DP World Tour Championship: Rory McIlroy 14/5 to equal record

Jumeirah Golf Estates, Dubai,
BOYLE Sports Team · Betting Experts

Tournament Name: DP World Tour Championship, Nov 12-15

Course: Jumeirah Golf Estates, Dubai, UAE

Par: 72 | Yardage: 7,706 | Defending champion: Matt Fitzpatrick

The DP World Tour Championship is the climax of the 2026 season and will see 50 players compete for two titles - the DP Tour World Championship and Race to Dubai . With 2,000 points on offer to the champion this week, nine players are still in contention to finish top of the Race to Dubai standings.

Betting Odds

DP World Tour Championship Betting Odds

Player

Odds

Implied Chance

Rory McIlroy

14/5

26.3%

Jon Rahm

9/2

18.2%

Tommy Fleetwood

7/1

12.5%

Adam Scott

10/1

9.1%

Eugenio Chacarra

11/1

8.3%

Tyrrell Hatton

11/1

8.3%

BAR

12/1

7.7%

*Odds are correct at the time of writing, but subject to change.

McIlroy chasing Monty mark

McIlroy chasing Monty mark

Four-time reigning Race to Dubai champion Rory McIlroy has current leader Eugenio Chacarra in his sights as the cream of the European Tour prepare for the season-ending DP World Tour Championship . McIlroy climbed up to second in the rankings with his third-placed finish at the Abu Dhabi Championship on Sunday and he is now less than 535 points behind Chacarra .

With a season-high 2,000 points available to the winner, compared to 1,335 for the runner-up, McIlroy knows victory at Jumeirah Golf Estates would secure him a place alongside Colin Montgomerie as a record eight-time winner of the Harry Vardon Trophy , awarded to Europe’s top-ranked player.

Aside from the top two, there are seven other players who also still have a mathematical chance of winning the Race to Dubai and a multi-million pound payday; Patrick Reed , Casey Jarvis , Aaron Rai, Jon Rahm, Jayden Schaper, Ryan Fox and Daniel Hiller.

However, it is McIlroy who looks like being the man to beat this week, with the world number two boasting a hugely-impressive record in Dubai . Since the inaugural event in 2009, when the European Tour’s Order of Merit was rebranded as the Race to Dubai, McIlroy has won three times at Jumeirah , in 2012, 2015 and 2024.

He has also been runner-up twice, including last year when, after eagling the final hole, he lost to Matt Fitzpatrick in a play-off. McIlroy also has a host of other top-five finishes on the Greg Norman -designed Earth Course , and he is our tip for the DP World Tour Championship title @ 14/5.

McIlroy said: “I made some ground up last week, maybe not as much as I wanted, but I felt like it was a step in the right direction. It's been a course that's been very good to me over the years, and I have a lot of experience on it and a lot of experience up at the top end of the leaderboard.”

14/5
● LIVE ODDS Rory McIlroy Tournament Outright

Chacarra wary of McIlroy

Can Chacarra keep chasing pack at bay?

Chacarra accepts he has his work cut out to stay ahead of the six-time major winner in the standings. The 26-year-old Spaniard said: “It’s hard. He’s the number two player in the world and the number one in Europe, and he’s been doing it for a long time and he plays really good out in Abu Dhabi and Dubai .

“He has played that course a million times, and I only played it once. Obviously the odds are on him and he’s the favourite, but we’ll play golf. We know what I’m capable of when I am playing good. I just need to sharpen up to have a chance.”

Chacarra has been the breakout star in Europe this year, winning three tournaments and rising to the top of the Race to Dubai standings. However, he had to settle for a share of 22nd place in Abu Dhabi last weekend, finishing 12 shots behind compatriot Rahm , and he is 11/1 to win in Dubai .

DP World Tour Championship Prediction 2026

Rahm on a high

Dubai field braced for Rahm raid after Abu Dhabi victory

Rahm is second favourite at 9/2 and well worth considering too, with the Ryder Cup ace’s confidence sure to be sky-high after winning his first DP World Tour event in four years on Sunday. That was a significant turnaround for the former world number one, having finished last in his previous DP World Tour outing at the BMW PGA Championship in September.

Rahm , who is leaving LIV Golf after three seasons, should also have fond memories of Jumeirah having claimed victory here in 2017, 2019 - when he was also crowned Race to Dubai champion - and 2022. We like a BOYLE Sports Price Boost of 11/8 for Rahm to have a top-five finish.

Reigning champion Fitzpatrick is also a three-time winner but he won’t be back to defend his title in the Middle East , with his brother Alex and Shane Lowry also among those absent. Dubai resident Tommy Fleetwood is a two-time runner-up at Jumeirah and can be backed @ 7/1, while fellow Englishman Hatton , who was second behind Rahm in Abu Dhabi , is 11/1.

11/8
● LIVE ODDS Rahm top 5 finish inc ties WAS 11/10 Tournament Price Boosts

Betting Tips

DP World Tour Championship Betting Tips

Rory McIlroy to win @ 14/5

Jon Rahm top-five finish @ 11/8

Simply click/tap on the above betting tips to add to your betslip.

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