Wondering what the Dublin South West Irish General Election odds are? Well then wonder no longer as we have you covered with all the latest odds for this constituency.
We also break down everything you need to know about the constituency including the number of seats available, previous election results and candidate track records.
Dublin South West General Election Odds
Candidate | Odds | Chance |
|---|---|---|
Seán Crowe (Sinn Fein) | 1/100 | 99% |
Colm Brophy (Fine Gael) | 1/10 | 90.9% |
John Lahart (Fianna Fáil) | 1/10 | 90.9% |
Paul Murphy (People Before Profit-Solidarity) | 4/11 | 73.3% |
Alan Edge (Independent) | 8/11 | 57.9% |
Ciarán Ahern (Labour) | 8/11 | 57.9% |
Niamh Whelan (Sinn Féin) | 11/4 | 26.7% |
Paddy Holohan (Independent) | 5/1 | 16.7% |
Ross O’Mullane (Social Democrats) | 6/1 | 14.3% |
Francis Noel Duffy (Green Party) | 8/1 | 11.1% |
Sarah Barnes (Fine Gael) | 10/1 | 9.1% |
Teresa Costello (Fianna Fáil) | 14/1 | 6.7% |
Yan Mac Oireachtaigh (National Party) | 50/1 | 2% |
Dublin South West Favourites For Election
Seán Crowe (Sinn Fein) – Dublin South West Favourite For Election
The favourite to be elected in Dublin South West is Seán Crowe (Sinn Fein) at odds of 1/100. Those odds imply that Seán Crowe (Sinn Fein) has a 99% chance of being elected in this constituency.
Seán Crowe has served as TD for this constituency since 2011 and most notably was Chair of the Committee on Health from the 15th of September 2020 to the 8th of November 2024.
Colm Brophy (Fine Gael)
According to the latest betting odds Colm Brophy (Fine Gael) is the joint second most likely candidate to earn a seat in Dublin South West at odds of 1/10 These odds suggest that Colm Brophy (Fine Gael) has a 90.9% chance of winning a seat in this constituency.
Colm has served as a TD for this constituency since being elected in the 2016 general election. His most recent position of note was when he served as Minister of State for Foreign Affairs from 2020-2022.
John Lahart (Fianna Fáil)
Next up in the Dublin South West 2024 Irish Election odds is John Lahart (Fianna Fáil) who has been given odds of 1/10 to win a Dáil seat. Those odds imply that they have a 90.9% chance of election.
John has served as a TD for this constituency since being elected in the 2016 general election. Lahart in 2020 was tipped for a Minister of State role but he opposed the programme for government and was not appointed to any prominent position.
Dublin South West Breakdown
Number of seats
There are 5 seats up for grabs in Dublin South West which has been the case since the 2016 General Election.
2020 Dublin South West General Election Results (Outgoing TDs)
Sean Crowe (Sinn Féin) – 29.7% of First Preference Votes (FPV)
Paul Murphy (Solidarity PBP) – 6.6% FPV, elected on 8th count
Colm Brophy (Fine Gael) – 12.2% FPV, elected on 10th count
John Lahart (Fianna Fáil) – 8.1% FPV, elected on 11th count
Francis Noel Duffy (Green Party) – 7.3% FPV elected on 11th count
Dublin South West Projected Results
Seán Crowe (Sinn Fein) is projected to be the first candidate elected in Dublin South West according to the latest Politics betting odds at BoyleSports. Colm Brophy (Fine Gael) and John Lahart (Fianna Fáil) are also expected to follow and win a seat in the next Dáil.
If the election results follow the odds Paul Murphy (People Before Profit-Solidarity) looks very likely to take the next seat. Finally, the fifth and final seat is likely to be a toss up betwee Alan Edge (Independent) and Ciarán Ahern (Labour).
Dublin South West Irish Election Tips
With 5 seats up for grabs in Dublin Central and 4 of those looking more or less nailed on, it leaves us with a situation where the betting interest here is in who will take that 5th seat.
The betting suggests that Alan Edge and Ciaran Ahern are the two main contenders for that seat but I there are a handful of interesting players in the market that could rival them.
In 2020 favourite to take a seat here Sean Crowe (Sinn Fein) earned 29.7% of first preference which was considerably more than next best Colm Brophy (Fine Gael) with 12.2% though the formers result seems unsustainably high he is still a likely poll topper.
There will still be a likely “surplus” and so running mate Niamh Whelan at 11/4 or former MMA star and Sinn Féin Councilor Paddy Holohan (now Independent) could pick up a lot of transfers at 5/1.
Bet on Irish Election Odds at BoyleSports
*Prices are subject to fluctuation.
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