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Irish General Election: Dublin Mid West Odds, Favourites, & Projections

Bill Gaine on Nov 26, 2024 at 04:45 PM
Polling Station Sign In Ireland

Wondering what the Dublin Mid-West Irish General Election odds are? Well then wonder no longer as we have you covered with all the latest odds for this constituency.

We also break down everything you need to know about the constituency including the number of seats available, previous election results and candidate track records.

Dublin Mid-West General Election Odds

Candidate

Odds

Chance

Eoin Ó Broin (Sinn Fein)

1/200

99.5%

Emer Higgins (Fine Gael)

1/8

88.9%

Mark Ward (Sinn Féin)

1/4

80%

Paul Gogarty (Independent)

3/10

76.9%

Shane Moynihan (Fianna Fáil)

2/5

71.4%

Gino Kenny (People Before Profit)

1/2

66.7%

Linda de Courcy (Independent Ireland)

3/1

25%

Vicki Casserly (Fine Gael)

3/1

25%

Eoin O Broin (Social Democrats)

5/1

16.7%

Francis Timmons (Labour)

14/1

6.7%

Lynda Prendergast (Fianna Fáil)

28/1

3.4%

Glen Moore (Irish Freedom Party)

33/1

2.9%

Dublin Mid West Favourites For Election

Eoin Ó Broin (Sinn Fein) – Dublin Mid West Favourite For Election

The favourite to be elected in Dublin Mid West is Eoin Ó Broin (Sinn Fein) at odds of 1/100. Those odds imply that he has a 99.5% chance of being elected in this constituency.

Eoin Ó Broin has served as TD for this constituency since the 2016 general election when he topped the poll with 26.1% of the first preference votes. Since 2021 he has been Sinn Féin’s spokesperson on housing.

Emer Higgins (Fine Gael)

According to the latest betting odds Emer Higgins (Fine Gael) is the next most likely candidate to earn a seat in Dublin Mid West at odds of 1/8 These odds suggest that Higgins has an 88.9% chance of winning a seat in this constituency.

Emer elected to this constituency at the 2020 general election and most recently last April was appointed as Minister of State at the Department of Enterprise, Trade and Employment with responsibility for Business, Employment and Retail.

Mark Ward (Sinn Féin)

Next up in the Dublin Mid West 2024 Irish Election odds is Mark Ward (Sinn Féin) who has been given odds of 1/4 to win a Dáil seat. Those odds imply that they have an 80% chance of election.

Mark has served as a TD since the 2019 election and despite predictions he would lose his seat in 2020, it was retained with 16.7% of the first preference vote which saw him elected on the second count.

Dublin Mid-West Breakdown

Number of seats

There are 5 seats up for grabs in Dublin Mid West.

2020 Dublin Mid West General Election Results (Outgoing TDs)

Eoin Ó Broin (Sinn Féin) – 26.1% of First Preference Votes (FPV)

Mark Ward (Sinn Féin)  – 16.7% FPV, elected on 2nd count

John Curran (Fianna Fáill) – 10.8% FPV, elected on 9th count

Emer Higgins (Fine Gael) – 9.9% FPV elected on 9th count

Gino Kenny (Solidarity -PBP) – 7.9% FPV elected on 9th count

Dublin Mid-West Projected Results

Eoin Ó Broin (Sinn Fein) is projected to be the first candidate elected in Dublin Mid West according to the latest Politics betting odds at BoyleSports.

Emer Higgins (Fine Gael) and Mark Ward (Sinn Féin) are also expected to follow and win a seat in the next Dáil.

If the election results follow the odds Paul Gogarty (Independent) looks very likely to take the next seat. Finally, the fifth and final seat is likely to be a toss-up between Shane Moynihan (Fianna Fáil) and Gino Kenny (Solidarity -PBP)

Dublin Mid West Irish Election Tips

With 5 seats up for grabs in Dublin Central and 4 of those looking more or less nailed on, it leaves us with a situation where the betting interest here is in who will take that 5th seat.

The betting suggests that Shane Moynihan and Gino Kenny are the two main contenders for that seat but there are a handful of interesting players in the market that could rival them.

Shane Moynihan Fianna Fáil elected Add to Betslip

In 2020 favourite to take a seat here Eoin Ó Broin (Sinn Fein) earned 26.1% of the first preference vote which was considerably more than the next best Mark Ward (Sinn Féin) with 16.7%.

Independent Ireland candidate Linda de Courcy could take votes off from multiple angles and so is a value bet at 3/1.

Linda de Courcy Independent Ireland elected Add to Betslip

Bet on Irish Election Odds at BoyleSports

*Prices are subject to fluctuation.

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