Wondering what the Louth Irish General Election odds are? Well then wonder no longer as we have you covered with all the latest odds for this constituency.
We also break down everything you need to know about the constituency including the number of seats available, previous election results and candidate track records.
Louth General Election Odds
Candidate | Odds | Chance |
|---|---|---|
Joanna Byrne (Sinn Féin) | 1/20 | 99% |
Ruairi Ó Murchú (Sinn Féin) | 1/8 | 88.9% |
Ged Nash (Labour) | 1/5 | 83.3% |
Erin McGreehan (Fianna Fáil) | 1/2 | 66.7% |
John McGahon (Fine Gael) | 1/2 | 66.7% |
Kevin Callan (Independent) | 5/6 | 54.5% |
Alison Comyn (Fianna Fáil)) | 2/1 | 33.3% |
Marianne Butler (Green Party) | 2/1 | 33.3% |
Antoin Watters (Sinn Féin) | 9/2 | 18.2% |
Hermann Kelly (Irish Freedom Party) | 8/1 | 11.1% |
Paula Butterly (Fine Gael) | 20/1 | 4.8% |
Michael O’Dowd (Aontu) | 25/1 | 3.8% |
Louth Favourites For Election
Joanna Byrne (Sinn Fein) – Louth Favourite For Election
The favourite to be elected in Louth is Joanna Byrne (Sinn Féin) at odds of 1/20. Those odds imply that he has a 99% chance of being elected in this constituency.
Joanna is currently a Clr on the Louth County Council and also the Chairwoman of Drogheda United FC. This is her first time running for general election.
Ruairi Ó Murchú(Sinn Féin)
According to the latest betting odds, Ruairi Ó Murchú (Sinn Féin) is the next most likely candidate to earn a seat in Louth at odds of 1/8. These odds suggest that he has an 88.9% chance of winning a seat in this constituency.
Ruairi has been a TD since the 2020 general election and was also a member of Louth County Council from 2017 to 2020.
Ged Nash (Labour)
Next up in the Louth 2024 Irish Election odds is Ged Nash (Labour) who has been given odds of 1/5 to win a Dáil seat. Those odds imply he has an 83.3% chance of election.
Ged has been a TD since 2020 and was previously one from 2011 to 2016. He served as Minister of State for Business and Employment from 2014 to 2016 and was a Senator for the Labour Panel from 2016 to 2020.
Louth Breakdown
Number of seats
There are 5 seats up for grabs in Louth with poll topper from 2020 Imelda Munster retiring as well as Peter Fitzpatrick (Independent).
2020 Louth General Election Results (Outgoing TDs)
Imelda Munster (Sinn Féin) –24.3% of First Preference Votes (FPV)
Ruairi Ó Murchú(Sinn Féin) – 17.7% FPV, elected on 10th count
Fergus O’Dowd (Fine Gael) – 9% FPV, elected on 10th count
Peter Fitzpatrick (Fine Gael) – 8.6% FPV, elected on 10th count
Ged Nash (Labour) – 8.2% FPV, elected on 10th count
Louth Projected Results
Joanna Byrne (Sinn Féin) is projected to be the first candidate elected in Louth according to the latest Politics betting odds at BoyleSports.
Ruairi Ó Murchú (Sinn Féin) and Ged Nash (Labour) are also expected to follow and win a seat in the next Dáil.
There looks to be a battle for both the fourth and fifth seats with Erin McGreehan (Fianna Fáil) and John McGahon (Fine Gael) the most likely winners.
Louth Irish Election Tips
With 5 seats up for grabs in Louth and the first five candidates money on for election this on paper looks to be simple but I think it’s not as tied up as the odds would suggest.
Retiring TD Peter Fitzpatrick though was Independent came from the Fine Gael so it’ll be interesting to see what way his transfers go with Kevin Callan (Independent), not without a chance. Those John McGahon odds could be very short given recent controversies too.
In 2020 Imelda Munster topped the poll with 24.3% of the first preference vote with Ruairi Ó Murchú, Fergus O’Dowd, Peter Fitzpatrick and Ged Nash also elected.
Hermann Kelly (Irish Freedom Party) will be interesting to watch as to where his transfers go too.
Bet on Irish Election Odds at BoyleSports
*Prices are subject to fluctuation.
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