Wondering what the Dublin Central Irish General Election odds are? Well then wonder no longer as we have you covered with all the latest odds for this constituency.
We also break down everything you need to know about the constituency including the number of seats available, previous election results and candidate track records.
Dublin Central General Election Odds
Candidate | Odds | Chance |
|---|---|---|
Mary Lou McDonald (Sinn Féin) | 1/20 | 95.2% |
Paschal Donohoe (Fine Gael) | 1/7 | 87.5% |
Gary Gannon (Social Democrats) | 1/4 | 80% |
Clare Daly (Independents 4 Change) | 8/11 | 57.9% |
Gerard Hutch (Independent) | Evens | 50% |
Malachy Steenson (Independent) | 5/2 | 28.6% |
Neasa Hourigan (Green Party) | 11/4 | 26.7% |
Mary Fitzpatrick (Fianna Fáil) | 11/1 | 8.3% |
Marie Sherlock (Labour) | 12/1 | 7.7% |
Janice Boylan (Sinn Féin) | 20/1 | 4.8% |
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin (PBP) | 100/1 | 1% |
Ian Noel Smyth (Aontú) | 200/1 | 0.5% |
Dublin Central Favourites For Election
Mary Lou McDonald (Sinn Féin) – Dublin Central Favourite For Election
The favourite to secure a seat in Dublin Central is Sinn Féin leader Mary Lou McDonald at odds of 1/20. Those odds suggest that McDonald is an almost certainty to retain her seat in this constituency which will come as a surprise to no one considering that she is the leader of one of the three largest parties in the country.
It will be interesting however to see how she fares in relation to her performance in the 2020 election, securing 35.7% of first preference votes that time around.
Paschal Donohoe (Fine Gael)
Paschal Donohoe, at odds of 1/7, is seen as highly likely to retain his seat here in Dublin Central. The Minister for Public Expenditure and Reform is the only Fine Gael candidate running in this constituency and should secure more than enough of the non-left leaning vote to be elected.
Gary Gannon (Social Democrats)
The Social Democrats will be expecting Gary Gannon (1/4) to retain his seat in Dublin Central. Gannon is a prominent figure in the area and has garnered positive public sentiment since being elected in 2020.
Dublin Central Breakdown
Number of seats
There are 4 seats on the line in Dublin Central. This remains unchanged from the 2020 Irish General Election.
2020 Dublin Central Election Results
Mary Lou McDonald (Sinn Féin) – 35.7% of First Preference Votes (FPV)
Paschal Donohoe (Fine Gael) – 13.3% FPV, elected on 9th count
Neasa Hourigan (Green Party) – 12.3% FPV, elected on 9th count
Gary Gannon (Social Democrats) – 9.3% FPV, elected on 9th count
Dublin Central Projected Results
Mary Lou McDonald of Sinn Féin is projected to be the first candidate elected in Dublin Central according to the latest Politics betting odds at BoyleSports.
Paschal Donohoe (Fine Gael) and Gary Gannon (Social Democrats) are also expected to follow and win a seat in the next Dáil.
Clare Daly (Independents 4 Change) will take the 4th and final seat if election results follow the odds with Gerard Hutch (Independent) being left on the outside looking in.
Dublin Central Irish Election Tips
With 4 seats up for grabs in Dublin Central and 3 of those looking more or less nailed on, it leaves us with a situation where the betting interest here is in who will take that 4th seat.
The betting suggests that Clare Daly and Gerard Hutch are the two main contenders for that seat but I think there could be value further down the betting market with some longer-shot bets.
In 2020 Mary Lou McDonald, leader of the Sinn Féin party, secured over 35% of the first preference votes. That was almost 3 times more first-preference votes than the next-best candidate. Sinn Féin are not expected to perform as strongly in this election however, McDonald is still a shoo-in for her seat in this constituency.
Notably in 2020, she didn’t have a running mate but this time around she does in the shape of Janice Boylan who could be in line to receive thousands of 2nd and 3rd preference votes from McDonald. With that said, it will still be a tough task for Boylan to secure a seat here but I think at odds of 20/1 there is value there.
Marie Sherlock (12/1) of Labour is another name to keep an eye out for in this constituency. She is a well-known figure in the area having served on the Dublin City Council previously while also serving as a Senator since 2020.
In an area like Dublin Central, which is known for being left-leaning, she looks to represent solid value at 12/1 having run a strong campaign locally.
Bet on Irish Election Odds at BoyleSports
*Prices are subject to fluctuation.
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