Wales return to the Principality Stadium searching for stability after back‑to‑back heavy defeats, while Scotland arrive in Cardiff buoyed by their Calcutta Cup triumph.
Wales have been bullied into submission by England and France but we’re hoping they put up more of a fight when facing Scotland in Cardiff.
The Scots did us a big favour when securing a superb Calcutta Cup success last weekend but don’t quite have the power up front to totally dominate a game like this.
Wales vs Scotland Prediction – Six Nations 2026
We feel Evens for the hosts with 18 points start on the main handicap market is tempting enough to be our first Wales vs Scotland prediction.
Match Details
Wales vs Scotland Match Details
Venue : Principality Stadium , Cardiff , Wales
Referee : Matthew Carley (England)
How to Watch
How to Watch Wales vs Scotland
The Round 3 clash kicks off at 16:40 on Saturday, February 21st, 2026 . Coverage begins at 16:00 on BBC One in the UK and from 16:15 on Virgin Media One in Ireland.
Betting Odds
Wales vs Scotland Betting Odds – Six Nations 2026
Result | Odds | Chance |
|---|---|---|
Wales | 6/1 | 14.3% |
Scotland | 1/12 | 92.3% |
Draw | 28/1 | 3.4% |
Scotland are overwhelming favourites at 1/12 , with Wales priced at 6/1 , while the draw is 28/1 , underlining the scale of the visitors’ perceived advantage.
Total Points Betting
Over 54.5 @ 10/11
Under 54.5 @ 4/5
Will There Be Over or Under 54.5 Points? Wales vs Scotland 6N 2026
Handicap Betting
Wales +18 @ Evens
Scotland -18 @ Evens
Handicap Draw (+18) @ 18/1
Will Wales Cover the +18 Handicap vs Scotland? Six Nations 2026
Tryscorer Odds
Try Scorer Betting
Player | First Try | Anytime |
|---|---|---|
Duhan van der Merwe | 6/1 | 8/15 |
Huw Jones | 7/1 | 4/6 |
Kyle Steyn | 8/1 | 4/5 |
Ben White | 10/1 | 21/20 |
David Cherry | 12/1 | 13/10 |
Blair Kinghorn | 16/1 | 15/8 |
The market makes Duhan van der Merwe the clear favourite to open the scoring at 6/1 , while midfield threat Huw Jones and wing Kyle Steyn sit close behind. Scotland dominate the shorter prices in the anytime market, reflecting expectations of territorial control.
Who will score the first try? Wales vs Scotland 6N 2026
Team News
Team News
Wales – Starting XV
15 Louis Rees-Zammit, 14 Gabriel Hamer-Webb, 13 Eddie James, 12 Joe Hawkins, 11 Josh Adams, 10 Sam Costelow, 9 Tomos Williams, 1 Rhys Carre, 2 Dewi Lake (c), 3 Tomas Francis, 4 Dafydd Jenkins, 5 Ben Carter, 6 Taine Plumtree, 7 Alex Mann, 8 Aaron Wainwright
Wales – Replacements
16 Ryan Elias, 17 Nicky Smith, 18 Archie Griffin, 19 Freddie Thomas, 20 James Botham, 21 Kieran Hardy, 22 Jarrod Evans, 23 Blair Murray
Head coach Steve Tandy has made four changes, with Gabriel Hamer-Webb set for his debut and Sam Costelow returning at fly-half. Ben Carter and Taine Plumtree both earn first Championship starts, while several senior players have been dropped entirely from the matchday 23.
Scotland – Starting XV
15 Blair Kinghorn, 14 Kyle Steyn, 13 Huw Jones, 12 Sione Tuipulotu (c), 11 Duhan van der Merwe, 10 Finn Russell, 9 Ben White, 1 Nathan McBeth, 2 Dave Cherry, 3 Zander Fagerson, 4 Max Williamson, 5 Scott Cummings, 6 Gregor Brown, 7 Rory Darge, 8 Matt Fagerson
Scotland – Replacements
16 George Turner, 17 Pierre Schoeman, 18 Elliot Millar Mills, 19 Grant Gilchrist, 20 Josh Bayliss, 21 George Horne, 22 Tom Jordan, 23 Darcy Graham
Blair Kinghorn and Duhan van der Merwe return to the starting XV, while injuries to Jamie Ritchie , Jack Dempsey , and Jamie Dobie force adjustments in the pack and backline.
Form Guides
Team Form Guides
Wales Form Guide
Wales were never at the races when routed 48-7 by England at Twickenham and were blown away early on by France in last Sunday’s 54-12 drubbing at Principality Stadium.
That was a 13th straight Six Nations loss and a 23rd defeat in 25 Test matches, with just a couple of wins over Japan providing some respite during a horrible run of results.
It wasn’t all bad against Les Bleus, though, with tries from Rhys Carre and Mason Grady offering up a bit of comfort.
Dragons back-rower Aaron Wainwright said: “We spoke in the changing room afterwards, just what a great chance it’s going to be for us to come out here next week and deliver something better.
“If we can look to the future, look to next week and start to put those building blocks in place, the bigger picture will take care of itself.”
If Wales can stay positive, this has all the makings of another open contest between two teams who like to throw the ball around.
Looking at the Wales vs Scotland odds, we feel 8/5 for the hosts to score over 20.5 points in this fixture for the third straight time is fair value.
Scotland Form Guide
Having got bogged down in the Rome rain when beaten 18-15 by Italy, Scotland showed their true potential when putting England to the sword at Murrayfield, prevailing 31-20.
Ending England’s 12-game winning streak with their biggest victory over the Auld Enemy since 2018 eased the pressure on head coach Gregor Townsend, who hailed the performance as “tremendous”.
However, that stirring triumph did come at a cost, with key trio Jamie Ritchie, Jamie Dobie and Jack Dempsey picking up injuries that could rule them out for the rest of this tournament.
Scotland have also often suffered a dip in form immediately after raising their game to claim wins over England, subsequently losing to Wales in 2021 and 2022 and Italy in 2024.
They should still have enough in hand to prevail on this occasion, but we’re going with 11/2 for the margin to be between 11 to 15 points in our Wales vs Scotland betting tips.
Head-to-Head
Wales vs Scotland Head-to-Head
Since competing for the Doddie Weir Cup in 2018, Wales prevailed in four of the first five meetings.
However, Scotland have since hit back with a hat-trick of victories, winning twice at Murrayfield and once in Cardiff, although the last two triumphs have been hard-fought 27-26 and 35-29 wins.
Betting Tips
Wales vs Scotland Betting Tips
Wales +18 @ Evens
With the handicap stretching to 18 points, the hosts should remain competitive enough at home to stay inside that margin, particularly if Scotland’s intensity dips after last week’s emotional win.
Wales Over 20.5 Points @ 8/5
Recent meetings in Cardiff have produced open contests, and Wales have crossed 20 points in successive clashes against Scotland on home soil.
Winning Margin 11-15 Points @ 11/2
If Scotland control territory but Wales resist a collapse, the 11–15 winning band fits the likely script of a competitive yet ultimately decisive away victory.
Simply click/tap on the above betting tips to add to your betslip.
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