Bayern Munich v Real Madrid Prediction, Preview & Odds

We have a Bayern Munich v Real Madrid prediction for you plus a breakdown of the betting odds, team news and matchups ahead of their semi-final first leg.

Bayern flattered to deceive in the Bundesliga this season but are now 3 games away from landing their first Champions League success since 2020.

Real have won their last 5 league games and look destined to land La Liga again this year and have the opportunity to land their 15th European title.

How To Watch Bayern v Real Madrid

When is Bayern Munich v Real Madrid?

Bayern Munich v Real Madrid is scheduled to kick off at 8.00 pm on Tuesday, April 30th in the Champions League.

TV Channel

Bayern Munich v Real Madrid will be broadcast on TNT Sports 1 in the UK and Ireland with pre-match coverage beginning at 7 pm.

Live Stream

In the UK and Ireland you can stream this Champions League semi-final between Bayern Munich and Real Madrid on Discovery+.

Where is Bayern v Real Madrid Being Played?

Bayern are the home team for the first leg which means this game will be played at the Allianz Arena in Munich, Germany.

Bayern Munich v Real Madrid Odds

Bayern are 7/5 favourites in this first leg to claim a victory at the Allianz Arena.

European specialists Real Madrid are 17/10 underdogs to bring an advantage back to the Santiago Bernabéu while the draw after 90 minutes is priced up at 5/2.

To Qualify Odds

Real Madrid are the favourites to qualify from this Champions League semi-final at odds of 1/2.

Bayern are the underdogs to advance to the final at 6/4 in the betting.

Handicap Betting

Bayern: -1 @ 15/4

Real Madrid: +1 @ 8/15

Handicap Draw: -1 @ 16/5

Bayern v Real Madrid Preview

Bayern’s Form

Bayern before the start of this season had dominated domestically winning 11 consecutive Bundesliga titles. However, they’ve been undone this season by the fairytale story of Bayer Leverkusen, led by Xabi Alonso who have landed their first-ever Bundesliga.

The Champions League has been a happier hunting ground for the Bavarian giants though. Bayern won Group A against Copenhagen, Galatasaray and Man United with 16 points, 12 goals and 6 goals conceded. In the Round of 16 they then overcame a 1-0 first-leg defeat against Lazio to win 3-1 on aggregate. Bayern booked their Semi-Final spot with a 2-2 draw at the Emirates before claiming a crucial win 1-0 at the Allianz Arena.

Ahead of this Champions League tie, Bayern landed their third successive win in the Bundesliga at the weekend with a Harry Kane brace enough to overcome the challenge of Eintracht Frankfurt. It was a deserved victory with their 20 shots amassing a cumulative XG of 3.30 to their opponent's 10 shots and XG of 0.39.

A victory at home in this first leg feels almost necessary to give them a chance of qualification going into the 2nd leg at the Bernabéu.

Bayern's Last Five Results

Bayern 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt | April 27th | Win

Union Berlin 1-5 Bayern | April 20th | Win

Bayern 1-0 Arsenal April 17th | Win

Bayern 2-0 Koln | April 13th | Win

Arsenal 2-2 Bayern | April 9th | Draw

4 Wins and 1 Draw

Real Madrid’s Form

Real Madrid are having a far more positive season this season compared to last. They have gone from being runners-up to Barcelona in La Liga last year and 10 points back to 13 points clear of Girona and 14 clear of Barcelona with 5 games remaining in their league season. In the Champions League, they’re fighting for their 15th European success.

Real were rampant winners of Group C in this competition with a perfect 6 wins from 6 matches from their group with Napoli, Braga and Union Berlin scoring 16 goals and conceding 7 in the process. They overcame Leipzig in the Round of 16 with a 0-1 first-leg win and a 1-1 second-leg draw. They then played out a dramatic tie with Man City in the Quarter-final after a 4-4 aggregate draw they booked their place in the Semi-Final via winning out 4-3 on penalties.

They continued their assault on the La Liga title with their sixth successive league victory at the weekend with a 0-1 win over Real Sociedad despite rotating their side heavily in preparation for this game with a 29th-minute Arda Guler goal making the difference. It was a drab game in truth, with Sociedad having an XG of 0.39 to Madrid’s 0.46 showing that there wasn’t much creative attacking football on display.

Real will be high in confidence ahead of this one after dumping favourites Man City out of the competition in the previous round.

Real Madrid’s Last Five Results

Real Sociedad 0-1 Real Madrid | April 26th | Win

Real Madrid 3-2 Barcelona | April 21st | Win

Man City 1-1 Real Madrid | April 17th | Draw

Mallorca 0-1 Real Madrid | April 13th | Win

Real Madrid 3-3 Man City | April 9th | Draw

3 Wins and 2 Draws

Bayern v Real Madrid Weather Forecast

The weather is expected to be 21 degrees with no rain.

Bayern v Real Madrid Predicted Lineups

Bayern Predicted Starting XI (4-2-3-1)

GK: Neuer

RB: Kimmich, CB: Kim Min-Jae, CB: Dier, LB: Davies

CM: Laimer, CM: Goretzka

RW: Sane, AM: Muller, LW: Tel

CF: Kane

Real Madrid Predicted Starting XI (4-3-1-2)

GK: Lunin

RB: Camavinga, CB: Rudiger, CB: Eder, LB: Mendy

CM: Valverde, CM: Tchouaméni, CM:Kroos

AM: Bellingham

CF: Vinicius, CF: Rodrygo

Bayern v Real Madrid Head-To-Head Results & Stats

All-Time HeadTo-Head Record

Bayern wins: 16

Real Madrid wins: 14

Draws: 5

Head-To-Head Results Last Five Matches

Bayern 3-1 Real Madrid | Champions Cup | July 21st, 2019

Real Madrid 2-2 Bayern | Champions League | May 1st, 2018

Bayern 1-2 Real Madrid | Champions League | April 25th, 2018

Real Madrid 4-2 Bayern| Champions League| April 18th, 2017

Bayern 1-2 Real Madrid | Champions League | April 12th, 2017

Betting Trends

Goals

Coming into the match, fixtures involving either of these sides this season average 4 Goals Per Match which is more than the competition average of 3.01.

Cards

Between both sides, they average 3.1 Cards Per Match, which is less than the competition average of 4.39.

Corners

The sides average 9.1 Corners per match between them, which is less than the competition average of 9.99 Bayern with a total of 5.10 compared to Real Madrid’s.4.

Scoring Patterns

Bayern are strongest from the 61st to the 75th minute scoring 20 goals from 106 shots and conceding 3 from 30 shots.

Real Madrid are strongest from the 46th to 60th minute scoring 17 goals from 97 shots and conceding 2 from 57.

Key Players To Watch

Harry Kane – Bayern Munich

Since signing from Tottenham last summer Kane has been red-hot in front of goal with 43 goals and 13 assists from 42 matches in all competitions. Kane moved to Bayern in search of trophies and this competition is his last chance of the season to do so this season.

Jude Bellingham – Real Madrid

A key player for club and country Jude Bellingham is already bonafide World Class at 20, his potential as a footballer and what he could achieve is scary. His performances for Real Madrid this season have brought in 21 goals and 10 assists from 36 matches.

Bayern v Real Madrid Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Bayern 1- 1 Real Madrid

Following two tight ties that went down to the wire in the previous round Bayern (vs Arsenal) and Real (vs Man City) and with the draw going the way it has the team who wins this Semi-Final tie is likely to be the favourite for the final.

Bayern will fancy their chances and with Harry Kane in the side, you can see them scoring at least one. But you can’t ride off Real, especially in Europe and so I can see these sides playing out an entertaining scored draw

Best Bet: Draw @ 5/2

*Prices are subject to fluctuation.