Wondering what the Cork South Central Irish General Election odds are? Well then wonder no longer as we have you covered with all the latest odds for this constituency.
We also break down everything you need to know about the constituency including the number of seats available, previous election results and candidate track records.
Cork South Central General Election Odds
Candidate | Odds | Chance |
|---|---|---|
Micheál Martin (Fianna Fáil) | 1/200 | 99.5% |
Séamus McGrath (Fianna Fáil) | 1/100 | 99% |
Donnchadh Ó Laoghaire (Sinn Féin) | 1/33 | 97.1% |
Shane O’Callaghan (Fine Gael) | 1/4 | 80% |
Laura Harmon (Labour Party) | 4/7 | 63.6% |
Jerry Buttimer (Fine Gael) | 6/5 | 45.5% |
Mick Finn (Independent) | 6/4 | 40% |
Padraig Rice (Social Democrats) | 4/1 | 33.3% |
Margaret Kenneally (Fianna Fáil) | 16/1 | 5.9/% |
Úna McCarthy (Fine Gael) | 16/1 | 5.9% |
Michelle Cowhey Shahid (Sinn Féin) | 40/1 | 2.4% |
Monica Oikeh (Green Party) | 50/1 | 2% |
Cork South Central Favourites For Election
Micheál Martin (Fianna Fáil)– Cork South Central Favourite For Election
The favourite to be elected in Cork South Central is Micheál Martin (Fianna Fáil) at odds of 1/200. Those odds imply that he has a 99.5% chance of being elected in this constituency.
Micheál Martin has served as TD for this constituency since being first elected at the 1989 general election. He’s the current leader of Fianna Fáil a role which he has held since January 2011. He’s held several prominent political positions since including serving as Taoiseach from June 2020 to December 2022.
Séamus McGrath (Fianna Fáil)
According to the latest betting odds Séamus McGrath (Fianna Fáil) is the next most likely candidate to earn a seat in Cork South Central at odds of 1/100 These odds suggest that he has a 99% chance of winning a seat in this constituency.
Séamus is the Fianna Fáil Leader on the Cork County Council and is also a former Mayor of Cork County.
Donnchadh Ó Laoghaire (Sinn Féin)
Next up in the Cork South Central 2024 Irish Election odds is Donnchadh Ó Laoghaire (Sinn Féin) who has been given odds of 1/33 to win a Dáil seat. Those odds imply he has a 97.1% chance of election.
He has been a TD since the 2016 general election following several years working as a Parliamentary Assistant and with the Cork City Council. He currently serves as the Sinn Féin spokesperson for Education.
Cork South Central Breakdown
Number of seats
There are 5 seats up for grabs in Cork South Central.
2020 Cork South Central General Election Results (Outgoing TDs)
Donnchadh Ó Laoghaire Sinn Féin) – 24.6% of First Preference Votes (FPV)
Micheál Martin (Fianna Fáil) – 19.3% FPV, elected on 6th count
Simon Coveney (Fine Gael) – 16.3% FPV, elected on 8th count
Michael McGrath (Fianna Fáil) – 16.2% FPV elected on 8th count
Lorna Bogue (Green Party) – 9.4% FPV elected on 8th count
Cork South Central Projected Results
Micheál Martin (Sinn Fein) is projected to be the first candidate elected in Cork South Central according to the latest Politics betting odds at BoyleSports.
Séamus McGrath (Fianna Fáil) and Donnchadh Ó Laoghaire (Sinn Féin) are also expected to follow and win a seat in the next Dáil.
If the election results follow the odds Shane O’Callaghan (Fine Gael) looks very likely to take the next seat. Finally, the fifth and final seat is likely to be a toss-up between Laura Harmon (Labour Party), Jerry Buttimer (Fine Gael) and Mick Finn (Independent) all in contention.
Cork South Central Irish Election Tips
With 5 seats up for grabs in Cork South Central and 4 of those looking more or less nailed on, it leaves us with a situation where the betting interest here is in who will take that 5th seat.
The betting suggests that Laura Harmon, Jerry Buttimer and Mick Finn are all in contention for the final seat.
In 2020 Donnchadh Ó Laoghaire topped the poll with 24.6% of the first preference vote which was more than the next best Micheál Martin with 19.3%
This is not the sort of constituency where “outsider” candidates do well so I wouldn’t consider betting on anyone outside of the top six or seven in the market
Bet on Irish Election Odds at BoyleSports
*Prices are subject to fluctuation.
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