Spain v France Prediction, Tips & Best Bet - Nations League

We have a Spain v France prediction for you plus a breakdown of the betting odds, team news and matchups ahead of their Nations League semi-final.

Spain played out a 5-5 aggregate draw with the Netherlands in their quarter-final but eventually won 5-4 on penalties.

France in their quarter-final overcame a 2-0 first leg defeat to win out 5-4 on penalties against Croatia.

How To Watch Spain v France

When is Spain v France?

Spain v France is on Thursday at 8 pm

TV Channel

Virgin Media 2

Where is Spain v France Being Played?

MHP Arena

Spain v France Odds

Spain are priced at 11/8 to win this game.

*Odds are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

France are priced at 15/8, and the draw in 90 minutes is priced at 21/10.

*Odds are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

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Handicap Betting

Spain -1 @ 4/1

France ₊ 1 @ 11/20

Handicap Draw _- 1 @ 3/1

Spain v France Preview

Spain’s Form    

Luis de la Fuente put in the hard yards before being appointed to the Spanish Senior position having worked with the U19s (2013-2018), U21s (2018-2022) and the Spanish Olympic Team (2021) before assuming the senior role in 2022. Having played a role in nurturing their young talent for nearly a decade, he’s taken that experience and those relationships into an excellent start in the role with Spain winning 23/30 games including the 22/23 Nations League and most importantly the 2024 Euros last summer.

While there is experience in this Spanish side with Isco, Morata, Le Normand and Oyarzabal in the squad their real strength comes in their youth. In Yamal, they may already have the best player in world football along with top defensive talents Cubarsi and Huijsen and the electric Williams to compliment Yamal on the other wing. The future is very bright for Spanish Football.

While not on paper as “star-studded” as the Golden Age Spanish side this squad is arguably the most tactically versatile and well-rounded Spain team in years. While still able to play the easy-on-the-eye possession football they can also entertain and break fast on the counter, especially from wide areas.

Spain's Last Five Results

Spain 3-3 Netherlands | March 23rd | Draw

Netherlands 2-2 Spain  | March 20th | Draw

Spain 3-2 Switzerland | November 18th | Win

Denmark 1-2 Spain | November 15th | Win

Spain 3-0 Serbia | October 15th | Win

3 Wins and 2 Draws

France’s Form  

Didier Deschamps has been in charge of France since he was first appointed on the 8th of July 2012 and has brought them to a 2018 World Cup title, a runner-up finish in the 2022 tournament, a Nations League success in 20/21 and a Euro Championship runner-up at Euro 2016. However, he has garnered criticism during Euro 2024 for his negative tactical approach though a win rate of 63.5% can’t be dismissed.

France for several years has had one of the strongest squads in International Football boosting names even outside of the squad who would be mainstays for pretty much every other country. The production line seems to be never-ending too with Zaire-Emery (19), and Doué (20) Cherki (21) among 11 players under the age of 25 in their current squad.

While Deschamps' French side are often more “conservative” in how they play, they retain the capacity to entertain with Dembele, Barcola, Oise and Mbappé all in their ranks if Spain intends to hold possession of the game might open up more for France on the counter.

France’s Last Five Results

France 2-0 Croatia | March 23rd | Win

Croatia 2-0 France | March 20th | Loss

Italy 1-3 France | November 17th | Win

France 0-0 Israel  | November 14th | Draw

Belgium 1-2 France | October 14th | Win

3 Wins, 1 Draw and 1 Loss

Spain v France Predicted Lineups

Spain Predicted Starting XI (4-3-3)

GK: Simon

RB: Porro, CB: Huijsen,  CB: Cubarsi, LB: Cucurella

RM: Olmo, CM: Zubimendi, CM: Ruiz

RW Yamal, CF: Morata, LW: Williams

France Predicted Starting XI (4-3-3)

GK: Maignan

RB: Gusto, CB: Pavard, CB: Konaté, LB: Hernandez

CM: Guendouzi, CM: Tchouameni, CB: Rabiot

RW: Olise, CF: Dembele, LW: Mbappé

Spain v France Head-To-Head Results & Stats

All-Time Head-To-Head Record

Spain wins: 17

France wins: 13

Draws: 7

Head-To-Head Results

France 1-2 Spain | Euro 2024 | July 9th, 2024

Spain 1-2 France | Nations League | October 10th, 2021

France 0-2 Spain | Friendly | March 28th, 2017

France 1-0 Spain | Friendly | September 4th, 2014

France 0-1 Spain | World Cup Qualifying | March 26th, 2013

Key Players To Watch

Nico Williams - Spain

Williams (22) who plays with Athletic Club is not your typical Spanish Footballer, a traditional winger who likes to cut inside with his electric pace and showstopping skill making him very different to the usual Spanish threat while also capable of linking up for the stereotypical Spanish build-up.

At club level this season Williams scored 11 times and contributed 7 assists in 45 games across all competitions and has 1 goal from his 2 games for Spain in 2025. For this game, he can be gotten at 10/1 to score first or at 4/1 to score at any point.

*Odds are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

Kylian Mbappe -France

It takes a lot to stand far and above every man in what is a world-class squad, but Kylian Mbappé is precisely that good having already scored 48 goals across his 88 matches for France and at 26 his scoring streak should continue for years to come.

The lightning-quick, World Class finisher for Real Madrid this season scored 43 times and assisted 5 in 56 matches. He is priced at 5/1 to score first in this game and can be gotten at odds of 15/8 to score at any time.

*Odds are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

Spain v France Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Spain 2-1 France

Spain are unbeaten in their last 23 matches (20 wins and 3 draws) since they lost to Scotland in March 2023 with that record it’s hard to not see them as favourites.

France can’t be dismissed, and their chances may come down to how the PSG/Inter contingent (7 players) have recovered since the Champions League Final.

I fancy Spain to just about do enough.

Best Bet: BTTS + Spain Win – 4/1

*Odds are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change

*Prices are subject to fluctuation.

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