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Irish General Election: Kerry Odds, Favourites, & Projections
Wondering what the Kerry Irish General Election odds are? Well then wonder no longer as we have you covered with all the latest odds for this constituency.
We also break down everything you need to know about the constituency including the number of seats available, previous election results and candidate track records.
Kerry General Election Odds
Candidate | Odds | Chance |
|---|---|---|
Michael Healy Rae (Independent) | 1/1000 | 99.9% |
Norma Foley (Fianna Fáil) | 1/33 | 97.1% |
Danny Healy Rae (Independent) | 1/25 | 96.2% |
Billy O’Shea (Fine Gael) | 1/7 | 87.5% |
Pa Daly (Sinn Féin) | 2/5 | 71.4% |
Michael Cahill (Fianna Fáil) | 8/11 | 57.9% |
Michelle Keane (Independent) | 7/2 | 22.2% |
Linda Gordon-Kelleher (Fianna Fáil) | 9/1 | 10% |
Stephanie O’Shea (Sinn Féin) | 25/1 | 3.8% |
Mike Kennedy (Labour) | 33/1 | 2.9% |
Kerry's Favourites For Election
Michael Healy Rae (Independent) – Kerry Favourite For Election
The favourite to be elected in Kerry is Michael Healy Rae (Independent) at odds of 1/1000. Those odds imply that he has a 99.9% chance of being elected in this constituency.
Michael has been a TD of Kerry since 2016 and was previously a TD for Kerry South. He previously served as Chair of the Committee on European Union Affairs from 2016 to 2020.
Norma Foley (Fianna Fáil)
According to the latest betting odds, Norma Foley (Fianna Fáil) is the next most likely candidate to earn a seat in Kerry at odds of 1/33. These odds suggest that she has a 97.1% chance of winning a seat in this constituency.
She has been a TD since her election in 2020 after several years involved in local politics. She is the current Minister for Education.
Danny Healy Rae (Independent)
Next up in the Kerry 2024 Irish Election odds is Hildegarde Naughten (Fine Gael) who has been given odds of 1/25 to win a Dáil seat. Those odds imply he has a 96.2% chance of election.
Danny (the older brother of Michael) has been a TD for the Kerry constituency since the 2016 general election. In May 2020, he called for the Leaving Certificate to go ahead with proper social distancing due to COVID-19, possibly using community centres and public libraries.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l4T-ERNo8Cw
Kerry Breakdown
Number of seats
There are 5 seats up for grabs in Kerry
2020 Kerry General Election Results
Michael Healy Rae (Independent) – 21.6% FPV,
Pa Daly (Sinn Féin) – 20.3% FPV
Brendan Griffin (Fine Gael) – 13.3% FPV, elected on 6th count
Danny Healy Rae (Independent) – 11.2% FPV, elected on 6th count
Norma Foley (Fianna Fáil) – 8.8% FPV, elected on 8th count
Kerry Projected Results
Michael Healy Rae (Independent) is projected to be the first candidate elected in Kerry according to the latest Politics betting odds at BoyleSports.
Norma Foley (Fianna Fáil) and Danny Healy Rae (Independent) are expected to land the next seats.
The final two seats are very likely to be Billy O’Shea (Fine Gael) and Pa Daly (Sinn Féin).
Kerry Irish Election Tips
With 5 seats up for grabs in Kerry and six candidates' money, this is an area with little value in the odds marker.
However, Billy O’Shea doesn’t seem as nailed on to me as his odds would first suggest
In 2020 Pearse Doherty topped the poll with 22.6% of the first preference vote with the other seats taken by Heather Humphreys, Pádraig Mac Lochlainn, Brendan Smith and Niamh Smyth.
Independent Michelle Keane could be an outside bet.
Bet on Irish Election Odds at BoyleSports
*Prices are subject to fluctuation.
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