Netherlands v Turkey Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview – Euro 2024 Quarter-Final

We have a Netherlands v Turkey prediction for you plus betting tips as we break down this Euro 2024 quarter-final clash.

The Netherlands put in a convincing display to beat Romania 0-3 in the Round of 16 following a Gakpo goal and a late brace from Malen. They head into this game as favourites to book their place in the semis.

Turkey won the Round of 16 “Dark Horse Derby” 1-2 against Austria in the last round and have very much turned around their form from the beginning of the year going winless before the tournament commenced.

How To Watch Netherlands v Turkey

When is the Netherlands v Turkey?

Netherlands v Turkey will take place on Saturday at 8.00 pm.

TV Channel

RTÉ 2 and ITV 1

Stream

RTE Player and ITV X

Where is Netherlands v Turkey Being Played?

Olympiastadion, Berlin

Netherlands v Turkey Odds

The Netherlands are priced at 11/20 to book their place in the semi-finals. Turkey are 9/2 to pull off another shock and the draw in 90 minutes is 3/1.

Handicap Betting

Netherlands: - 1 @ 8/5

Turkey: +1 @ 11/8

Handicap Draw: -1 @ 5/2

Netherlands v Turkey Preview

Netherlands’ Form

The Netherlands qualified for Euro 2024 by finishing runners-up in their qualifying Group with 6 victories and 2 defeats to come behind France but ahead of Greece, the Republic of Ireland and Gibraltar scoring 17 goals and conceding 7. They started their 2024 campaign with a 4-0 victory against Scotland before they went close with Germany losing 2-1. Ahead of Euro 2024, they had two comprehensive 4-0 wins first against Croatia and then against Iceland.

In their opening game of the tournament, they came from one goal behind to beat Poland 1-2. That was followed by a 0-0 draw against France where if it wasn’t for some referee controversy they may have won the game. However, the Dutch lost their final group game to Austria in a 2-3 thriller. Their 0-3 Round of 16 victory against Romania was one of their stronger performances in the tournament amassing 23 shots for an XG of 2.93 from 65% of possession.

The Netherlands are a tactically flexible side and used 4-3-3 and 3-4-1-2 before the tournament. During Euro 2024 they have set themselves up in a 4-3-3 and have averaged 15.8 shots per game, 54.7% of possession from a pass completion percentage of 87.2% and have won 13.5 aerials per game. Koeman in his second stint as Dutch manager has a win rate of 63.16% after 12 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats from 19 games.

Netherlands's Last Five Results

Romania 0-3 Netherlands | July 2nd | Win

Netherlands 2-3 Austria | June 25th | Loss

Netherlands 0-0 France | June 21st | Draw

Netherlands 0-0 France | June 21st | Draw

Poland 1-2 Netherlands | June 16th | Win

2 Wins, 2 Draws and 1 Loss

Turkey’s Form 

Turkey qualified for Euro 2024 by topping Group D with 5 victories, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their games against Croatia, Wales, Armenia and Latvia following 14 goals scored and 7 conceded. They then opened the year with a 1-0 defeat and a 6-1 defeat against Hungary and Netherlands. Ahead of the tournament, they had a 0-0 draw against Italy and lost 2-1 against Poland.

Turkey opened their Euro 2024 account with a 3-1 victory over Georgia to end their six-game winless run through goals from Muldur, Guler and Aktürkoğlu. In their second group game, they were defeated convincingly 0-3 by Portugal. Their qualifying hopes were in serious jeopardy until Tosun’s 94th-minute winner against Czechia 1-2 in their final group game. A Demiral double in their Round of 16 win over Austria meant they avenged their earlier in the year defeat to Turkey and booked their place in the Quarter-Finals.

Montella has managed Turkey since he was appointed on the 21st of September and has a record of 6 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from his 12 games in charge with a goal difference of +0. Turkey primarily uses a 4-2-3-1 formation and are known to play on the front one of the leading sides for non-penalty XG and high turnovers in the tournament. They also have had 14.3 shots per game, an average of 51% possession for a pass completion percentage of 86.1% and 15 aerials won per game.

Turkey's Last Five Results

Austria 1-2 Turkey | July 2nd | Draw

Czechia 1-2 Turkey | June 26th | Win

Turkey 0-3 Portugal | June 22nd | Loss

Turkey 3-1 Georgia | June 18th | Win

Poland 2-1 Turkey | June 10th | Loss

3 Wins, 1 Draw and 1 Loss

Netherlands v Turkey Weather Forecast

The weather is expected to be 22 degrees with a 20% chance of rain.

Netherlands v Turkey Predicted Lineups

Netherlands Predicted Starting XI (4-3-3)

GK: Verbruggen

RB: Dumfries, CB: de Vrij, CB: van Dik, LB: Aké

CM: Reijnders, CM: Schouten, AM: Simons

RW: Malen, CF: Depay, LW: Gakpo

Turkey Predicted Starting XI (4-2-3-1)

GK: Günok

RB: Müldür, CB: Demiral, CB: Bardakcı, LB: Kadıoğlu

CM: Yulsek, CM: Ayhan

RW: Guler, AM: Çalhanoğlu, LW: Yildiz

CF: Yilmaz

Netherlands v Turkey Head-To-Head Results & Stats

All-Time Head-To-Head Record

Netherlands wins: 9

Turkey wins: 4

Draws: 4

Head-To-Head Results

Netherlands 6-1 Turkey | World Cup Qualifying | September 7th, 2021

Turkey 4-2 Netherlands | World Cup Qualifying | March 24th, 2021

Turkey 3-0 Netherlands | Euro Qualifying | September 6th, 2015

Netherlands 1-1 Turkey | Euro Qualifying | March 28th, 2015

Turkey 0-2 Netherlands | World Cup Qualifying | October 15th, 2013

Key Players To Watch

Cody Gakpo – Netherlands

The Liverpool attacker (25) is having a brilliant tournament with the Dutch National Team with 3 Goals and 1 Assist from his 4 tournament ties so far. Gakpo is a tactically versatile footballer but has generally played on the LW so far at Euro 2024. He is an accomplished passer and finisher and also provides a high level of defensive contribution when out of possession.

Arda Güler – Turkey

Ahead of the tournament much was expected of the Turkish teenage sensation (19) who was coming off a club season with Real Madrid who despite having injury issues still scored 7 times in 13 games.

Arda has a huge future ahead of him though the dynamic attacker can do it all dribble, shoot, pass and stole the show with his stunner in their opening game victory against Georgia.

So far this tournament he has 1 Goal and 1 Assist from his 3 starts and 1 sub appearance and will be a huge threat again against the Dutch.

Netherlands v Turkey Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Netherlands 1-2 Turkey

The Dutch are an interesting case, their recent 0-3 win over Romania was arguably their strongest performance of the tournament and their 0-0 group game against France shows they can mix it with the best.

Quietly going about their business this side despite being less fancied than previous Dutch teams are two games away from a final

Turkey have transformed their fortunes from not only Euro 2020 where they were pointless but even earlier in the year when they were blown away by Austria to beating them to reach this stage. They have always been considered a potential “dark horse” for tournaments but with some of the “stronger nations” failing to perform they might have a proper chance of winning Euro 2024.

The Netherlands are worthy favourites, but if this is a game I could see there being a shock! The Turks are no pushovers and will give the Dutch a good game regardless of what happens on Saturday.

Best Bet: Turkey @ 9/2

*Prices are subject to fluctuation.

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