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Crystal Palace v Brighton Prediction, Preview & Odds - Premier League

Bill Gaine on Dec 21, 2023 at 12:00 AM
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We have a Crystal Palace v Brighton prediction for you plus a breakdown of the betting odds, team news and matchups ahead of this game.

Crystal Palace are currently 15th in the table with 2 points earned from their last five league games. However, in their last two league games, they’ve shown great spirit drawing 2-2 away to Man City and narrowly losing 1-2 against Liverpool.

Brighton are currently 9th in the table with 7 points earned from their last five league games putting them just 3 points behind Newcastle in 6th place. Despite this, they will be dissatisfied with their 2-0 defeat against Arsenal last weekend.

How To Watch Crystal Palace v Brighton

When is Crystal Palace v Brighton?

Crystal Palace v Brighton will take place at 8 pm on Thursday, December 21st in the Premier League.

TV Channel

Crystal Palace v Brighton will be broadcast in the UK and Ireland on Sky Sports Premier League and Sky Sports Main Event.

Live Stream

You can live stream Crystal Palace v Brighton on NowTV and on Sky Sports in the UK and Ireland.

Where is Crystal Palace v Brighton Being Played?

Crystal Palace are at home so this fixture will be played at their home ground The Selhurst Park Stadium.

Crystal Palace v Brighton Odds

Crystal Palace v Brighton Betting Odds - Premier League
TeamOddsChance
Crystal Palace11/531.3%
Brighton6/545.5%
The Draw12/529.4%

Crystal Palace, despite home advantage, are coming into this game as underdogs at odds of 12/5. Brighton are 6/5 favourites to return to winning ways in this one.

The draw is priced up at 23/10.

Handicap Betting Odds

Crystal Palace: +1 @ 4/6

Brighton -1 @ 16/5

Handicap Draw +1 @ 14/5

Click Below For Our LIVE Crystal Palace v Brighton Odds

Crystal Palace v Brighton Betting Odds - Premier League 2023 24

Crystal Palace v Brighton Weather Forecast

Perfect conditions for football are expected on Sunday with the temperature expected to be roughly 10 degrees with no rain forecasted.

Crystal Palace v Brighton Preview

Crystal Palace’s Form

Crystal Palace are currently 15th in the table with 2 points earned from their last five league games. Despite showing great spirit in recent games against Man City and Liverpool, following the sacking of Steve Cooper at Nottingham Forest it has plenty of fans clamouring for a change of manager.

Last weekend Crystal Palace had a brilliant 2-2 draw against Man City, fighting back from 2 goals behind through goals from Mateta in the 76th minute and an Olise penalty in the 95th minute to earn themselves a dramatic point. This was despite Man City having 55% of possession and creating an XG of 2.42 from 19 shots their 1.65 XG from 5 shots was enough to shock City.

Statistically, Palace are performing far better than their 16th position would suggest. Their 25 goals conceded is the 10th meanest defence in the league.

On the other hand, their attack has let them down with their 17-goal haul only better than Burnley (16) and Sheffield United (12). This means they’re currently 11th in the Expected Points table, let down by them scoring 5.9 goals less than their expected total.

Victory for The Eagles could put them within touching distance of the top half of the table as we head into the festive period.

Crystal Palace’s Last Five Results

Crystal Palace 2-2 Man City | December 16th | Draw

Crystal Palace 1-2 Liverpool | December 9th | Loss

Crystal Palace 0-2 Bournemouth | December 6th | Loss

West Ham 1-1 Crystal Palace | December 3rd | Draw

Luton Town 2-1 Crystal Palace | November 25th | Loss

3 Losses, 2 Draws

Brighton’s Form

Brighton are currently 9th in the table with 7 points earned from their last five league games. That puts them just 3 points behind Newcastle in 6th place. However, they will be dissatisfied with their 2-0 defeat against Arsenal last weekend following their Europa League heroics the previous Thursday.

Brighton were disappointing in that loss at the hands of Arsenal last weekend, but in truth, it was no more than they deserved. Despite Arsenal only having 48% of possession, their 26-shot total was enough to create an XG of 2.77. Brighton on the other hand failed to make possession count with their 6 shots creating an XG of just 0.66.

Brighton are the 7th highest scorers in the league this season with 33 Goals scored from an XG of 29.32 which shows they’re clinical finishers from the chances they do create. However, their 30 goals conceded have them with the 4th worst defence in the division from an XG of 27.07. Their Expected Point total has them in 10th one place above Palace on 24.76 points to Palace’s 21.27 points.

Brighton know a victory here would put them level on points with Newcastle in 6th with 1 extra game played.

Brighton’s Last Five Results

Arsenal 2-0 Brighton | December 17th | Loss

Brighton 1-0 Marseille | December 14th | Win

Brighton 1-1 Burnley | December 9th | Draw

Brighton 2-1 Brentford | December 6th | Win

Chelsea 3-2 Brighton | December 3rd | Loss

2 Wins, 1 Draw, 2 Losses

Crystal Palace v Brighton Predicted Lineups

Crystal Palace Predicted Starting XI

Formation: 5-4-1

GK: Henderson

RB: Clyne, RCB: Ward, CB: Anderson, LCB: Guehi, LB: Mitchell

RM: Olise, CM: Richards, CM: Riedewald, LM: Eze

CF: Mateta

Brighton Predicted Starting XI

Formation: 4-2-3-1

GK: Verbruggen

RB: Veltmen, CB: van Hecke, CB: Dunk, LB: Milner

CM: Gross, CM: Gilmour

RW: Adingra, AM: Pedro, LW; Mitoma

 CF: Ferguson

Crystal Palace v Brighton Head-To-Head Results & Stats

All-Time Head-To-Head Record

Crystal Palace wins: 38

Brighton wins: 41

Draws: 30

Head-To-Head Results Last Five Matches

Brighton 1-0 Crystal Palace | Premier League| March 15th, 2023

Crystal Palace 1-1 Brighton | Premier League | February 11th, 2023

Brighton 1-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League | January 14th, 2022

Crystal Palace 1-1 Brighton | Premier League | September 27th, 2021

Brighton 1-2 Crystal Palace | Premier League | February 22nd, 2021

Betting Trends

Goals

Coming into this game, between both teams there has been an average of 3.26 Goals Per Match this season. That is more than the league average of 3.08 Goals Per Match.

In previous matches between these two sides, 82% have had Over 1.5 Goals, 63% have had Over 2.5 Goals and 69% have had BTTS.

Cards

Between both sides, they average 6.01 Cards Per Match which is considerably higher than the league average of 4.95.

Corners

These sides average 8.00 Corners per match between them which is considerably less than the league average of 10.54

Scoring Patterns

The end of the game could be chaotic for Crystal Palace, scoring 5 goals and conceding 8 in the last 15 minutes in games this season.

Brighton’s most busy period also comes in the last 15 minutes with 8 goals scored and 5 conceded.

Key Players To Watch

Jean-Phillippe Mateta – Crystal Palace

The talented striker is having a solid season so far. In his 16 games he has scored 5 goals and provided 4 assists including 2 goals and 1 assist in his last two league games against Man City and Liverpool.

Mateta is a pacey striker who Brighton will need to keep an eye on especially from the break if Brighton lose the ball. Out of possession, he will work hard and will be the first line of defence for his team.

Evan Ferguson - Brighton

The Bettystown native and Irish Teenage Sensation (19) already looks to be one of the most promising footballers not just in the league but in world football.

This season Ferguson has 6 goals from 16 league games, 21 in all competitions and 1086 minutes but is without a goal contribution in his last 4 league games. He’s still young so it’s important not to put too much pressure on him, but you’d imagine he will be riled up to get on the scoresheet again on Thursday Night Football.

Crystal Palace v Brighton Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Crystal Palace 2-0 Brighton

Looking at Crystal Palace’s recent results, they’re a team better set up to play the “stronger sides” than they are those around them. As a result, this could be a welcome return to a tougher game aided by home status.

Brighton failed to make possession count against Arsenal and while they’re likely to have the majority of the ball again in this one, they’ll need to create more chances for the likes of Ferguson to earn a win.

These sides are far closer in their performance than the table would have you believe, but I think Brighton can win, albeit narrowly.

Best Bet: Under 2.5 Goals and Brighton Win @ 4/1

Click Below For Our LIVE Crystal Palace v Brighton Odds

Crystal Palace v Brighton Odds Price Boosts - Premier League 2023 24

*Prices subject to fluctuation

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