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Ireland’s Eurovision Odds 2025: Betting Preview

Bill Gaine on May 14, 2025 at 03:36 PM
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Check out Ireland’s Eurovision betting odds in this post as we preview their chances of ending a 29-year wait for Eurovision glory.

The Eurovision Song Contest 2025 is set to be the 69th edition of the Eurovision Song Contest and is scheduled to take place at the  St. Jakobshalle in Basel, Switzerland, following the country's victory at the 2024 contest with the song “The Code” by Nemo.

It’s 29 years since Ireland last won the Eurovision in 1996, when Eimear Quinn with the song “The Voice”. Despite this long, Ireland remains level with Sweden for Eurovision victories with both on 7 following Sweden’s victory with Loreen and the song Tattoo in 2023.

Will this be the year that Ireland finally wins the Eurovision again? Find out our chances, betting odds, the song and our representative ahead of Eurovision 2025 below.

Ireland Eurovision Outright Odds

Ireland’s Eurovision 2025 betting odds are 80/1, which gives the country a 1.2% chance of winning the Eurovision Song Contest, going by the implied probability of those odds.

These odds put Ireland bang in the middle of the betting market, with 14 countries currently shorter priced to land outright glory.

Ireland to win - 80/1

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Ireland Eurovision Semi-Final Odds

Ireland’s odds of being crowned as winners of the second semi-final are 50/1, which suggests only a 2% chance of the event occurring.

Contrastingly, though, Ireland are priced with odds of 4/6 that they will make the Saturday’s Grand Final, which suggests a 60% chance that will happen, putting them currently 7th in the betting of the 16 countries, whereby 10 will qualify.

Ireland To Qualify - 4/6

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Who Will Represent Ireland in Eurovision 2025?

Ireland will be represented in  Thursday’s semi-final (and hopefully Saturday’s final) by 24-year-old Norwegian singer Emmy Kristiansen, who will perform the song Laika Party, which was co-written with Russian-born, Westmeath-based Larissa Tormey.

Emmy has experience in the Eurovision system, reaching Norway’s national finals in 2021 with a song titled Witch Wood. In 2023, she was a member of the Norway Eurovision jury, which ultimately selected Alessandra and the song Queen of Kings, which finished in 5th place on 268 points.

Elsewhere on the Emmy Eurovision team, she will be joined by her brother Erlend, who will be playing the keyboard.

What Is The Song?

EMMY came up with the concept of Laika Party at a songwriting camp in Norway following a family quiz night a few days earlier.

One of the questions had been asked based on Laika, a space dog which was blasted into high orbit aboard Sputnik 2 by the Soviet Union in 1957, where she was left to a horrible fate, confused and alone.

The song can be described as a vibrant electropop anthem with a psychedelic rave edge, blending pulsating beats and shimmering synths. It's a high-energy, danceable vibe and catchy melody.

Eurovision Betting Final Favourites

Sweden – 5/6

Sweden are red-hot favourites for a record-breaking eighth Eurovision success with odds of 5/6 suggesting a 54.5% chance of success.

Sweden has participated in the contest 63 times, with their first appearance coming in 1958, where Brita Borg sang the song Augustin and finished 4th in the final out of 10 countries. They’re one of only 3 countries (The Netherlands and the UK too)  with Eurovision victories in 4 different decades, winning the contest in 1974, 1984, 1991, 1999, 2012, 2015, 2023. Their total of 7 victories puts them as the joint most successful country in the history of the competition, along with Ireland.

The Swedes look set to return with a bang this year with KAJ singing Bara Bada Bastu, which has already struck a chord with Eurovision fans, amassing 10 million views since being uploaded on the 8th of March last month.

The Swedes safely navigated their first hurdle to success on Tuesday Night when they secured their passage to Saturday’s Final.

Sweden to win - 5/6

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Austria – 11/4

Next in the betting for the first Eurovision semi-final is Austria, who are second favourites in the outright betting with odds of 11/4.

Austria has participated in the contest 56 times, with their first appearance coming in 1957, with their best results coming in both 1966 and 2014, where they won the Song Contest. More recently, “Nobody but You" by Cesár Sampson achieved Austria's eighth top-five result and second-best result of the 21st century at the 2018 contest, finishing third.

It was a poor year for the country in 2024 when they finished in 24th place with 24 points. However, they safely secured their passage to the final on Tuesday Night, qualifying from the semi-final.

They look well placed to, at a minimum, perform far better than they did last year.

Austria to win - 11/4

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France – 12/1

The third favourite for the Eurovision is Louane with the song Maman, with odds of 12/1.

France has been represented at the Eurovision Song Contest 66 times since making its debut at the first contest in 1956. They’ve won the event on 5 occasions, coming in 1958, 1960, 1962, 1969 and 1978. Though their performances in subsequent years were often far poorer, more recently, a runner-up result in 2021 and a 4th finish in 2024 suggest another win could be on the cards soon.

Louane performed during Tuesday's semi-final, though she had already qualified for the final due to France being a member of the “Big Five” (France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the UK) due to their broadcasters' major financial contributions to the EBU.

France to win - 12/1

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How Many Times Has Ireland Won The Eurovision?

Ireland (along with Sweden now) has won the Eurovision a record 7 times. The country first competed in the Eurovision in 1965, and it didn’t take long before we had an Irish winner with Dana’s “All Kinds of Everything” in 1970.

It would be another decade before Ireland were victorious again, courtesy of Johnny Logan’s performance of “What’s Another Year” in 1980. It was Logan again who would go on to win his second Eurovision for Ireland in 1987 with “Hold Me Now”.

Then came the 1990s, the Golden Age of Irish success at the Eurovision Song Contest. Ireland won the competition four out of five years between 1992 and 1996. In 1992, it was Linda Martin with “Why Me?”, 1993 saw Niamh Kavanagh’s “In Your Eyes” come out victorious, and Paul Harrington and Charlie McGettigan performed the iconic “Rock ‘n’ Roll Kids” for three in a row.

The song “The Voice” sung by Eimear Quinn in 1996 was Ireland’s fourth song contest win of the decade and seventh in total. However, more recently, Ireland has struggled to make their mark on the Eurovision stage, failing to qualify for the finals on multiple occasions and when at the finals, failing to make their mark on the leaderboard.

Last year saw a change in the tide, though, with Bambi Thug singing the song “Doomsday Blues” finishing in 6th place, which was the nation's best finish at a Eurovision competition since coming second with Marc Roberts singing Mysterious Woman in 1997.

*Prices are subject to fluctuation.

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