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The Oscars Odds, Predictions & Preview - 96th Academy Awards Betting

Dylan McHugh on Mar 10, 2024 at 11:30 PM
Oscars Academy Awards Statuettes

In this post, we take a look at the latest the Oscars odds and all of the betting for the 96th Academy Awards.

The Oscars Odds

Best Picture Odds

Nominee

Odds

Chance of Winning

Oppenheimer

1/50

98%

The Zone of Interest

20/1

4.8%

Poor Things

22/1

4.3%

The Holdovers

22/1

4.3%

Barbie

40/1

2.4%

Anatomy of a Fall

50/1

2%

American Fiction

66/1

1.5%

Killers of the Flower Moon

66/1

1.5%

Maestro

125/1

0.8%

Preview

Oppenheimer is the overwhelming favourite to win the Oscar for Best Picture at odds of 1/50. Those odds imply that Oppenheimer has a 98% chance of picking up the most coveted prize in the industry.

So can any other movie pull off a massive upset and pip the Christopher Nolan blockbuster for the award? It’s highly unlikely and I wouldn’t be betting on it myself. However, if you just want to have a bet on the category and don’t fancy laying odds of 1/50 then I would suggest Poor Things as the best longshot bet here.

Prediction

Oppenheimer wins Best Picture @ 1/50.

Best Actor Odds

Actor

Odds

Chance of Winning

Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer)

1/25

96.2%

Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers)

10/1

9.1%

Bradley Cooper (Maestro)

25/1

3.8%

Colman Domingo (Rustin)

100/1

1%

Jeffrey Wright (American Fiction)

125/1

0.8%

Preview

Cillian Murphy is the heavy favourite to win the Best Actor Oscar at odds of 1/25. Those odds imply that the star of Oppenheimer has a 96.2% chance of winning this award.

This is another category where, despite being prestigious, does not have a lot of betting interest due to the presence of a heavy favourite.

Paul Giamatti is the actor with the best chance of winning the award not named Cillian Murphy. Giamatti is a 10/1 chance to win this Academy Award having earned rave reviews for his performance in The Holdovers .

Unlike in the Best Picture category I do think that Giamatti has some chance of claiming this award. He is in fact the pick of many critics and this could be seen with his victory in this category at the Critics’ Choice Awards.

I think it will be Cillian Murphy that picks up the award and as an Irish person I am hoping that he does but if you want to have a flutter then I think you could do worse than Paul Giamatti at 10/1 here. The other nominees have next to no chance.

Prediction

Cillian Murphy wins Best Actor @ 1/25.

Best Actress Odds

Actress

Odds

Chance of Winning

Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon)

1/2

66.7%

Emma Stone (Poor Things)

6/4

40%

Sandra Huller (Anatomy of a Fall)

20/1

4.8%

Annette Bening (Nyad)

100/1

1%

Carey Mulligan (Maestro)

100/1

1%

Preview

Lily Gladstone is the favourite to win the Best Actress Oscar at odds of 1/2. Those odds imply that Gladstone has a 66.7% chance of winning the Academy Award in this category.

Emma Stone is a live contender here however at odds of 6/4. Stone has been hailed for her performance in Poor Things with many claiming that she carried the movie. She won the BAFTA in this category and I think she’s good value to take home the Best Actress Oscar on Sunday night too. Gladstone would be a worthy winner but Stone is the pick here for me.

Prediction

Emma Stone wins Best Actress @ 6/4.

Best Director Odds

Director

Odds

Chance of Winning

Christopher Nolan - Oppenheimer

1/100

99%

Yorgos Lanthimos - Poor Things

14/1

6.7%

Martin Scorsese - Killers of the Flower Moon

25/1

3.8%

Justine Triet - Anatomy of a Fall

33/1

2.9%

Jonathan Glazer - The Zone of Interest

40/1

2.4%

Preview

Christopher Nolan is the runaway favourite for the Best Director Oscar at odds of 1/100. Those odds make Nolan a virtual certainty and imply that he has a 99% chance of picking up this coveted award for the first time at the 96th Academy Awards.

I wouldn’t waste too much time thinking over this one. Nolan, who directed the Best Picture favourite Oppenheimer , will win here and the odds make it hard to bet on. If Nolan somehow doesn’t win then it would be one of the greatest upsets in the history of the Oscars.

Prediction

Christopher Nolan wins Best Director @ 1/100.

Best Supporting Actor Odds

Nominee

Odds

Chance of Winning

Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer)

1/50

98%

Ryan Gosling (Barbie)

12/1

7.7%

Robert De Niro (Killers of the Flower Moon)

20/1

4.8%

Mark Ruffalo (Poor Things)

33/1

2.9%

Sterling K. Brown (American Fiction)

66/1

1.5%

Preview

Robert Downey Jr. is a massive favourite to win the Best Supporting Actor Academy Award at odds of 1/50. Those odds suggest that Downey Jr. has a 98% chance of winning the Oscar for this category.

Ryan Gosling is his closest competition at odds of 12/1. Gosling gave a great performance of Ken in Barbie but nobody could match Downey Jr.’s outstanding portrayal of Lewis Strauss and for that he’ll be rewarded with the Oscar that he deserves. I wouldn’t bet on this category, even the long shots I see no value in.

Prediction

Robert Downey Jr. wins Best Supporting Actor @ 1/50

Bet on the Oscars with our range of Oscars odds at BoyleSports.

*Prices are subject to fluctuation.

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