We have a Spain v Netherlands prediction for you plus a breakdown of the betting odds, team news and matchups ahead of their Nations League quarter-final second leg.
Spain avoided a 2-1 defeat on the cusp of injury time in the first leg with Merino getting the all-important leveller in the 93rd minute.
Though the Netherlands nearly earned a first-leg win, the underlying statistics suggest that they could consider themselves too lucky to have even earned a point.
How To Watch Spain v Netherlands
When is Spain v Netherlands?
Spain v Netherlands is on Sunday at 7.45 pm.
TV Channel
Prime Video
Where is Spain v Netherlands Being Played?
Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia, Spain
Spain v Netherlands Odds
Team | Odds | Chance |
|---|---|---|
Spain | 4/6 | 60% |
Netherlands | 10/3 | 23.1% |
Draw | 11/4 | 26.7% |
Spain are priced at 4/6 to win this game.
Spain to win – 4/6
The Netherlands are priced at 10/3 and the draw is seen as an 11/4 shot.
Netherlands to win – 10/3
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Handicap Betting
Spain -1 @ 15/8
Netherlands: +1 @ 11/10
Handicap Draw: -1 @ 13/5
Bet on Nations League Odds at BoyleSports
Spain v Netherlands Preview
Spain’s Form
Spain has been managed by de la Fuente since 2022 following a 24-year coaching career where he managed at club level but since 2013 has worked his way up Internationally coaching Spain at U19, U21 and U23 level before taking the Senior role in 2022. It’s very much been a success story with 23 wins, 4 draws and just 2 defeats for a win rate of 79.31% including capped off by their Euro 2024 victory.
While there is experience in this Spanish side with Le Normand, Zubimendi and Olmo, a dangerous thought for the rest of the countries is that their real strength comes in their youth. Between their defensive options being bolstered by Cubarsi, Huijsen and Asencio, their midfield maestro Pedri and some electric attacking options in Williams and Yamal all being 22 or younger the future is very bright for Spanish Football.
While not on paper as “star-studded” as the Golden Age Spanish side this squad is arguably the most tactically versatile Spain team in years being able to retain possession and play on the counter.
Though they needed a late goal to snatch a draw from the Dutch in the first leg they dominated possession in the game with 60% of the ball and created the far better of the chances an XG of 1.4 to their opponent's 0.61 you get the sense they’ll be even stronger at home.
Spain's Last Five Results
Netherlands 2-2 Spain | March 20th | Draw
Spain 3-2 Switzerland | November 18th | Win
Denmark 1-2 Spain | November 15th | Win
Spain 3-0 Serbia | October 15th | Win
Spain 1-0 Denmark | October 12th | Win
4 Wins and 1 Draw
The Netherlands’ Form
The Netherlands are currently undergoing their second spell with Ronald Koeman at the helm following his first from 2018-2020. He was reappointed in 2023 following a brief period with Barcelona after 15 months away from management. They’ve performed decently under him with 15 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats for a win rate of 53.57% though they’ve failed to get wins against the “stronger” nations.
While not a vintage Dutch side there remains strength across all areas of the pitch van Dijk and de Ligt are among their CB options, Frimpong has grown into this side and is electric on the right-hand side. That’s topped off with a midfield pairing of de Jong and Gravenberch with the likes of Simons and Gakpo providing flair and endeavour in the wings.
The Dutch showed grit and resilience in the first leg as well as a ruthless streak in front of goal scoring twice from an XG of 0.61 if they can show that again in the second leg they’re certainly not without a big chance in this game.
Netherlands's Last Five Results
Netherlands 2-2 Spain | March 20th | Draw
Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-1 Netherlands | November 19th | Draw
Netherlands 4-0 Hungary | November 16th | Win
Germany 1-0 Netherlands | October 14th | Loss
Hungary 1-1 Netherlands | October 11th | Draw
3 Draws, 1 Win and 1 Loss
Spain v Netherlands Predicted Lineups
Spain Predicted Starting XI (4-3-3)
GK: Simon
RB: Porro, CB: Le Normand, CB: Cubarsi, LB: Cucurella
RM: Pedri, CM: Zubimendi, CM: Ruiz
RW Yamal, CF: Merino, LW: Williams
Netherlands Predicted Starting XI (4-2-3-1)
GK: Verbruggen
RB: Frimpong, CB: van Hecke, CB: van Dijk, LB: Timber
CM: Gravenberch, CM: de Jong
RW: Simons, AM: Kluivert, LW: Gakpo
CF: Depay
Spain v Netherlands Head-To-Head Results & Stats
All-Time Head-To-Head Record
Spain wins: 4
Netherlands wins: 6
Draws: 7
Head-To-Head Results
Netherlands 2-2 Spain | Friendly | March 20th, 2025
Netherlands 1-1 Spain | Friendly | November 11th, 2020
Netherlands 2-0 Spain | Friendly | March 31st, 2015
Spain 1-5 Netherlands | World Cup | June 13th, 2014
Netherlands 0-1 Spain | World Cup | July 10th, 2010
Key Players To Watch
Nico Williams – Spain
Williams (22) who plays with Athletic Club is not your typical Spanish Footballer, a traditional winger who likes to cut inside with his electric pace and showstopping skill making him very different to the usual Spanish threat while also capable of linking up for the stereotypical Spanish build-up.
This year at club level he has 9 goals and 7 assists from 37 matches and will be looking to add to his tally of 5 goals in 2 games for Spain following another sensational performance in the first leg scoring first as a 11/1 shot. This time around he can be gotten at 8/1 to score first or at 11/4 to score at any point.
Nico Williams anytime goal – 11/4
Cody Gakpo – Netherlands
The Liverpool attacker (25) is coming into this on the back of a decent season at club level where he’s scored 16 times and assisted 5 goals across 40 matches in all competitions which is a goal contribution every 0.87 matches Gakpo is tactically versatile but generally plays on the LW for the Netherlands.
Last season he made his most appearances for the Netherlands in a calendar year with 15 and had his joint-best goal return with 5. As tipped in our first leg preview Gakpo scored to award readers who backed him at 15/4 to score at any point. This time around he is 10/1 to score first and 72 to score at any point.
Cody Gakpo anytime goal – 7/2
Spain v Netherlands Prediction & Best Bet
Prediction: Spain 2-1 Netherlands
Spain got the draw they so richly deserved at the death in the first leg, but you get the sense at home they could be even stronger.
The Dutch rode their luck and were plucky in the first leg but even more of the same will be needed for this game.
The Spanish will do enough to get through to the semi-finals.
Best Bet: Spain Win 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 @ 2/1
Spain win 1-0, 2-0, or 2-1 – 2/1
Bet on Nations League Odds at BoyleSports
*Prices are subject to fluctuation.
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