BoyleSports

Irish General Election: Dublin West Odds, Favourites, & Projections

Bill Gaine on Nov 25, 2024 at 04:54 PM
Dail

Wondering what the Dublin West Irish General Election odds are? Well then wonder no longer as we have you covered with all the latest odds for this constituency.

We also break down everything you need to know about the constituency including the number of seats available, previous election results and candidate track records.

Dublin West General Election Odds

Candidate

Odds

Chance

Paul Donnelly (Sinn Fein)

1/33

97.1%

Jack Chambers (Fianna Fáil)

1/14

93.3%

Emer Currie (Fine Gael)

1/6

85.7%

Ruth Coppinger (People Before Profit-Solidarity)

2/5

71.4%

John Walsh (Labour)

8/11

57/9%

Roderic O’Gorman (Green Party)

8/11

57.9%

Tania Doyle (Independent)

2/1

33.3%

Ellen Troy (Aontú)

5/1

16.7%

Patrick Quinlan (National Party)

6/1

14.3%

Lorna Nolan (Fianna Fáil)

14/1

6.7%

Breda Hanaphy (Sinn Féin)

16/1

5.9%

Ellen Murphy (Social Democrats)

16/1

5.9%

Susanne Delaney (Independent)

16/1

5.9%

Dublin West Favourites For Election

Paul Donnelly (Sinn Fein) – Dublin West Favourite For Election

The favourite to be elected in Dublin West is Paul Donnelly (Sinn Fein) at odds of 1/33. Those odds imply that he has a 97.1% chance of being elected in this constituency.

Paul Donnelly has served as TD for this constituency since 2020 where notably topped the poll coming ahead of the sitting Taoiseach Leo Varadkar.

Jack Chambers (Fianna Fáil)

Next up in the Dublin West 2024 Irish Election odds is Jack Chambers (Fianna Fáil) who has been given odds of 1/14 to win a Dáil seat. Those odds imply that they have a 93.3% chance of election.

Jack has served as a TD since 2016 and despite being one of the “younger” politiciains in the Dáil has served in several prominent positions including as Minister of State for Transport from 2022-2024.

Emer Currie (Fine Gael)

According to the latest betting odds Emer Currie (Fine Gael) is the next most likely candidate to earn a seat in Dublin West at odds of 1/6 These odds suggest that Currie 85.7% chance of winning a seat in this constituency.

Emer was previously a member of of Fingal County Council from 2019 to 2020 and was an unsuccessful running mate with Leo Varadkar in Dublin West back in 2020.

Dublin West Breakdown

Number of seats

There are 5 seats up for grabs in Dublin West which has changed from being a 4 seater from 2011-2024,

2020 Dublin West General Election Results (Outgoing TDs)

Paul Donnelly (Sinn Féin) – 29.7% of First Preference Votes (FPV)

(Leo Varadkar) (Fine Gael) – 19.4% FPV, elected on 5th count

Jack Chambers (Fianna Fáill) – 15.8% FPV, elected on 6th count

Roderic O’Gorman (Green Party) – 11.2% FPV elected on 6th count

Dublin West Projected Results

Seán Crowe (Sinn Fein) is projected to be the first candidate elected in Dublin West according to the latest Politics betting odds at BoyleSports.

Emer Currie (Fine Gael) and Jack Chambers (Fianna Fáil) are also expected to follow and win a seat in the next Dáil.

If the election results follow the odds Ruth Coppinger (People Before Profit-Solidarity) looks very likely to take the next seat. Finally, the fifth and final seat is likely to be a toss up betwee John Walsh (Labour) and Roderic O’Gorman (Green Party).

Dublin West Irish Election Tips

With 5 seats up for grabs in Dublin Central and 4 of those looking more or less nailed on, it leaves us with a situation where the betting interest here is in who will take that 5th seat.

The betting suggests that John Walsh and Roderic O’Gorman are the two main contenders for that seat but I there are a handful of interesting players in the market that could rival them.

John Walsh Labour elected Add to Betslip

In 2020 favourite to take a seat here Paul Donnelly (Sinn Fein) earned 28.6% of the first preference vote which was considerably more than next best Taoiseach at the time Leo Varadkar (Fine Gael) with 19.4%.

Independent Clr Tanya Doyle seems to have have a strong local presence can be gotten at 2/1 and Ellen Troy for Aontú could be well positioned at 5/1 to profit from the parties rising poll numbers.

Bet on Irish Election Odds at BoyleSports

*Prices are subject to fluctuation.

Remember, Always Gamble Responsibly.

Boyle Sports Blog Responsible Gambling Message
2014-2024 Boylesports.com All rights reserved.