We take a look at the latest Wisconsin Election Odds as we examine one of the key battleground states ahead of the US Presidential Election next November.
Ahead of the US Election, Wisconsin is viewed as one of the key “Swing States” which could ultimately decide the winner of the US Presidential Election.
Joe Biden won this state for the Democratic Party in 2020 with a 49.45% share of the vote compared to Donald Trump with 48.82%. This was somewhat of a turn-up for the books after Trump won the state in 2016 with a vote share of 47.72% to Hilary Clinton’s 46.45%.
Wisconsin Election Odds
Team | Odds | Chance |
Kamala Harris - Democrats | 4/7 | 63.6% |
Donald Trump - Republicans | 5/4 | 44.4% |
Kamala Harris is currently a 4/7 favourite in the race to win Wisconsin which implies a 63.6% chance that the Democrat Party win the state for the second successive election,
Donald Trump is seen as a 5/4 favourite to regain his 2016 electoral college from Wisconsin which implies a 44.4% chance that occurs.
Per OddsChecker, the race to win Wisconsin looks to be heavily favouring the Democratsv with 64% of bets going on their victory compared to 36% for the Republicans.
What is a Swing State?
A swing state (also known as a battleground state, toss-up state, or purple state) is any state that could reasonably be won by either the Democratic or Republican candidate in a statewide election, most often referring to presidential elections, by a swing in votes.
The seven “Swing States” which is set to decide the 2024 US Election have been dubbed as Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Latest Polling
Per FiveThirtyEight, which is a site that focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States, the race to win the state of Wisconsin is on a knife edge.
Factoring for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects Kamala Harris is currently leading in the polls with 46.7% of the expected vote compared to Donald Trump’s 45%
Polls should always be taken with a pinch of salt as the 2016 US Presidential Election proved but those poll numbers has this swing stat favouring the Democrat Party.
Previous Results
During the 2020 Presidential Election, the state of Wisconsin was won by Joe Biden and the Democratic Party in 2020 with a 49.45% share of the vote from a cumulative vote of 1,630,866 compared to Donald Trump with 48.82% and 1,610,184 votes.
Interestingly, this is one of the states which swung from 2016 when Donald Trump with 1,405,284 votes won 47.22% of the vote compared to Hilary Clinton with 1,382,536 and a total of 46.5%
Wisconsin Election Prediction & Best Bet
Prediction: Kamala Harris - (The Democrat Party)
While this is theoretically a “Swing State” it does tend to favour the Democratic candidate with Trump’s 2016 victory the exception rather than the rule winning the state for the first time since Ronald Reagan in 1984.
The odds have Kamala in poll position and justifiably so given the averages and the history of the state. Expect this to be one of the nailed-on Democrat state successes.
*Prices are subject to fluctuation.
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