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Poland v Netherlands Tips, Prediction & Preview – Euro 2024

Bill Gaine on Jun 14, 2024 at 02:07 PM
Euro 2024 Football on Pitch 2

We have Poland v Netherlands tips for you plus a prediction as we breakdown the odds, team news and matchups ahead of this opening round game.

Poland head into their opening game of the tournament on the back of two rampant victories 5-0 against Andorra and 5-1 against Northern Ireland.

The Netherlands are in a similar vein of form following a 3-0 win against North Macedonia and a 1-2 win against Portugal in their June warm-up matches.

How To Watch Poland v Netherlands

When is Poland v Netherlands?

Poland v Netherlands will take place on Sunday at 2.00 pm

TV Channel

RTÉ 2

Stream

RTE Player

Where is Poland v Netherlands Being Played?

Volksparkstadion

Poland v Netherlands Odds

Team

Odds

Chance

Poland

5/1

16.7%

Netherlands

8/15

65.2%

Draw

14/5

26.3%

Poland are seen as 5/1 outsiders for their opening group game. The Netherlands are comfortable favourites to continue their strong form at 8/15 and if you fancy the draw that is priced at 14/5.

Handicap Betting

Poland +1 @ 7/5

Netherlands -1 @ 8/5

Handicap Draw +1 @ 12/5

Bet on Poland v Netherlands Odds at BoyleSports

Poland v Netherlands Betting Odds Euro 2024

Poland v Netherlands Weather Forecast

The weather is expected to be 19 degrees with a 15% chance of rain.

Poland v Netherlands Preview

Poland’s Form 

Poland qualified for Euro 2024 following their playoff Group A victory, when they demolished Estonia 5-1 in the Semi-Final before overcoming Wales 4-5 on penalties following a 0-0 draw in the final. However, they were lucky to have had the playoffs after placing third in their original qualifying group behind the Czech Republic and Albania.

Following their playoff successes over Estonia and Wales respectively their form has shown signs of picking up momentum ahead of Euro 2024. During their pre-tournament friendlies, they won two from two matches first 3-1 against Ukraine and then 2-1 against Turkey, albeit both came under home comforts.

Poland has been managed by Michał Probierz since he was appointed on the 20th of September 2023. During qualifying the Poles experimented with several formations from 4-2-3-1 to 4-3-3 there was a clear desire to try and find something that clicked. Eventually settling on a 3-5-2 in the back end of 2023 and the start of 2024. Poland are a physical side that will be expected to pick up cards at the tournament along with winning their aerial battles.

Poland's Last Five Results

Poland 2-1 Turkey | June 10th | Win

Poland 3-1 Ukraine | June 7th | Win

Wales 0-0 Poland (4-5 on Penalties) | March 26th | Draw

Poland 5-1 Estonia | March 21st | Win

Poland 2-0 Latvia | November 21st | Win

4 Wins and 1 Draw

Netherlands’ Form 

The Netherlands qualified for Euro 2024 by finishing runners-up in their qualifying Group with 6 victories and 2 defeats to come 4 points behind group winners France but ahead of Greece, the Republic of Ireland and Gibraltar scoring 17 goals and conceding 7. Ironically, they have been drawn against France again.

2024 has seen this Dutch side go from strength to strength opening their campaign with a 4-0 victory against a Scotland side who had beaten nearly a year to the day for that game, they then went close with the Germans losing 2-1. Ahead of Euro 2024, they had two comprehensive 4-0 wins first against Croatia and then against Iceland.

The Netherlands are relatively tactically flexible with their clientele but are more than likely to use some iteration of a 4-3-3 or 3-4-1-2. They tend to average roughly 56.5% of possession, complete 86.9% of their passes and take 14.4 shots per game.

In his second stint as Dutch manager, he has a win rate of 66.67% after 10 wins and 5 defeats from 15 games.

Netherlands’s Last Five Results

Netherlands 4-0 Iceland | June 10th | Win

Netherlands 4-0 Canada | June 6th | Win

Germany 2-1 Netherlands | March 26th | Loss

Netherlands 4-0 Scotland | March 22nd | Win

Gibraltar 0-6 Netherlands | November 21st | Win

4 Wins and 1 Loss

Poland v Netherlands Predicted Lineups

Poland Predicted Starting XI (3-5-2)

GK: Szczęsny

RCB: Bednarek, CB: Dawidowicz, LCB: Kiwior

RM: Frankowski, RCM: Piotrowski CM: Slisz, LCM: Zieliński, LM: Zalewski

CF: Świderski, CF: Piątek

Netherlands Predicted Starting XI (4-3-3)

GK: Verbruggen

RB: Dumfries, CB: de Vrij, CB: van Dik, LB: Aké

RM: Reijnders, CM: Schouten, LM: Veerman

RW: Simons, CF: Depay, LW: Gakpo

Poland v Netherlands Head-To-Head Results & Stats

All-Time Head-To-Head Record

Poland wins: 0

Netherlands wins: 4

Draws: 1

Head-To-Head Results

Poland 0-2 Netherlands| Nations League | September 22nd, 2022

Netherlands 2-2 Poland | Nations League | June 11th, 2022

Poland 1-2 Netherlands| Nations League | November 18th, 2020

Netherlands 1-0 Poland | Nations League | September 4th, 2020

Poland 1-2 Netherlands| Friendly | June 1st, 2016

Key Players To Watch

Piotr Zielinski - Poland

In the absence of Lewandowski who missed the first g (3roup game through injury along with Matty Cash who was also ruled out of the tournament for Poland. Napoli midfielder Zielinski (30) will have a huge tournament ahead of him as he adds to his 90 Caps for Poland and hopefully to his tally of 12 goals. He will be their main creative outlet at Euro 2024 with his 4.1 Shot Creating Actions and 3.95 Progressive Passes Received in the 92nd and 82nd percentile for all midfielders.

Xavi Simons – Netherlands

While this is far from a vintage Dutch side, they still have quality players from back to front at their disposal. Xavi Simons (21) is likely to pose their biggest attacking threat from either out wide or in attacking midfield following his 10 goals and 15 assists for RB Leipzig this season in 43 appearances. His most likely position for the Dutch is at RW where his 6.08 Shot Creating Actions and 0.36 Assists is in the 96th and 91st percentile for wingers and attacking midfielders.

Poland v Netherlands Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Poland 0-2 Netherlands

Poland have put some less-than-ropey qualifying form behind them in recent games but the loss of Lewandowski for this game and Cash for the tournament through injuries weakens their starting side considerably.

The Netherlands seem to be going from strength to strength under Koeman and are quietly gone under the radar, unlike previous tournaments. Although I’d still have questions about Koeman tactically in the later rounds they should be too good for Poland.

Best Bet: Netherlands Win + Under 3.5 Total Goals @ 23/20

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Poland v Netherlands Odds Price Boosts Euro 2024

*Prices are subject to fluctuation.

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