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Newcastle v Arsenal Prediction, Preview & Odds – EFL Cup

Bill Gaine on Feb 5, 2025 at 05:36 PM
St James Park Home of Newcastle United

We have a Newcastle v Arsenal prediction for you plus a breakdown of the betting odds, team news and matchups ahead of their EFL Cup semi-final second leg.

Newcastle may have won the first leg 0-2 but they come into this game on the back of a 1-2 defeat against Fulham which was their second defeat in their last three games.

Arsenal on the other hand are coming off a phenomenal 5-1 victory over Man City in the Premier League which fine-stamped their credentials as genuine title contenders.

How To Watch Newcastle v Arsenal

When is Newcastle v Arsenal?

Newcastle v Arsenal will take place on Wednesday at 8 pm.

TV Channel

Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event

Where is Newcastle v Arsenal Being Played?

St. James’ Park.

Newcastle v Arsenal Odds

Team

Odds

Chance

Newcastle

2/1

33.3%

Arsenal

11/10

47.6%

Draw

12/5

29.4%

Newcastle are 2/1 to win per the latest football odds at BoyleSports. Arsenal are currently priced at odds of 11/10, and the draw as a 12/5 chance.

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Handicap Betting

Newcastle: +1 @ 4/6

Arsenal -1 @ 3/1

Handicap Draw +1 @ 3/1

Bet on Football Odds at BoyleSports

Newcastle v Arsenal Preview

Newcastle’s Form

Since the Saudi takeover, the rise in the club's stature has been constant albeit slower than City’s previous rise (due to PSR Rules). Last season they were consistent across competitions being competitive in the Champions League “Group of Death” finishing 7th in the league and reaching the Quarter-Finals in both the EFL and FA Cup.

This season was always going to be interesting to assess whether they would become a more considerable force domestically in the absence of European commitments. That’s duly transpired, currently 5th in the Premier League and already one step further in the EFL Cup as well as a lead to hold onto to try and reach their second EFL Cup final of the last three seasons.

24/25 EFL Cup Run

Second Round – Nottingham Forrest 1-1 (3-4 Penalties) Newcastle

Third Round – Newcastle 1-0 AFC Wimbledon

Fourth Round– Newcastle 2-0 Chelsea

Quarter-Final – Newcastle 3-1 Brentford

Semi-Final First Leg- Arsenal 0-2 Newcastle

Semi-Final Second Leg – Newcastle vs Arsenal

The next step for Newcastle is winning their first piece of silverware since their FA Cup success in 1955 and despite their defeat at the weekend, they look good value to do enough to qualify for the final due to their first-leg lead.

Newcastle’s Last Five Results

Newcastle 1-2 Fulham | February 1st | Loss

Crystal Palace 1-1 Newcastle | November 30th | Draw

Newcastle 0-2 West Ham | November 25th | Loss

Nottingham Forrest 1-3 Newcastle | November 10th | Win

Newcastle 1-0 Arsenal | November 2nd | Win

2 Wins, 2 Losses and 1 Draw

Arsenal’s Form 

Arteta’s Arsenal assignment for the 24/25 season was to land a “major” trophy with the club trophyless since their 2020 FA Cup final success. Though they were knocked out of the FA Cup on penalties last month against Man United elsewhere their credentials look to be a lot stronger. Currently 2nd in the Premier League, in an EFL Cup semi-final and safely through to the Round of 16 in the Champions League.

If Arsenal are going to reach the EFL Cup Final they will need to overturn their 0-2 first-leg defeat against Newcastle. Thus their game against City at the weekend was always going to be an intriguing battle in assessing where the Arsenal squad's mindset was and it’s safe to say they surpassed all expectations hammering City 5-1.

24/25 EFL Cup Run

Third Round – Arsenal 5-1 Bolton

Fourth Round – Preston 0-3 Arsenal

Quarter-Final– Arsenal 3-2 Crystal Palace

Semi-Final First Leg- Arsenal 0-2 Newcastle

Semi-Final Second Leg – Newcastle vs Arsenal

There is something about this Arsenal side unlike before, a steeliness that though not as flashy makes them less likely to crumble, unlike sides of yesteryear. Though this will be a considerable deficit to make up they aren’t without a chance.

Arsenal’s Last Five Results

Arsenal 5-1 Man City | February 4th | Win

Girona 1-2 Arsenal | January 29th | Draw

Wolves 0-1 Arsenal | January 25th | Win

Arsenal 3-0 Dinamo Zagreb | January 22nd | Win

Arsenal 2-2 Aston Villa | January 18th | Draw

3 Wins and 2 Draws

Newcastle v Arsenal Predicted Lineups

Newcastle Predicted Starting XI(4-3-3)

GK: Pope.

RB: Livramento, CB: Schar, CB: Burn, LB: Hall

RM: Tonali, CM: Guimarães, LM: Joelinton

RW: Murphy CF: Isak, LW: Gordon

Arsenal Predicted Starting XI (4-3-3)

GK: Raya.

RB: Timber, CB: Saliba, CB: Gabriel, LB: Lewis-Skelly

CM: Odegaard, CM: Partey, CM: Rice

RW: Martinelli, CF: Havertz, LW: Trossard

Newcastle v Arsenal Head-To-Head Results & Stats

All-Time Head-To-Head Record

Newcastle wins: 71

Arsenal wins: 85

Draws: 39

Head-To-Head Results Last Five Matches

Arsenal 0-2 Newcastle | League Cup | January 7th, 2025

Newcastle 1-0 Arsenal | Premier League | November 2nd, 2024

Arsenal 4-1 Newcastle | Premier League | February 24th, 2024

Newcastle 1-0 Arsenal | Premier League | November 4th, 2023

Newcastle 0-2 Arsenal | Premier League | May 7th, 2023

Key Players To Watch

Alexander Isak – Newcastle

The “New Zlatan” (25) is one of the most potent finishers in the Premier League and as his nickname suggests also has the skill and holding-the-ball-up ability of his legendary compatriot. This season he has continued his flying form from last year with 19 goals and 5 assists in 26 games. He is 9/2 to score first in this game and 7/5 to score anytime.

Kai Havertz – Arsenal

Unfashionable yet effective, Havertz is integral to this Arsenal side and despite valid criticisms over his finishing ability there is a reason Arteta continues to persist with him in the side and it's because he’s crucial to the system. His goal contribution tally remains acceptable too with 15 goals and 5 assists from 33 games. He is priced at 13/2 to be the first goal scorer and 9/4 to score anytime.

Newcastle v Arsenal Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Newcastle 1-2 Arsenal

This game will be a test of Newcastle’s resolve, they hold a lead but are likely to have to hold off an Arsenal side in tip-top form, it will be interesting to see if Eddie Howe takes extra provisions with his system to stop an attempted onslaught.

Arsenal showed they can score the goals required of them to overcome their first-leg deficit with their win over City at the weekend but will also know Newcastle are playing far better than City this season.

This is a very difficult game to call but I think Arsenal will win this game but will not be able to overturn their first-leg defeat.

Best Bet: Arsenal Win By Exactly 1 Goal @ 3/1

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*Prices are subject to fluctuation.

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