We take a look at the latest North Carolina Election Odds as we examine one of the key battleground states ahead of the US Presidential Election next November.
Ahead of the US Election, North Carolina is viewed as one of the key “Swing States” which could ultimately decide the winner of the US Presidential Election.
Donald Trump won this state for the Republican Party in 2020 with a 49.93% share of the vote to Joe Biden’s 48.59%. This was remarkably similar to 2016 when Trump won 49.83% of the vote to Hilary Clinton’s 45.17%.
North Carolina Election Odds
Team | Odds | Chance |
Kamala Harris - Democrats | 11/8 | 42.1% |
Donald Trump - Republicans | 8/15 | 65.2% |
Kamala Harris is currently a 11/8 outsider in the race to win North Carolina which implies a 42.1% chance that the Democrat Party win the state for the first time since Barack Obama did in 2008.
Donald Trump is seen as a 8/15 favourite to win North Carolina which implies a 65.2% chance that the party wins the state for the fourth successive election
Per OddsChecker, the race to win North Carolina looks to be favouring the Democrats with 57% of bets going on their victory compared to 43% for the Republicans.
What is a Swing State?
A swing state (also known as a battleground state, toss-up state, or purple state) is any state that could reasonably be won by either the Democratic or Republican candidate in a statewide election, most often referring to presidential elections, by a swing in votes.
The seven “Swing States” which is set to decide the 2024 US Election have been dubbed as Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, North Carolina, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Latest Polling
Per FiveThirtyEight, which is a site that focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States, the race to win the state of North Carolina is on a knife edge.
Factoring for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects Kamala Harris is currently leading in the polls by the slimmest of margins on a polling average of 46.3% compared to Donald Trump who is on a total of 46%.
Polls should always be taken with a pinch of salt as the 2016 US Presidential Election proved but those poll numbers has this swing stat favouring the Republican Party.
Previous Results
During the 2020 Presidential Election, the state of North Carolina was won by Donald Trump won this state for the Republican Party in 2020 with a cumulative vote of 2,758,775 for a 49.93% share of the vote to Joe Biden’s 2,684,292 votes for a share of 48.59%.
This was a remarkably similar breakdown to 2016 when Trump won 49.83% of the vote from 2,362,631 and Hilary Clinton for 46.17% after 2,189,316 votes.
North Carolina Election Prediction & Best Bet
Prediction: Donald Trump - (The Republican Party)
While this is theoretically a “Swing State” it does tend to favour the Republican candidate in recent elections. The odds have Donald Trump's favourite which is about right, but Kamala Harris could be the value market play given how close the polls are.
*Prices are subject to fluctuation.
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