4 shots per game, 60.4% possession for a pass completion percentage of 87.5% and 7.6 aerials won per game.

Argentina's Last Five Results

Argentina 2-0 Canada | July 9th | Win

Argentina 1-1 Ecuador (4-2 Pens) | July 4th | Draw

Argentina 2-0 Peru | June 29th | Win

Chile 0-1 Argentina | June 25th | Win

Argentina 2-0 Colombia | June 20th | Win

4 Wins and 1 Draw

Colombia’s Form

Colombia are unbeaten in their last 16 matches with 14 wins and 2 draws. It's no surprise that they opened their year with a 0-1 win over Spain and a 3-2 victory against Romania. Ahead of the Copa America, they extended their winning streak to 8 matches when they defeated the United States 1-5 and Bolivia by 3 goals to nil.

Colombia commenced their Copa campaign with a 2-1 win over Paraguay following goals from Munoz and Lerma before beating Costa Rica 3-0 after goals from Diaz, Sanchez and Cordoba. In their final group game, Munoz got on the scoresheet again, pegging back Brazil for a 1-1 draw. They roared into life for the tournament with a 5-0 win over Panama in the Quarter-Final with Cordoba, Rodriguez, Diaz, Rios and Borja all scoring.

Ahead of their Semi-Final against Uruguay, it was seen as a game where despite Colombia being the favourite, it was a game which could have gone either way.  However, a Lerma goal in the 39th minute meant they booked themselves their Copa America Final ticket. During the game, they had only 38% of possession but were far more efficient in their chance creation amassing an XG of 1.18 from their 11 shots compared to Uruguay’s 0.76 from the same number of shots.

Argentinian Nestor Lorenzo was appointed as Head Coach of the nation on the 2nd of June 2022 and has managed them to 19 wins (76%) and 6 draws from his opening 25 matches with them yet to be defeated under his management. He tends to set the country up in a 4-3-3 formation but in their Semi-Final they set themselves up in a 4-2-3-1 formation. At the Copa America Colombia have averaged 11.8 shots per game, 54.4% possession for a pass completion rate of 83% and 15.8 aerials won.

Colombia's Last Five Results

Uruguay 0-1 Colombia | July 10th | Win

Colombia 5-0 Panama | July 6th | Win

Brazil 1-1 Colombia | July 2nd | Draw

Colombia 3-0 Costa Rica | June 28th | Win

Colombia 2-1 Paraguay | June 24th | Win

4 Wins and 1 Draw

Argentina v Colombia Weather Forecast

The weather is expected to be 27 degrees.

Argentina v Colombia Predicted Lineups

Argentina Predicted Starting XI (4-4-2)

GK: Martinez

RB: Molina, CB: Romero, CB: Martinez, LB: Tagliafico

RM: Di Maria, CM: De Paul, CM: Fernandez, LM: Mac Allister

CF: Messi, CF: Alvarez

Colombia Predicted Starting XI (4-2-3-1)

GK: Vargas

RB: Arias,  CB: Sanchez, CB: Cuesta, LB: Mojica

CM: Uribe, CM: Lerma

RW: Arias,  AM: Rodriguez, LW: Diaz

CF: Cordoba

Argentina v Colombia Head-To-Head Results & Stats

All-Time Head-To-Head Record

Argentina wins: 25

Colombia wins: 9

Draws: 8

Head-To-Head Results

Argentina 1-0 Colombia | World Cup | February 1st, 2022

Argentina 1-1 Colombia | Copa America | July 6th, 2021

Colombia 2-2 Argentina | World Cup | June 8th, 2021

Argentina 0-2 Colombia | Copa America | June 15th, 2019

Colombia 0-0 Argentina | Friendly | September 11th, 2018

Key Players To Watch

Cristian Romero – Argentina

In what is a naturally star-studded Argentinian squad their top performer at the tournament hasn’t been one of the exciting attackers (not even mentioning Messi) or their World Class midfielders, rather it has been the Tottenham defender Cristian Romero (26)

He has played in every game of the tournament for Argentina including a Man of the Match display against Chile during the group stage. Romero is an all-round defender who is strong aerially, a proficient attacker and regularly intercepts attackers while also having the passing ability of a modern-day defender.

James Rodriguez – Colombia

Speaking of Real Madrid footballers, former Real attacker veteran James Rodriquez (32) who will turn 33 on the 12th of July has rolled back the years with his performances during the tournament being man of the match on three occasions.

Rodriguez now plays his club football with Sao Paulo but maintains the skill and class in their win against Uruguay he assisted the Lerma winner which took his tournament tally to 1 Goal and 5 Assists from 5 games. This is a game which could come down to one goal and Rodriguez could be the key to unlocking the Argentinian defence.

Argentina v Colombia Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Argentina 0-1 Colombia

Argentina are naturally favourites for this game as the reigning World Cup Champions they’re unbeaten 10 games with 9 wins and 1 draw and only seemed in trouble when Ecuador took them to penalties in the Quarter-Final.

Colombia are on an even more impressive run of form unbeaten in their last 25 matches and are very much at the peak of their powers. This is as strong as a chance they will get to add to their 2001 Copa America title when they beat Mexico 0-1.

Argentina along with Messi and co are a serious international side and worthy favourites, but this Colombian outfit are tough to beat, and I think they might sneak a victory.

Best Bet: Colombia Win + Under 2.5 Goals @ 11/2

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Argentina v Colombia Odds Price Boosts 2024 Copa America Final

*Prices are subject to fluctuation.

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