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Irish General Election: Carlow Kilkenny Odds, Favourites, & Projections

Bill Gaine on Nov 28, 2024 at 02:55 PM
Dail

Wondering what the Carlow Kilkenny Irish General Election odds are? Well then wonder no longer as we have you covered with all the latest odds for this constituency.

We also break down everything you need to know about the constituency including the number of seats available, previous election results and candidate track records.

Carlow Kilkenny General Election Odds

Candidate

Odds

Chance

Jennifer Murnane O’Connor (Fianna Fáil)

1/20

95.2%

John McGuiness (Fianna Fáil)

1/10

90.9%

David Fitzgerald (Fine Gael)

4/11

73.3%

Peter “Chap” Cleere (Fianna Fáil)

2/5

71.4%

Patricia Stephenson (Social Democrats)

4/5

55.6%

Natasha Newsome Drennan(Sinn Féin)

6/4

40%

Michael Doyle (Fine Gael)

9/4

30.8%

Catherine Callaghan (Fine Gael)

5/2

28.6%

Áine Gladney Knox (Sinn Féin)

4/1

20%

Malcolm Noonan (Green Party)

5/1

16.7%

Seán Ó hArgáin (Labour Party)

10/1

9.1%

Carlow Kilkenny Favourites For Election

Jennifer Murnane O’Connor (Fianna Fáil) – Carlow Kilkenny Favourite For Election

The favourite to be elected in Carlow Kilkenny is Jennifer Murnane O’Connor (Fianna Fáil) at odds of 1/8. Those odds imply that he has an 88.9% chance of being elected in this constituency.

Noel has been a TD for Carlow Kilkenny constituency since the 2002 general election and is formerly of the Progressive Democrats. He supported the Fianna Fáil and Green Party government from 2007 but in 2010 he withdrew his support due to health cuts.

John McGuiness (Fianna Fáil)

According to the latest betting odds, Catherine Connolly  (Independent) is the next most likely candidate to earn a seat in Carlow Kilkenny at odds of 1/5. These odds suggest that she has an 83.3% chance of winning a seat in this constituency.

Catherine has been a TD since 2016 and has been serving as the Leas-Cheann Comhairle of Dáil Éireann since July 2020. S he previously served as Chair of the Committee on the Irish Language, the Gaeltacht and the Islands from 2016 to 2020 and Mayor of Galway from 2004 to 2005.

David Fitzgerald (Fine Gael)

Next up in the Carlow Kilkenny 2024 Irish Election odds is Hildegarde Naughten (Fine Gael) who has been given odds of 1/5 to win a Dáil seat. Those odds imply she has an 83.3% chance of election.

Hildegarde has been a TD for the constituency since 2016 and previously served as Chair of the Committee on Communications, Climate Action and the Environment from 2016 to 2020 and Mayor of Galway from 2011 to 2012. She is currently the Government Chief Whip.

Carlow Kilkenny Breakdown

Number of seats

There are 5 seats up for grabs in Carlow Kilkenny

2020 Carlow Kilkenny General Election Results (Outgoing TDs)

Kathleen Funchion (Sinn Féin)  – 23.8% FPV

John McGuiness (Fianna Fáil) –14.3% FPV, elected on 6th count

Jennifer Murnane O’Connor (Fianna Fáil) – 12.7% FPV, elected on 8th count

John Paul Phelan (Fine Gael) – 8.7% FPV, elected on 8th count

Malcolm Noonan (Green Party) – 6.7% FPV, elected on 10th count

Carlow Kilkenny Projected Results

Jennifer Murnane O’Connor (Fianna Fáil) is projected to be the first candidate elected in Carlow Kilkenny according to the latest Politics betting odds at BoyleSports.

John McGuiness (Fianna Fáil), David Fitzgerald (Fine Gael) and Peter “Chap” Cleere (Fianna Fáil) are expected to land the next seats.

The final seat looks to be a battle between Patricia Stephenson (Social Democrats) or Natasha Newsome Drennan (Sinn Féin).

Carlow Kilkenny Irish Election Tips

With 5 seats up for grabs in Carlow Kilkenny, the first four candidates look very likely to be elected.

Outside the above-mentioned names, there is traditionally a minimum of one Fine Gael seat here so Michael Doyle and Catherine Callaghan could also be in the mix.

Michael Doyle Fine Gael elected Add to Betslip

In 2020 Kathleen Funchion topped the poll with 23.8% of the first preference vote with the other seats taken by John McGuiness, Jennifer Murnane O’Connor, John Paul Phelan and Malcolm Noonan.

Malcolm Noonan can’t be ruled out either as he should earn plenty of transfers.

Malcolm Noonan Green Party elected Add to Betslip

Bet on Irish Election Odds at BoyleSports

*Prices are subject to fluctuation.

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