In this post, we take a look at the latest Irish General Election odds as there has been some movement in the betting markets.
Irish General Election Odds
Party | Odds | Chance |
|---|---|---|
Sinn Fein | 4/9 | 69.2% |
Fine Gael | 2/1 | 33.3% |
Fianna Fail | 11/2 | 15.4% |
Independent Ireland | 25/1 | 3.8% |
Social Democrats | 200/1 | 0.5% |
Labour | 1000/1 | 0.1% |
Aontu | 1500/1 | 0.1% |
Green Party | 1500/1 | 0.1% |
Irish General Election Betting
Fine Gael are closing in on Sinn Féin in the betting to win most seats at the next Irish general election after BoyleSports trimmed their chances into 2/1 from 9/2 following an opinion poll boost for leader Simon Harris.
The Irish Times Ipsos MRBI poll indicated a post-Varadkar bounce for Fine Gael, who went up four points to 23%, while support for Sinn Féin dropped six points to leave both parties level in the popularity stakes. Harris has also been backed down to 9/4 from 4/1 to be Taoiseach after the next visit to the ballot box, putting him hot on the heels of 10/11 favourite Mary Lou McDonald.
The chances of Sinn Féin emerging with most seats from the next general election remain odds-on at 4/9, but their grip on favouritism has weakened since the start of the year when they were hot 1/6 shots. Fianna Fáil, who were unchanged at 20% in the latest survey, would be 11/2 third favourites if the election was called today.
The swing in the figures also means a majority of punters are now expecting to be called to polling stations before the end of the year, with a 2024 vote now favoured at 8/11 as opposed to an election in early 2025 (Even money).
Lawrence Lyons, spokesperson for BoyleSports said:
“The general election outcome looked like a foregone conclusion a few months ago if the odds were anything to go by, but this is the biggest swing in some time and punters are bracing themselves for a close run thing.”
Bet on Irish General Election Odds at BoyleSports
*Prices are subject to fluctuation.
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