Leeds vs Arsenal Prediction: The One Trend That Points To Gunners Victory

BOYLE Sports Team • 30 January 2026 at 05:50pm

Leeds vs Arsenal prediction with expert betting tips and latest odds as the two sides meet in the Premier League.

Arsenal's title credentials will be put to the test as they head to Leeds’ Elland Road fortress after seeing their lead at the top trimmed to four points.

Last weekend’s 3-2 home loss to Manchester United followed goalless draws with Nottingham Forest and Liverpool and gave fresh hope to the Gunners’ title rivals.

Arsenal responded with a 3-2 midweek triumph over Kairat Almaty to maintain their 100% Champions League record, although the margin of victory was the narrowest of their eight wins.

Leeds vs Arsenal Prediction – Premier League 2025/26

Leeds win

Arsenal win

Draw

However, Mikel Arteta will take the positives, including another goal for maligned forward Viktor Gyokeres , a first of the season for fit-again Kai Havertz , and the fact he was able to rest the likes of Bukayo Saka and Gabriel.

And they will be needed for the trip to Championship winners Leeds , who have lost just once since November and have only been beaten twice in their last 31 home league games.

Arsenal have a phenomenal record against the West Yorkshire side though, and we think they could snatch a much-needed victory and our prediction is an away win with under 3.5 goals @ 23/20.

6/5

● LIVE ODDS Arsenal/Under 3.5 Match Result And Total Goals O/U 3.5

Leeds vs Arsenal Betting Odds – Premier League 2025/26

Result	Odds	Chance
Leeds	9/2	18.2%
Arsenal	11/20	64.5%
Draw	14/5	26.3%

*Odds are correct at the time of writing, but subject to change.

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If the team you back in the match betting market goes 2 goals ahead at any stage in the game, you will get paid out as a winner, even if they go on to draw or lose. T&Cs apply.

Will Either Team Go 2+ Goals Ahead In Leeds vs Arsenal? EPL 2025/26

Yes, Leeds will

Yes, Arsenal will

No, neither team

Leeds vs Arsenal Preview

A hostile atmosphere is expected at Elland Road as Leeds look to extend their impressive home form against the league leaders.

Arsenal will be desperate to steady the ship after a wobble in domestic form, knowing any further slip-ups could drag them into a title race they once looked to have under control.

How to Watch Leeds vs Arsenal

The match is scheduled to begin at 3pm and will be shown live on Sky Sports Premier League.

Leeds Form Guide

Leeds welcome the leaders having made huge strides towards safety in the last few months.

Since suffering a run of six defeats in seven matches, Daniel Farke’s men have lost just once in 11 games and that defeat was only because Newcastle struck twice in stoppage time to snatch a 4-3 win.

Six of those matches have ended in draws, including Monday’s trip to Everton , and you can get 14/5 for the points to be shared again this weekend.

14/5

● LIVE ODDS Draw Match Betting

Dominic Calvert-Lewis was unable to score against his old club but, having struck eight in his last 11 games for Leeds , he could pose a threat for Arsenal and he is 5/2 to get on the scoresheet again.

11/4

● LIVE ODDS Dominic Calvert-Lewin Anytime Goalscorer

James Justin has scored twice in three games and you can get 11/1 if you fancy him to add to that.

Arsenal Form Guide

Arsenal may not have been able to continue their scintillating form from the first half of the season but they still remain well-placed in all four competitions.

They will not want to lose any more daylight at the top of the Premier League though, knowing that Manchester City or Aston Villa could move to within a point if results go against the Gunners.

Elland Road will be a test of nerve but Leeds have actually been one of Arsenal’s favourite opponents.

You have to go back to 2003 for Leeds’ last win in this fixture, since when the Gunners have claimed 13 wins in 15 meetings — including a 5-0 home rout in August.

Arsenal have also scored four goals in half of their 10 visits to Elland Road this century, with odds of 6/1 to do the same on Saturday.

With Havertz now back fit and firing, Arteta has even more goalscoring options, and that spells good news for punters thanks to BOYLE Sports’ Sub Swap feature.

For example, if you back Gabriel Jesus (5/1) , Saka (5/1) or Leandro Trossard (11/2) to open the scoring at Leeds , then any live bet will immediately transfer to their replacement if they are substituted — which could be the likes of Gyokeres , Gabriel Martinelli or Eberechi Eze.