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Dortmund v PSG Prediction, Preview & Odds

Bill Gaine on Apr 30, 2024 at 06:00 AM
Champions League Football 202324

We have a Dortmund v PSG prediction for you plus a breakdown of the betting odds, team news and matchups ahead of their Semi-Final first leg.

Dortmund head into this on the back of a weekend defeat but have the opportunity to put one foot into a Champions League final with a victory.

PSG wrapped up Ligue 1 following their 3-3 draw against La Havre and are now looking to claim their first Champions League crown.

How To Watch Dortmund v PSG

When is Dortmund v PSG?

Dortmund v PSG will take place on Wednesday at 8.00 pm in the Champions League.

TV Channel

This Champions League semi-final between Borussia Dortmund and PSG will be broadcast in the UK and Ireland on TNT Sports 2.

Live Stream

In the UK and Ireland, you can livestream this game on Discovery+ (subscription required).

Where is Dortmund v PSG Being Played?

The first leg of this Champions League semi-final tie will take place in Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, Germany.

Dortmund v PSG Odds

Team

Odds

Chance

Dortmund

9/5

35.7%

PSG

13/10

43.5%

Draw

13/5

27.8%

Dortmund, despite home advantage, are marginal underdogs in this game at 9/5 in the betting.

PSG are favourites to win the first-leg of this Champions League semi-final at 13/10. Meanwhile, the draw is 13/5.

To Qualify

PSG are the heavy 2/5 favourites to qualify for the Champions League final. Dortmund are 9/5 to advance to the Champions League Final for the first time since 2013.

Handicap Betting

Dortmund: +1 @ 4/7

PSG: -1 @ 10/3

Handicap Draw: +1 @ 16/5

Bet on Dortmund v PSG at BoyleSports

Dortmund v PSG Betting Odds Champions League semi final 2023 24

Dortmund v PSG Preview

Dortmund’s Form

Dortmund are 5th in the Bundesliga with 5 games remaining, 12 points back of fellow Champions League Semi-Finalists Bayern and 24 points back of Bundesliga Champions Leverkusen. With 3 games left in the league, it’s very unlikely they will move from 5th. Despite this poor league form, they’re 3 games away from landing their second Champions League and their first since 1997.

Dortmund were landed in Champions League Group F which quickly became dubbed the "Group of Death" with PSG, Milan and Newcastle United. It turned out to be very much that in an extremely competitive group but Dortmund would win out with their 11-point total coming ahead of PSG, Milan and Newcastle. It was a sign of how dangerous they could be in cup competitions.

At the Round of 16 stage, a 1-1 draw against PSV in Eindhoven and a 2-0 win in the second leg meant they booked their place in the Quarter-Final. Having been handed a tough draw against Atlético a 2-1 first-leg defeat meant they had it all to do in the second leg. However, a brilliant performance saw them win 4-2 on the night and 5-4 on aggregate to book a date with PSG in the semi-final.

Dortmund come into this fixture following their 4-1 humbling at the hands of RB Leipzig at the weekend. Leipzig were deserved winners too with their 21 shots amassing an XG of 2.75 to Dortmund's 12 shots and 1.78. Dortmund now only have 7 points from their last 5 league games.

Dortmund have overcome the odds throughout the competition and will need to do that again against PSG if they are to advance to the final.

Dortmund's Last Five Results

RB Leipzig 4-1 Dortmund | April 27th | Loss

Dortmund 1-1 RB Leipzig | April 21st | Draw

Dortmund 4-2 Atlético| April 16th | Win

Monchengladbach 1-2 Dortmund | April 13th | Win

Atlético 2-1 Dortmund | April 10th | Win

3 Wins, 1 Draw and 1 Loss

PSG’s Form

PSG have dominated domestically for longer than a decade having won 10 of the last 11 Ligue 1 titles with their latest league success confirmed at the weekend following a 3-3 draw against La Havre. They can now concentrate their full efforts on the Champions League in the closing weeks of the season.

To reach this stage of the Champions League they finished runner-up in the “Group of Death” behind Dortmund but ahead of Milan and Newcastle before dispatching Real Sociedad 4-1 on aggregate in the Round of 16. Their Quarter-Final against Barcelona was a thriller and following a 2-3 first leg defeat they recovered to land a historic 1-4 win over Barcelona to book their spot in this semi-final..

While PSG had a 3-3 draw at the weekend, they could consider themselves a little unlucky not to have landed the win with their 17 shots amassing an XG of 2.26 compared to La Havre’s total of 1.21 from 6 shots.

PSG have a huge opportunity to reach another Champions League final in this two-legged tie.

PSG’s Last Five Results

PSG 3-3 Le Havre | April 27th | Draw

Lorient 1-4 PSG | April 24th | Win

PSG 4-1 Lyon | April 21st | Win

Barcelona 1-4 PSG | April 16th | Win

PSG 2-3 Barcelona | April 10th | Loss

3 Wins, 1 Draw and 1 Loss

Dortmund v PSG Weather Forecast

The weather is expected to be 23 degrees with no rain.

Dortmund v PSG Predicted Lineups

Dortmund Predicted Starting XI (4-2-3-1)

GK: Kobel

RB: Wolf, CB: Hummels, CB: Schlotterbeck, LB: Maatsen

CM; Brandt, CM: Ozcan

RW: Sancho, AM: Nimecha, LW: Adeyemi

CF: Füllkrug

PSG Predicted Starting XI (4-3-3)

GK: Donarumma

RB: Hakimi, CB: Marquinhos, CB: Skriniar, LB: Hernandez

CM: Zaire-Emery, CM: Vitinha, CM: Ugarte

RW: Dembele, CF: Mbappé , LW: Barcola

Dortmund v PSG Head-To-Head Results & Stats

All-Time Head-To-Head Record

Dortmund wins: 1

PSG wins: 2

Draws: 3

Head-To-Head Results

Dortmund 1-1 PSG | Champions League | December 13th, 2023

PSG 2-0 Dortmund | Champions League | September 19th, 2023

PSG 2-0 Dortmund | Champions League | March 11th, 2020

Dortmund 2-1 PSG | Champions League | February 18th, 2020

PSG 0-0 Dortmund | Champions League | November 4th, 2010

Betting Trends

Goals

Coming into the match, fixtures involving either of these sides this season average 4 Goals Per Match which is more than the competition average of 3.01.

Cards

Between both sides, they average.4.2 Cards Per Match, which is less than the competition average of 4.39.

Corners

The sides average 11.7 Corners per match between them, which is more than the competition average of 9.99 Dortmund with a total of 5.2 compared to PSG’s 6.5.

Scoring Patterns

Dortmund are strongest in the last 15 minutes scoring 17 Goals from 123 Shots and conceding 7 from 81 Shots.

PSG are also strongest in the last 15 minutes scoring 20 Goals from 102 Shots and conceding 4 from 91 Shots.

Key Players To Watch

Nico Schlotterbeck – Dortmund

Since signing from Freiburg for a reported €25 million transfer fee back in May 2022 he has been an impressive defensive force at the back after playing a bit part role in his first season he has been a regular for the last two. His defensive aptitude. tackling and passing will be crucial against the poignant attacking threat PSG impose.

Kylian Mbappé – PSG

It couldn’t be anyone else, could it? Arguably the best player in the world right now he has 43 goals and 10 assists across 44 games in all competitions this season and will be looking to add to his tally of 8 goals in 10 games in the Champions League.

Dortmund v PSG Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Dortmund 0-2 PSG

This is a repeat of their Group Stage clashes earlier in the tournament. Despite PSG being unbeaten in their games losing 2-0 in Paris before drawing 1-1 in Germany, Dortmund did win that same group.

Due to how the draw for the Champions League has gone, this is a huge opportunity for either side to make the final.

PSG have a lot more quality in their side though especially going forward so I think they will be comfortable winners over both legs.

Best Bet: PSG -1 @ 7/2

Bet on Dortmund v PSG at BoyleSports

Dortmund v PSG Odds Price Boosts Champions League semi final 2023 24

*Prices are subject to fluctuation.

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