Wondering what the Mayo Irish General Election odds are? Well then wonder no longer as we have you covered with all the latest odds for this constituency.
We also break down everything you need to know about the constituency including the number of seats available, previous election results and candidate track records.
Mayo General Election Odds
Candidate | Odds | Chance |
|---|---|---|
Alan Dillon (Fine Gael) | 1/100 | 99% |
Rose Conway--Walsh (Sinn Féin) | 1/25 | 96.2% |
Dara Calleary (Fianna Fáil) | 1/10 | 90.9% |
Lisa Chambers (Fianna Fáil) | 2/5 | 71.4% |
Mark Duffy (Fine Gael) | 4/7 | 63.6% |
Keira Keogh (Fine Gael) | 15/8 | 34.8% |
Martin Jennings (Fine Gael) | 5/2 | 28.6% |
Paul Lawless (Aontu) | 7/2 | 22.2% |
Patsy O’Brien (Independent) | 9/2 | 18.2% |
Gerry Murray (Sinn Féin) | 6/1 | 14.3% |
Stephen Kerr (Independent) | 9/1 | 10% |
Chris Maxwell (Independent Ireland) | 12/1 | 7.7% |
Mayo Favourites For Election
Alan Dillon (Fine Gael) – Mayo Favourite For Election
The favourite to be elected in Mayo is Alan Dillon (Fine Gael) at odds of 1/100. Those odds imply that he has a 99% chance of being elected in this constituency.
Prior to entering politics, he was a two-time All Star winning Gaelic footballer who captained the senior Mayo county team. He was first elected to the Dáil in the 2020 general election and nd previously served as secretary of the Fine Gael parliamentary party. He most recently held the role as Minister of State at the Department of Housing, Local Government and Heritage.
Rose Conway--Walsh (Sinn Féin)
According to the latest betting odds, Rose Conway--Walsh (Sinn Féin) is the next most likely candidate to earn a seat in Mayo at odds of 1/25. These odds suggest that he has a 96.2% chance of winning a seat in this constituency.
Rose has been a TD for this area since being elected in 2020 having previously held the position as Sinn Féin leader of the Seanad from 2016 to 2020.
Dara Calleary (Fianna Fáil)
Next up in the Mayo 2024 Irish Election odds is Dara Calleary (Fianna Fáil) who has been given odds of 1/10 to win a Dáil seat. Those odds imply he has a 90.9% chance of election.
Dara has been a TD for the Mayo constituency since the 2007 general election and has held a number of prominent positions in the party as Minister for Agriculture, Food and the Marine from July to August 2020, Deputy leader of Fianna Fáil from 2018 to 2020 and Minister of State for Labour Affairs from 2009 to 2011. He as most recently Minister of State for Trade Promotion, Digital and Company Regulation.
Mayo Breakdown
Number of seats
There are 5 seats up for grabs in Mayo.
2020 Mayo General Election Results (Outgoing TDs)
Alan Dillon (Fine Gael) –23% of First Preference Votes (FPV)
Rose Conway--Walsh (Sinn Féin) – 22.7% FPV, elected on 1st count
Dara Calleary (Fianna Fáil) – 14.2% FPV, elected on 7th count
Lisa Chambers (Fianna Fáil) – 9.9% FPV, elected on 7th count
Alan Dillon (Fine Gael) – 8.1% FPV, elected on 7th count
Mayo Projected Results
Alan Dillon (Fine Gael) is projected to be the first candidate elected in Mayo according to the latest Politics betting odds at BoyleSports.
Rose Conway--Walsh (Sinn Féin) and Dara Calleary (Fianna Fáil) are also expected to follow and win a seat in the next Dáil. With Lisa Chambers (Fianna Fáil) closely following her Fianna Fáil counterpart.
The fifth and final seat will likely be one of three Fine Gael candidates Mark Duffy, Keira Keogh and Martina Jennings.
Mayo Irish Election Tips
With 5 seats up for grabs in Mayo and 4 of those looking more or less nailed on, it leaves us with a situation where the betting interest here is in who will take that 5th seat.
One line of thought ahead of this constituency is whether or not the four-candidate strategy will pay dividends for Fine Gael, but the last time they did in 2011 all four were elected. Times have changed from that record-breaking election though and they aren’t guaranteed to even win two this time around.
In 2020 Michael Ring topped the poll with 23% of the first preference vote with Rose-Conway Walsh, Dara Calleary, Lisa Chambers and Alan Dillon being elected.
Fine Gael are there for the taking though and I’d be looking at Paul Lawless (Aontu) and Patsy O’Brien (Independent) to be thereabouts for a seat during the count.
Bet on Irish Election Odds at BoyleSports
*Prices are subject to fluctuation.
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