In this post, you will find all the Next President of Ireland odds, favourites and betting tips as we get closer to a new President occupying the Áras.
Ireland’s current President Michael D. Higgins was first elected to the role in 2011 before he sought a second term in 2018. He retained office, winning the election with 55.8% of the votes.
The role will change hands in 2025 when Higgins’ second term comes to an end as an Irish President can’t hold office for more than two terms. Ahead of that change of office, the betting market is currently very competitive as we look at who could be his successor.
Next President of Ireland Odds
Candidate | Odds | Chance of Winning |
---|---|---|
Mairead McGuinness | 7/2 | 22.2% |
Frances Black | 4/1 | 20% |
Fergus Finlay | 6/1 | 14.3% |
Bertie Ahern | 7/1 | 12.5% |
Roisin Shortall | 7/1 | 12.5% |
Frances Fitzgerald | 12/1 | 7.7% |
Aengus Ó Snodaigh | 14/1 | 6.7% |
Emily O'Reilly | 16/1 | 5.9% |
Heather Humphries | 16/1 | 5.9% |
Mary Lou McDonald | 16/1 | 5.9% |
Next Irish President Betting Favourites & Tips
Mairead McGuiness
The favourite to be the next President of Ireland is Mairead McGuiness with odds of 7/2 suggesting a 22.2% chance of her becoming the third female to be President of Ireland following Mary Robinson and Mary McAleese.
McGuinness was the first female graduate of UCD’s Bachelor of Science degree in Agricultural Economics in 1980, in 1984 she completed a diploma in accounting and finance before entering politics in 2004 when she was elected to the European Parliament as a Fine Gael candidate. She would spend 16 years in the European Parliament before she was put forward for the European Commissioner role in 2020 a role she was ultimately elected to and has served in since.
Due to her extensive experience in politics following a career of over two decades along with her standing in the Fine Gael Parliamentary party, she looks like a very likely candidate for the role in the coming months.
Frances Black
The second favourite to be the next President of Ireland is Frances Black at odds of 4/1. Those odds imply there is a 20% chance she will become the next President of Ireland.
Frances Black initially rose to prominence away from politics in the late 1980s when she began to play with her family's band, the Black Family, performing a mix of traditional and contemporary Irish music. However, she made the pivot in her career to politics in 2016 when she was elected at the first attempt to the Seanad as an Independent candidate receiving her nomination from the Independent Broadcasters of Ireland and ran on the Industrial and Commercial Panel. She is a member of the Civil Engagement group in the 25th Seanad.
Black for years has been outspoken for years surrounding the discourse about illegal settlements in occupied territories. She was presented the Arab American Institute Foundation (AAIF)'s Award for Individual Achievement to Black at the 20th annual Kahlil Gibran Spirit of Humanity Awards in Washington. The award was for what they saw has her "tireless efforts on behalf of those struggling with addiction and their families".
A very likely left leaning candidate for the Presidential Election and certainly not without a chance at odds of 4/1.
Fergus Finlay
Another potential candidate at third in the betting to become the next President of Ireland is Fergus Finlay who has strong ties to the Labour Party and is priced at 6/1 giving him a 14.% chance of landing the most prestigious position on the island.
Finlay previously sought the Labour Party's nomination back in 2010 to run for President in 2011 before it was eventually won by the eventual president of Ireland Michael D. Higgins. The 72-year-old has previously served as Chief Executive of Barnardos in Ireland, a charity which aims to protect vulnerable children, a role he held for 14 years. He is also known for his weekly column with the Irish Examiner.
Fergus has stated on several occasions that he would not rule out another run for the Irish Presidency and as the most likely nominee of the Labour Party he can't be ruled out going close to assuming office from Michael D. Higgins.
As a distinguished social and political commentator he may have to tone down that voice in the coming weeks and months if he wants to become the next President of Ireland.
Bertie Ahern
Next in the betting to become the next President of Ireland is another former Taoiseach Bertie Ahern at odds of 7/1 suggesting an 12.5% chance he is elected to the role.
Ahern was educated at St. Patrick's National School, Drumcondra and at St. Aidan's Christian Brothers, Whitehall. He received his third-level education at the College of Commerce, Rathmines as part of the Dublin Institute of Technology. Following several years of canvassing for Fianna Fail and being involved in the party he was first elected to the Dail in June 1981 a role he would continually be elected to until February 2011 becoming one of the most popular politicians in the country. He always displayed ambition though and worked as Minister of Finance, Labour and was the Lord Mayor of Dublin before he became leader of Fianna Fail in December 1994 and subsequently became Taoiseach of the country a role he held from June 26th, 1997, to the 7th of May 2008.
Bertie has never ruled out a run for the Irish Presidency and that speculation has intensified with a return to the party in 2023 after 11 years away from politics. He is certainly a name to keep an eye out for as although his Dail career ended in failure he is still well regarded for his role in the peace process and the Good Friday Agreement in 1998.
Roisin Shortall
Another name which has been bandied about for the role of next President of Ireland is former (TD) for the Dublin North-West constituency from 1992 to 2024 who can currently be gotten at 7/1.
Shortall was a member of the Labour Party until 2012, she sat as an Independent from 2012 to 2015, until she co-founded the Social Democrats in July 2015 and in August 2022 she became the longest serving female TD in the history of the State, overtaking Mary Harney.
While she recently retired from the Dail, she's quietly emerged as a potential candidate for the next Irish Presidential Election with a recent poll from the Sunday Independent/Ireland where she received 9.3% of the vote.
Bet on Politics Odds at BoyleSports

*Prices are subject to fluctuation.
Remember, Always Gamble Responsibly.
