We take a look at the latest Pennsylvania Election Odds as we examine one of the key battleground states ahead of the US Presidential Election next November.
Ahead of the US Election, Pennsylvania is viewed as one of the key “Swing States” which could ultimately decide the winner of the US Presidential Election.
Joe Biden with the Democratic Party won this state in 2020 getting 50.01% of the vote compared to Trump with 48.84%. This was a reverse of 2016 when Trump won with 48.18% of the vote compared to Hilary Clinton who had 47.46%.
Pennsylvania Election Odds
Team | Odds | Chance |
Kamala Harris - Democrats | 4/5 | 55.6% |
Donald Trump - Republicans | 10/11 | 52.4% |
Kamala Harris is currently 4/5 favourite implying a 55.6% chance the Democrat Party wins the state for the second successive election,
Donald Trump is currently a slight outsider at 10/11 implying a 52.4% chance he will win the state for the second time after his victory in 2016
Per OddsChecker, the race to win Pennsylvania is less tight with 60% of bets going on a Democrat Party victory and with 40% of bets going on the Republican Party.
What is a Swing State?
A swing state (also known as a battleground state, toss-up state, or purple state) is any state that could reasonably be won by either the Democratic or Republican candidate in a statewide election, most often referring to presidential elections, by a swing in votes.
The seven “Swing States” which is set to decide the 2024 US Election have been dubbed as Arizona, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Georgia and Wisconsin.
The Pennsylvania State was won by Joe Biden in the 2020 US Presidential Election and was won by Donald Trump in the 2016 US Presidential Election.
Latest Polling
Per FiveThirtyEight, which is a site that focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States, the race to win the state of Pennsylvania is on a knife edge.
Factoring for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects Harris is currently leading in the polls by the slimmest of margins on a polling average of 46.4% compared to Donald Trump who is on a total of 45.5%.
Polls should always be taken with a pinch of salt as the 2016 US Presidential Election proved but those poll numbers have the Democratic Party with a razor lead.
Previous Results
During the 2020 Presidential Election, the state of Pennsylvania was won by Joe Biden with a cumulative vote of 3,458,229 which amounted to 50.01% of the vote compared with Trump’s total of 3,377,674 for 48.84%
In 2016 the state was won by Donald Trump where he earned a total of 2,970,733 votes for 48.18% of the vote compared to Hilary Clinton with 2,926,441 and 47.46%.
Pennsylvania Election Prediction & Best Bet
Prediction: Donald Trump - (The Republican Party)
This is the definition of a “Swing State” with Republicans winning 3 of the last 5 elections compared to the Democrats 2. However, Trump won this state in 2020 after losing it in 2016 so might have the edge here.
*Prices are subject to fluctuation.
Remember, Always Gamble Responsibly.
