Qarabag vs Newcastle Prediction: BTTS Yes, Draw On The Cards? & High-Value Goalscorer Bets

BOYLE Sports Team 16 February 2026 at 12:40pm
Champions League Ball 2526

Newcastle are back on the road yet again this week and this time face a 2,500-mile trip into the unknown to face the Azerbaijani side Qarabag , with neither team having reached the Champions League knockout stages before. Eddie Howe’s men are on a run of seven away matches in eight fixtures, but can take huge confidence from their last two outings, beating Spurs 2-1 and Aston Villa 3-1 on their travels.

That helped the Magpies end a five-match winless run and progress through to the fifth round of the FA Cup , meaning they head to Baku having relieved some of the mounting pressure on Howe . Newcastle have never faced a side from Azerbaijan before, but Qarabag have a miserable record against English clubs, losing eight of nine matches, including a 6-0 drubbing at Liverpool last month.

Qarabag vs Newcastle Prediction - CL 2025/26

However, they had still done enough to reach the play-offs and wins over Benfica , Copenhagen and Eintracht Frankfurt prove they cannot be underestimated. We think avoiding defeat would be a decent result for the Premier League side, and our first Qarabag vs Newcastle prediction is a score draw @ 5/1.

5/1
● LIVE ODDS Both Teams To Score - Outcome Draw Both Teams To Score And Match Result

Betting Odds

Qarabag vs Newcastle Betting Odds – Champions League 2025/26

Result

Odds

Chance

Qarabag

13/2

13.3%

Newcastle

4/11

73.3%

Draw

7/2

22.2%

Odds are correct at the time of writing, but subject to change.

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Qarabag vs Newcastle Preview

How to Watch

How to Watch Qarabag vs Newcastle

The Champions League play-off first leg in Baku is scheduled to begin at 1745 on Wednesday and will be shown live on TNT Sports 1.

Form Guides

Qarabag Form Guide

Any club thinking Qarabag would be a soft touch after coming through three rounds of qualifying would have been given a huge wake-up call in their opening league-phase clash. The Azerbaijani champions trailed 2-0 after 16 minutes at Benfica but hit back to stun the two-time European Cup winners 3-2.

Qarabag followed that up by beating Copenhagen in their next match before holding Chelsea 2-2 in their fourth outing - the only time they have not lost against English opposition.

Defeats to Napoli and Ajax put their qualification hopes in doubt, but a 3-2 win over Frankfurt saw them over the line before their Anfield drubbing. Looking at the Qarabag vs Newcastle odds , the home side are 13/5 to win either half, a bet worth considering, while a home 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 win is 8/1.

13/5
● LIVE ODDS Qarabag Win Either Half

Newcastle Form Guide

Newcastle had been in dreadful domestic form prior to their trips to Spurs and Villa , suffering five defeats in six games and drawing the other one. However, they had impressed in Europe, beating PSV Eindhoven 3-0 at home before holding Paris St Germain 1-1 at the Parc des Princes to finish the league phase in 12th spot, level on points with the defending champions.

The Magpies will be relatively happy with their draw for the knockout phase, but have only won two of their last 15 European matches away from home, so the second leg at St James’ Park could be key to their hopes of progression. Anthony Gordon could also play a big part. He has scored six goals already in Europe this season and needs only one more to pass Alan Shearer and become Newcastle’s leading scorer in a single Champions League campaign.

He is 6/4 to notch again this week, or 5/1 to open the scoring the same as team-mate Harvey Barnes , who has netted five times in Europe this term, and that rounds off our Qarabag vs Newcastle betting tips.

6/4
● LIVE ODDS Anthony Gordon Anytime Goalscorer

Betting Tips

Qarabeg vs Newcastle Betting Tips

BTTS & Draw @ 5/1

Qarabag To Win Either Half @ 13/5

Qarabag To Win 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 @ 8/1

Anthony Gordon To Score Anytime @ 6/4

Anthony Gordon To Score First @ 5/1

Simply click/tap on the above betting tips to add to your betslip.

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