It’s the Philadelphia Eagles v Kansas City Chiefs. It’s Super Bowl 59 from New Orleans with the most coveted prize of all on the line; the Vince Lombardi Trophy.
We’ve got you covered ahead of the big game with an Eagles v Chiefs prediction, tips, and everything you need to know ahead of Sunday night’s big game.
The Eagles have been dominant this season, led by superstar running back Saquon Barkley and dual-threat quarterback Jalen Hurts. They’ll look to exploit the Chiefs' defensive vulnerabilities, especially in the run game.
Meanwhile, Patrick Mahomes, widely considered the greatest player of his generation, and the Chiefs look to complete a historic three-peat of Super Bowl titles.
Super Bowl 59 Preview: Philadelphia Eagles v Kansas City Chiefs
Chiefs v Eagles Odds – Super Bowl 59
Team | Moneyline | Chance |
|---|---|---|
Eagles | Evens | 50% |
Chiefs | 5/6 | 54.5% |
Moneyline Betting Odds
Chiefs: 5/6
Eagles: Evens
The Kansas City Chiefs are the narrow favourites heading into Super Bowl 59 at odds of 5/6.
Chiefs to win – 5/6
The bookmakers have found it difficult to separate these sides as evidenced by odds of Evens on the ‘underdog’ Philadelphia Eagles winning the big game.
Eagles to win – Evens
Handicap Betting Odds
Eagles +1.5 – 20/23
Chiefs -1.5 – 10/11
Over/Under Odds – Total Match Points
Over 48.5 – 10/11
Under 48.5 –10/11
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Key Matchups
Eagles Offence vs Chiefs Defence
Running Game
The Eagles' rushing attack, led by Saquon Barkley, has been a cornerstone of their offensive success this season. Barkley, acquired in the offseason, has revitalised Philadelphia’s ground game, giving them a reliable weapon to wear down opposing defences. With one of the league’s best offensive lines paving the way, Barkley has consistently found success, averaging 6.7 yards per carry in these playoffs.
The Chiefs' defence has been inconsistent against the run, ranking in the middle of the pack in yards allowed per attempt. They have struggled in the playoffs, conceding 149 and 147 rushing yards in their two postseason games. This suggests that the Eagles could exploit this weakness, particularly if they establish the run early and control the tempo of the game.
THE SPIN 👽😵💫
— Philadelphia Eagles (@Eagles) January 26, 2025
SAQUON IS OUT OF THIS WORLD. pic.twitter.com/w1qoNLPTpI
Passing Game
Jalen Hurts has continued to develop as a passer, though Philadelphia’s aerial attack remains somewhat inconsistent. While Hurts is an elite dual-threat quarterback, his pure passing ability has been questioned at times, especially when facing elite secondaries.
Fortunately for him, the Chiefs' pass defence has been vulnerable, ranking 14th in net yards per attempt allowed during the regular season. Hurts has a dynamic set of weapons in A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert, all of whom can make plays after the catch. If the Eagles can establish a run game early, it will set up play-action opportunities, which is where Hurts excels.
JALEN HURTS 👽
— NFL (@NFL) February 13, 2023
📺: #SBLVII on FOX
📱: Stream on NFL+ https://t.co/d8gBDzRt2m pic.twitter.com/SJGVOamHj2
Chiefs Offence vs Eagles Defence
Running Game
The Chiefs’ rushing attack has been inconsistent this season, largely due to injuries to key players like Isiah Pacheco. When healthy, Pacheco provides a physical presence in the backfield, capable of grinding out tough yards and breaking off explosive runs. We are also likely to see plenty of Kareem Hunt in this game too as the Chiefs have favoured an even spread of touches between their top two running backs of late.
Another factor to take into account when talking about the Chiefs’ ground game is postseason Patrick Mahomes. When it matters the most, #15 for the Chiefs is happy to take off downfield, evidenced by his 9 carries for 66 yards in last year’s Super Bowl against the 49ers.
The Eagles' run defence is one of the best in the league, ranking among the top units in yards per carry allowed. Philadelphia’s defensive front, anchored by Jalen Carter and Zack Baun, has done an excellent job of clogging running lanes and forcing teams into obvious passing situations.
Passing Game
Patrick Mahomes remains the best quarterback in the NFL, and his ability to make plays under pressure is what makes the Chiefs so dangerous. Despite dealing with injuries to his receiving corps and a group that isn't as dynamic as previous years, Mahomes has continued to find ways to move the ball.
TE Travis Kelce remains his most trusted target, but the Eagles' defence is one of the best at defending tight ends. This means Mahomes may have to rely more on his wideouts like Xavier Worthy who could be in line to step up in a big way in this game.
It will be interesting to see the role that Hollywood Brown and DeAndre Hopkins play with the latter a former superstar but now looks to be in the twilight of his career and failing to provide a real threat for this team on the outside.
Chiefs v Eagles Head-To-Head
The Chiefs and Eagles have played each other 11 times. The Chiefs lead the all-time series with 6 wins compared to 5 wins for the Eagles.
Recent Meetings
The most notable recent matchup between these two teams took place in Super Bowl 57 two years ago. On that occasion, the Chiefs beat the Eagles 38-35 in one of the most entertaining Super Bowls in recent memory.
These teams have matched up on one occasion since then. That was in the 2023 regular season when the Eagles exacted some revenge by beating the Chiefs 21-17.
Super Bowl 59 Betting Tips
Jalen Hurts for Super Bowl MVP (3/1)
Jalen Hurts represents the best value bet for Super Bowl MVP. If the Eagles win, it will likely be because of his dual-threat ability.
With the Chiefs’ defence focused on stopping Saquon Barkley, Hurts could find more opportunities to make plays with his legs. Historically, the Super Bowl MVP has been quarterback-dominated, with 16 QBs winning the award out of the 25 times it has been given since 2000.
This trend makes Hurts an even more enticing choice. Additionally, the Eagles' offensive scheme including plays like the ‘tush push’ allows Hurts to take over in crucial moments, strengthening his case as a great value Super Bowl MVP pick here.
Jalen Hurts Super Bowl MVP – 3/1
Eagles to Win by 1-6 points (3/1)
The Eagles have been dominant this season, going 15-1 in games where Hurts has played the full contest. They have the best roster in the NFL and should be able to control the game with their dominant running attack, ability to pick up chunks in the passing game and stout defence.
Kansas City’s ability to keep games close is well-documented, but the Eagles have the firepower to win by a touchdown or less. This bet offers solid value and aligns with their ability to dictate tempo.
Eagles to win by 1-6 points – 3/1
Saquon Barkley to Score The First Touchdown (4/1)
Barkley has been the focal point of the Eagles' offence this season and through the playoffs, and Philadelphia will want to establish the run early. If they get the ball first, Barkley is a strong candidate to punch it into the end zone.
Given his role as the lead back, and his ability to break tackles and create explosive plays out of seemingly nothing, 4/1 is a solid price. Additionally, the Chiefs' struggles in containing running backs this postseason make Barkley a strong contender to be the first scorer in this matchup.
Saquon Barkley First TD – 4/1
Under 48.5 Total Points (20/23)
Both these teams have strong defences and I expect the pace of the game to slow down with long possessions and clock management from both offences.
The Eagles' focus on the running game and the Chiefs' reliance on Mahomes to control the tempo suggests that both teams will aim to limit possessions. With both defences playing at a high level, this could result in fewer points than expected. A total of 48.5 points or fewer seems more likely given the potential for a game with fewer possessions.
Under 48.5 Total Points – 10/11
Super Bowl 59 Prediction & Best Bet
Final score prediction: Eagles 21 Chiefs 19
The Eagles have been the best team in football this season, and while the Chiefs have the Mahomes factor, Philadelphia has the more complete roster. Expect the Eagles to control the game with their running attack and defence.
Best Bet: Eagles to win by 1-6 points (3/1)
*Prices are subject to fluctuation.
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