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Uruguay v Argentina Prediction, Tips, & Best Bet – World Cup Qualifier

Bill Gaine on Mar 21, 2025 at 04:19 PM
La Liga Football 2023 24

We have a Uruguay v Argentina prediction for you plus a breakdown of the betting odds, team news and matchups ahead of their World Cup qualifier.

Uruguay are currently second in the qualifying group but they’ve also only won one of their last five group games.

Argentina sit top of the pile in qualifying five clear of Uruguay though they only have two wins in their last five qualifying games.

How To Watch Uruguay v Argentina

When is Uruguay v Argentina?

Uruguay v Argentina is on Friday at 11.30 pm

TV Channel

Fanatiz

Where is Uruguay v Argentina Being Played?

Estadio Centenario, Montevideo, Uruguay

Uruguay v Argentina Odds

Team

Odds

Chance

Uruguay

6/4

40%

Argentina

2/1

33.3%

Draw

9/5

35.7%

Uruguay are priced at 6/4 to win this game.

Uruguay to win – 6/4

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Argentina are also priced at 2/1 and the draw is a 9/5 shot.

Argentina to win – 2/1

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Handicap Betting

Uruguay -1 @ 5/1

Argentina: +1 @ 1/2

Handicap Draw: -1 @ 14/5

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Uruguay v Argentina Preview

Uruguay’s Form

Marcelo Bielsa was appointed as the Uruguay Head Coach on the 15th of May 2023 when he became only the second foreign trainer following Argentinian coach, Daniel Passarella in 2000. Since he’s taken the mantle he’s done a decent job managing them to 11 victories, 9 draws and a win rate of 45.83% from his 24 matches in charge though in 2024 they only had 5 victories in 90 minutes across 14 games.

There’s plenty to like about this Uruguayan squad with genuine quality sprinkled across all facets of the team.  The highlights being the CB pairing of both  Gimenez and Araujo, the well-balanced midfield trio of Ugarte, Valvarde and Bentancur and finally former Manchester United player Pellistri supplying Nunez in attack.

Favourites for this game due to home advantage and an Argentinian selection crisis they have a strong chance of earning back-to-back wins over Argentina.

Uruguay's Last Five Results

Brazil 1-1 Uruguay | November 19th | Draw

Uruguay 3-2 Colombia | November 15th | Win

Uruguay 0-0 Ecuador | October 15th | Draw

Peru 1-0 Uruguay | October 15th | Loss

Venezuela 0-0 Uruguay | September 10th | Draw

3 Draws, 1 Win and 1 Loss

Argentina’s Form  

Scaloni has been in charge of Argentina for a while having been appointed back in November 2018. The highlight of his tenure so far was when he landed them at the pinnacle of International Football, the holy grail and most coveted trophy in football the World Cup in 2022. He’s also guided them to success in the Copa America in both 2021 and 2024.

Ahead of this game, Argentina will have a weaker squad than usual, particularly in attacking areas the long list of absentees through injury includes Lisandro Martinez, Messi, Martinez and Dybala though Garnacho who is fit was curiously left out also. They will still have a great deal of quality, particularly in the middle of the park with De Paul, Fernandez, Almada and Mac Allister all among their options.

Argentina rarely goes into any game, not as favourites, but they still have a considerable amount of quality left in their squad to win this match.

Argentina's Last Five Results

Argentina 1-0 Peru | November 19th | Win

Paraguay 2-1 Argentina | November 14th | Loss

Argentina 6-0 Bolivia | October 15th | Win

Venezuela 1-1 Argentina | October 10th | Draw

Colombia 2-1 Argentina | September 10th | Loss

2 Wins, 2 Losses and 1 Draw

Uruguay v Argentina Predicted Lineups

Uruguay Predicted Starting XI (4-2-3-1)

GK: Rochet

RB: Varela, CB: Gimenez, CB: Araujo, LB: Saracchi

CM: Ugarte, CM: Valverde, CM: Bentancur

RW: Pellistri, CF: Nunez, LW: Araujo

Argentina Predicted Starting XI (4-3-3)

GK: Martinez

RB: Molina, CB: Romero, CB: Otamendi, LB: Tagliafico

CM: De Paul, CM: Fernandez, CM: Mac Allister

RW: Correa, CF: Alvarez, LW: Gonzalez

Uruguay v Argentina Head-To-Head Results & Stats

All-Time Head-To-Head Record

Uruguay wins: 58

Argentina wins: 90

Draws: 45

Head-To-Head Results

Argentina 0-2 Uruguay | World Cup Qualifying | November 16th, 2023

Uruguay 0-1 Argentina | World Cup Qualifying | November 12th, 2021

Argentina 3-0 Uruguay | World Cup Qualifying | October 10th, 2021

Argentina 1-0 Uruguay | Copa America | June 18th, 2021

Argentina 2-2 Uruguay | Friendly | November 18th, 2019

Key Players To Watch

Darwin Nunez – Uruguay

Uruguay is known for producing world-class attacking talent with the likes of Suarez,  Cavani and Forlan the best-known examples in previous decades. With all three retired the next in line to take up the mantle is Liverpool Striker Darwin Nunez (25) who has 13 goals in 33 caps.

Though in a different mould to his predecessors and certainly not prolific Nunez offers an evolution in their attacking areas, a player works hard, is athletic, skilful and creates opportunities for teammates. This season for Liverpool he has 7 goals and 7 assists or a goal contribution every 0.66 matches. Nunez is currently shortest shortest-priced to be the first goal scorer at odds of 11/2 or if you want to bet on him to score at any point in the game he can be gotten at odds of 9/4.

Darwin Nuñez to score anytime – 9/4

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Julian Alvarez – Argentina

With the trio of Messi, Martinez and Dybala absent through injury, Atlético attacker Alvarez (25) will be tasked with taking the bulk of the attacking responsibility and he comes into this game with 11 goals and 2 assists for Argentina across 42 matches averaging a goal contribution every 0.46 matches.

A dynamic attacker who will look to take on his man, but also can bring players into the game through his vision and killer passing. At club level this season he has 23 goals and 5 assists across 44 games. He is 13/2 to score first in this game and 3/1 to score at any point.

Julian Alvarez first goalscorer – 13/2

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Uruguay v Argentina Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Uruguay 1-2 Argentina

Uruguay are a tough to beat well-balanced side that could cause Argentina huge issues.

Argentina are underdogs in the betting market which I believe is a little harsh and I still think they could come away with a narrow win.

Best Bet: Alvarez anytime goal @ 3/1

Julian Alvarez to score anytime – 3/1

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*Prices are subject to fluctuation.

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