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Real Madrid v Atlético Madrid Prediction, Tips & Best Bet – Champions League

Bill Gaine on Mar 3, 2025 at 03:53 PM
El Santiago Bernabeu Home of Real Madrid

We have a Real Madrid v Atlético Madrid prediction for you plus a breakdown of the betting odds, team news and matchups ahead of this Madrid Derby in the Round of 16.

Real at the weekend fell to a 2-1 defeat against Real Betis which means they fell to third in La Liga.

Atlético at the weekend had a 1-0 win over Athletic Club which means they rose to second place in the table and are only one point back of Barcelona.

How To Watch Real Madrid v Atlético Madrid 

When is Real Madrid v Atlético Madrid?

Real Madrid v Atlético Madrid will take place on Tuesday at 8 pm

TV Channel

Premier Sports 1

Where is Real Madrid v Atlético Madrid   Being Played?

Jeddah Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid v Atlético Madrid  Odds

Team

Odds

Chance

Real Madrid

20/23

55.6%

Atlético Madrid 

3/1

26.3%

Draw

12/5

28.6%

Real Madrid are priced at 20/23 to win this first-leg tie.

Real Madrid to win - 20/23

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Atlético can be gotten at odds of 3/1, and the draw is seen as a 12/5 chance.

Atletico Madrid to win - 3/1

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Handicap Betting

Real Madrid:  -1 @ 12/5

Atlético Madrid +1 @ 10/11

Handicap Draw -1 @ 13/5

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Real Madrid v Atlético Madrid   Preview

Real Madrid’s Form  

Real had a sensational 23/24 campaign which culminated in a La Liga and Champions League double. It was always going to be interesting to see how they approached the subsequent summer, but they continued in typical fashion with long long-anticipated signing of Kylian Mbappé on a free transfer from PSG which naturally kept expectation levels high at the club.

It’s already been a successful season for the club with minor cup successes in the UEFA Super Cup and the FIFA Intercontinental Cup.  Their La Liga form has taken a hit in recent weeks though with only five points in their last five matches meaning they’ve fallen on the table from 1st to 3rd. In the Champions League, they were remarkably less than consistent with only fifteen points in the league phase meaning they had to settle for a seeded playoff place. However, they turned on the style in that playoff with a 6-3 aggregate win over Man City winning both legs 2-3 and 3-1 respectively.

This competition always brings the best out of the club and will have their eyes on another Champions League title in the coming months.

Real Madrid’s Last Five Results

Real Betis 2-1 Real Madrid | March 1st | Loss

Real Sociedad 0-1 Real Madrid | February 26th | Win

Real Madrid 2-0 Girona | February 23rd | Win

Real Madrid 3-1 Man City | February 19th | Win

Ossauna 1-1 Real Madrid | February 15th | Draw

3 Wins, 1 Draw and 1 Loss

Atlético Madrid’s Form

Atletico have been managed by Diego Simeone since 2011,  during which time he has made them the most consistent side in Spanish Football aside from the “Axis of Powers” Barcelona and Real Madrid. They came into this season on the back of a 4th finish in the La Liga, Semi-Final appearances in the Copa del Rey and Supercopa de Espana and a Quarter Final in the Champions League.

It’s been another positive season for Simeone’s side with their 56-point total currently having them well in a La Liga title race only trailing league leaders Barcelona by 1 point and ahead of Real by 2 points. Elsewhere they played out an entertaining 4-4 draw away to Barcelona in their Copa del Rey semi-final first leg. In this competition, they’ve been impressive with 18 points meaning they finished 5th in the league phase and earned an automatic Round of 16 spot.

Atlético shouldn’t be ruled out and in my opinion, are a little overpriced at odds of 3/1 for this game.

Atlético Madrid's Last Five Results

Atlético Madrid 1-0 Athletic Club | March 1st | Win

Barcelona 4-4  Atlético Madrid | February 25th | Draw

Valencia 0-3 Atlético Madrid | February 22nd | Win

Atlético Madrid 1-1 Celta Virgo | February 15th| Draw

Real Madrid 1-1 Athletico Madrid | February 8th | Draw

2 Wins, 2 Draws and 1 Loss

Real Madrid v Atlético Madrid   Predicted Lineups

Real Madrid Predicted Starting XI(4-4-2)

GK: Courtois

RB: Vazquez, CB: Asencio, CB: Rudiger, LB: Garcia

CM: Tchouameni, CM: Camavinga,

RW: Diaz, AM: Rodrygo, LW: Junior

CF: Mbappé

Atlético Madrid Predicted Starting XI (4-4-2)

GK: Oblak

RB: Llorente, CB: Le Normand, CB Lenglet, LB: Galan

RM: Simeone, CM: De Paul, CM: Barrios, LM: Lino

CF: Griezmann, CF:  Alvarez

Real Madrid v Atlético Madrid   Head-To-Head Results & Stats

All-Time Head-To-Head Record

Atlético Madrid wins: 59

Real Madrid wins: 116

Draws: 63

Head-To-Head Results

Real Madrid 1-1 Atlético Madrid | La Liga| February 8th, 2025

Atlético Madrid 1-1 Real Madrid | La Liga | September 29th, 2024

Real Madrid 1-1 Atlético Madrid | La Liga | February 4th, 2024

Atletico Madrid 4-2 Real Madrid| Copa del Rey | January 18th, 2024

Real Madrid 5-3 Atlético Madrid | Super Cup | January 10th, 2024

Key Players To Watch

Kylian Mbappe - Real Madrid

There was a massive amount of excitement, expectation levels and pressure when Mbappé finally made his move to Madrid from PSG during the summer transfer window.

Despite a slow start to his life at Real Madrid, he has looked like the Mbappé of old in recent weeks. This season he has 27 goals and 4 assists in 3 games and is 7/2 to score first in this game and 5/4 to score at any point.

Kylian Mbappe first goal - 7/2

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Alexander Sorloth - Atlético Madrid

The Norway international (29) and former Crystal Palace striker has become a regular scorer across the Super Lig, Bundesliga and La Liga in recent years which subsequently earned him a move to Atlético last summer.

While not as prolific as he was in recent seasons, Sorloth remains an effective striker on his day and has still effectively contributed this season from limited minutes with 13 goals and 2 assists in 1457 minutes which is a goal contribution every 0.92 matches. He is 13/2 to score first in this game and 5/2 to score at any point.

Alexander Sorloth anytime goal - 5/2

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Real Madrid v Atlético Madrid Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Real Madrid 2-1 Atlético Madrid

Real have won two of the last three Champions Leagues and will fancy their chances of going close again this season.

Atlético will always be hard to beat and though their season has been positive so far I think it’s more likely they finish ahead of Real in the La Liga than knock them out here.

This will be a close match, but I think Real will do enough to get over the line.

Best Bet: Real Madrid Win + Under 3.5 Goals @ 8/5

Real Madrid Win + Under 3.5 Goals -8/5

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*Prices are subject to fluctuation.

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