Real Madrid’s 1-0 Champions League first-leg win at Benfica was overshadowed by allegations of racism towards Vinicius Junior and emotions are sure to run high in the return fixture.
Relations between these two teams were already strained after Los Merengues had two players sent off late on in a 4-2 loss at the Stadium of Light in the final round of league phase games.
Real Madrid vs Benfica Prediction – Champions League 2025/26
Betting Odds
Real Madrid vs Benfica Betting Odds – Champions League 2025/26
Result | Odds | Chance |
|---|---|---|
Real Madrid | 4/9 | 69.2% |
Benfica | 5/1 | 16.7% |
Draw | 7/2 | 22.2% |
*Odds are correct at the time of writing, but subject to change.
Real Madrid are clear favourites to win this match in 90 minutes at 4/9. Benfica are the underdogs at 5/1, while the draw at full-time is priced at 7/2.
Will Either Team Go 2+ Goals Ahead In Real Madrid vs Benfica? Champions League 2025/26
To Qualify Odds
Real Madrid 1/20
Benfica 17/2
Goalscorer Odds
Goalscorer Odds
Player | First Goalscorer | Anytime Goalscorer |
|---|---|---|
Kylian Mbappe | 2/1 | 4/9 |
Alvaro Leiva | 7/2 | 20/23 |
Gonzalo Garcia | 7/2 | 20/23 |
Vinicius Junior | 9/2 | 11/10 |
Jude Bellingham | 11/2 | 7/5 |
Cesar Palacios | 6/1 | 13/8 |
Bar | 13/2 | 7/4 |
Kylian Mbappe is the favourite in the first goalscorer betting market at 2/1 and also leads the way in the anytime goalscorer market at odds of 4/9.
Madrid duo Gonzalo Garcia and Vinicius Jr. (7/2 first goalscorer and 20/23 anytime for both players) are also prominent in the goalscorer betting.
Who Will Be The First Goalscorer In Real Madrid vs Benfica Champions League 2025/26?
Real Madrid vs Benfica Preview
With a fired-up Bernabeu crowd baying for blood, we feel Real Madrid will be looking to put this tie to bed early on.
That makes a BOYLE Sports price boost of 5/2 for the hosts to score over 1.5 first-half goals good value for our initial Real Madrid vs Benfica prediction.
How to Watch
How to Watch Real Madrid vs Benfica
Wednesday’s clash is set to kick off at 20:00 GMT and will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 1.
Head-to-Head
Head-to-Head Record
These two grand old clubs famously met in the 1962 European Cup final, when a Ferenc Puskas hat-trick for Real Madrid proved in vain, as Eusebio bagged a brace in Benfica’s 5-3 Amsterdam triumph.
Eusebio hit another double when Benfica romped to a 5-1 home win in the quarter-finals three years later and also scored in a 2-1 away-leg defeat.
Their rivalry lay dormant for more than six decades, but it is safe to say it has been well and truly reignited this year.
Form Guides
Real Madrid Form Guide
Real Madrid’s quest for a record-extending 16th triumph in Europe’s elite club competition got off to a fine start with wins over Marseille , Kairat and Juventus .
However, losses to Liverpool and Manchester City either side of a 4-3 victory at Olympiakos meant they had work to do with two rounds of the league phase remaining.
A 6-1 rout of Monaco at the Bernabeu put them back on track but Kylian Mbappe’s double could not prevent them from going down 4-2 away to Benfica and falling into the play-offs.
Last Tuesday’s quick return to Lisbon was more open than the scoreline suggests and was settled by a spectacular strike from Vinicius Junior .
Real suffered a surprise 2-1 La Liga defeat at Osasuna on Saturday, which cost them top spot in the table, but the Brazil winger was on target for a fourth straight outing.
Vinicius Junior has the temperament to get wound up for this contest without boiling over, and 11/10 for Vinicius to score any time has obvious appeal from the Real Madrid vs Benfica odds.
Benfica Form Guide
Jose Mourinho’s late red card for dissent last week rubbed salt into Benfica’s wounds and his post-match comments regarding Vinicius Junior were widely criticised.
The Eagles had done well to recover from a disastrous start to the league phase, which saw them lose to Qarabag , Chelsea , Newcastle and Bayer Leverkusen before winning 2-0 at Ajax and beating Napoli by the same scoreline in Portugal.
Another away defeat at Juventus brought Benfica back down to earth but the home victory over Real Madrid was a major highlight and helped them sneak through in 24th place.
However, while Mourinho has masterminded some amazing triumphs during his stellar career, this has to be regarded as an uphill battle with a solid but unspectacular side.
Let’s add 10/3 for a home win by exactly two goals to our Real Madrid vs Benfica betting tips.
Betting Tips
Real Madrid vs Benfica Betting Tips
Real Madrid over 1.5 first-half goals @ 5/2
Vinicius Junior to score anytime @ 11/10
Real Madrid to win by exactly two goals @ 10/3
Simply click/tap on the above betting tips to add to your betslip.
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