Wondering what the Dublin Bay North Irish General Election odds are? Well then wonder no longer as we have you covered with all the latest odds for this constituency.
We also break down everything you need to know about the constituency including the number of seats available, previous election results and candidate track records.
Dublin Bay North General Election Odds
Candidate | Odds | Chance |
|---|---|---|
Denise Mitchell (Sinn Fein) | 1/14 | 93.3% |
Cian O’Callaghan (Social Democrats) | 1/12 | 92.3% |
Naoise Ó Muirí (Fine Gael) | 1/5 | 83.3% |
Barry Heneghan (Independent) | 1/3 | 75% |
Deirdre Heney (Fianna Fáil) | 4/6 | 60% |
Tom Brabazon (Fianna Fáil) | 6/4 | 40% |
John Lyons (Independent) | 2/1 | 33.3% |
Aoibhinn Tormey (Fine Gael) | 5/2 | 28.6% |
Michaál Mac Donncha (Sinn Féin) | 3/1 | 25% |
Shane Folan (Labour) | 8/1 | 11.1% |
James Morris (Aontú) | 40/1 | 2.4% |
David Healy (Green Party) | 40/1 | 2.4% |
Dublin Bay North Favourites For Election
Denise Mitchell (Sinn Fein)– Dublin Bay North Favourite For Election
The favourite to be elected in Dublin Bay North is Denise Mitchell(Sinn Fein) at odds of 1/14. Those odds imply that he has a 93.3% chance of being elected in this constituency.
Denise Mitchell has served as TD for this constituency since the 2016 general election and notably in the 2020 general election she received the single highest vote of any candidate in the State, securing 21,344 first-preference votes.
Cian O’Callaghan (Social Democrats)
According to the latest betting odds Cian O’Callaghan (Social Democrats) is the next most likely candidate to earn a seat in Dublin Bay North at odds of 1/12 These odds suggest that Higgins has a 92.3% chance of winning a seat in this constituency.
Cian was elected to this constituency in 2020 and is the current Housing spokesperson for the Social Democrats and became deputy leader of the party in 2023.
Naoise Ó Muirí (Fine Gael)
Next up in the Dublin Bay North 2024 Irish Election odds is Naoise Ó Muirí (Fine Gael) who has been given odds of 1/5 to win a Dáil seat. Those odds imply that they have an 83.3% chance of election.
He has served as a Dublin City Councillor since June 2004 and was also previously the Lord Mayor of Dublin from 2012 to 2013. Naoise is also a member of the Institution of Engineers of Ireland.
Dublin Bay North Breakdown
Number of seats
There are 5 seats up for grabs in Dublin Bay North.
2020 Dublin Bay North General Election Results (Outgoing TDs)
Denise Mitchell Sinn Féin) – 29.8% of First Preference Votes (FPV)
Richard Bruton (Fine Gael) – 15.6% FPV, elected on 10th count
Aodhán Ó’Riordáin (Labour) – 11.3% FPV, elected on 14th count
Sean Haughey (Fianna Fáil) – 9.3% FPV elected on 14th count
Cian O’Callaghan (Social Democrats) – 8.7% FPV elected on 14th count
Dublin Bay North Projected Results
Denise Mitchell (Sinn Fein) is projected to be the first candidate elected in Dublin Bay North according to the latest Politics betting odds at BoyleSports.
Cian O’Callaghan (Social Democrats) and Naoise Ó Muirí (Fine Gael) are also expected to follow and win a seat in the next Dáil.
If the election results follow the odds Barry Heneghan (Independent) looks very likely to take the next seat. Finally, the fifth and final seat is likely to be a toss-up between Deirdre Heney (Fianna Fáil) and Gino Kenny (Solidarity -PBP)
Dublin Bay North Irish Election Tips
With 5 seats up for grabs in Dublin Central and 4 of those looking more or less nailed on, it leaves us with a situation where the betting interest here is in who will take that 5th seat.
The betting suggests that Deirdre Heney and Tom Brabazon both of the Fianna Fáil party will fight it out between themselves for the fifth and final seat.
In 2020 favourite to take a seat here Denise Mitchell earned 29.8% of the first preference vote which was considerably more than the next best Richard Bruton with 15.6%.
If looking for an outside bet to win a seat Shane Folan of Labour is not without a chance at 8/1 if the party have a good day.
Bet on Irish Election Odds at BoyleSports
*Prices are subject to fluctuation.
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