US Open Women's Final Prediction, Tips & Preview

In this post, we have a US Open Women's Final prediction for you along with all the betting odds as we preview Saturday's big match.

When is the Women's Final?

Matchup? Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka

When? 9.00 pm, Saturday, September 7th

Where? USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center

TV Channel? Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis

Who won the US Open last year?

Coco Gauf was the reigning champion heading into the US Open, though her reign will draw to a close after being defeated by Emma Navarro (6-3. 4-6. 6-3)

Paths To The US Open Women’s Final

Jessica Pegula

First Round Jessica Pegula BEAT Shelby Rogers (6-4, 6-3)

Second Round Jessica Pegula BEAT Sofia Kenin (7-6, 6-3)

Third Round Jessica Pegula BEAT Jessica Maneiro (6-3, 6-3)

Fourth Round Jessica Pegula BEAT Diana Shnaider (6-4, 6-2)

Quarter-final Jessica Pegula BEAT Iga Swiatek (6-2, 6-4)

Semi-final Jessica Pegula BEAT Karolína Muchová (1-6, 6-4, 6-2)

Aryna Sabalenka

First Round Aryna Sabalenka BEAT Priscilla Hon (6-3, 6-3)

Second Round Aryna Sabalenka BEAT Lucia Bronzetti (6-3, 6-1)

Third Round Aryna Sabalenka BEAT Ekaterina Alexandrova (2-6, 6-1, 6-2)

Fourth Round Aryna Sabalenka BEAT Elise Mertens (6-2, 6-4)

Quarter-Finals Aryna Sabalenka BEAT Zheng Qinwen (6-1, 6-2)

Semi-Final Aryna Sabalenka BEAT Emma Navarro (6-3, 7-6,)

What’s been said Ahead Of The Final

Jessica Pegula staged an impressive comeback to reach the US Open Final. The sixth seed looked to be heading out but Karolina Muchova won seven games in a row to lead by a set and a break in their semi-final on Arthur Ashe Court.

However, she rallied to claim a 1-6 6-4 6-2 victory and following the victory she said

"It comes down to really small moments that flip momentum, I came out really flat, she was playing unbelievable, and she made me look like a beginner, I wanted to burst into tears, it was embarrassing. She was destroying me, I was able to find a way, get some adrenalin and find my legs and then I started to play how I wanted to play. "It took a while, but I don’t know how I turned that around."

Sabalenka similarly overcame challenges to reach the US Open Final, From 5-3 up, Sabalenka found herself serving to stay in the set down 5-6. Following that victory she made a parallel to last year’s tournament.

“Last year it was a very tough experience, very tough lesson,” said Sabalenka. “Today in the match, I was, like, ‘No, no, no, Aryna, it’s not going to happen again. You have to control your emotions. You have to focus on yourself.

There were people supporting me. I was trying to focus on them. I’m thinking, ‘Come on, there are so many people supporting you. There is your team in the box. There is your family. Just focus on yourself and fight for it.’”

Pegula v Sabalenka Head-to-Head Results

7 professional matches have taken place between both players with Aryna Sabalenka leading the series 5-2. However, they’re 2 wins a piece on Hard Court. It's on the clay where Aryna has dominated winning their series 3-0.

US Open Women's Final Betting Odds – Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka

The oddsmakers make Aryna Sabalenka a favourite at odds of 4/11 as we get closer to Saturday’s US Open Women’s Final. Jessica Pegula is the underdog at odds of 11/5 while the game handicap for this match is Jessica Pegula +3.5 at EVS.

US Open Women's Final Prediction & Best Bet

As World Number (2) Aryna is the comfortable favourite ahead of Saturday's Final with odds of 4/11 suggesting a 73.3% chance of her being successful per the latest odds at BoyleSports.

However, while I think those odds are fair, I think Pegula represents a good value bet at 11/5 suggesting a 31.3% chance of victory. I’d look to take the value with the BoyleSports early payout odds for Pegula to go one set ahead at odds of EVS.

Think this could end up being a hard-fought win for Sabalenka in the end though 4-6, 7-5 and 6-4.