BMW Championship tips: Scottie Scheffler 12/5 for successive titles

Scottie Scheffler
BOYLE Sports Team · Betting Experts

Tournament Name: BMW Championship | Aug 20-23

Course : Bellerive Country Club, St Louis, Missouri

Par : 70 | Yardage : 7,448 | Defending champion : Scottie Scheffler

The BMW Championship is the second of three events in the FedExCup play-offs and features the top 50 in the points standings after the FedEx St Jude Championship . The top 30 after this week will go on to contest the Tour Championship.

BMW Championship Prediction - 2026 PGA Tour

Betting Odds

BMW Championship Betting Odds

Player

Odds

Implied Chance

Scottie Scheffler

12/5

29.4%

Rory McIlroy

10/1

9.1%

Ludvig Aberg

10/1

9.1%

Cameron Young

12/1

7.7%

Sam Burns

12/1

7.7%

Tommy Fleetwood

12/1

7.7%

Xander Schauffele

12/1

7.7%

Bar

14/1

6.7%

*Odds are correct at the time of writing, but subject to change.

Scheffler strong favourite

Scheffler primed to go back-to-back?

Scottie Scheffler is the overwhelming favourite to make it two wins from two in the FedExCup play-offs after finally turning a host of near-misses into a crushing victory at the FedEx St Jude Championship. The world number one finished eight shots clear at TPC Southwind to claim the 21st PGA Tour title of his career, but first since January. It is not as though Scheffler had been playing badly, with five-runner up finishes among 11 top-five paydays for him in 2026, but the frustration must have been building for a player who had won 13 tournaments in the previous 24 months.

But the wait is now over as the 30-year-old extended his lead at the top of the FedExCup standings to nearly 1,400 points in Memphis , as well as earning a USD 23million bonus for ensuring he will be top of the season-long points race heading into the Tour Championship. He said: “I felt like a week like this was coming. I felt like I was on repeat all year just being like, hey, I'm playing solid. I'm close. It feels good to be answering some different questions at the end of this week.”

Scheffler is unlikely to have to wait as long to add another trophy to his collection and we think it could well be at this week’s BMW Championship , where he is 12/5. The American is the defending BMW champion and also finished joint runner-up in 2023 to Viktor Hovland , while his cause at Bellerive Country Club could be further helped by rival Rory McIlroy’s poor showing in Memphis . Playing in only his 12th PGA event of the year and first since tying for 40th at The Open , the world number two could only finish in 66th place on eight over par - 25 shots behind champion Scheffler .

McIlroy said: “I guess (it’s) nice to shake the rust off a little bit, but I'm going to have to work pretty hard between now and next Thursday to feel like I have any sort of golf game to compete next week. I'm so far away from where I need to be to even feel like I have a chance.” The three-time FedExCup champion is 10/1 to claim victory at Bellerive , where he has played just once before, with his Ryder Cup team-mate Ludvig Aberg the same odds.

12/5
● LIVE ODDS Scottie Scheffler Tournament Outright

FedEx Cup Rankings

FedEx Cup Rankings – Top 30

Rank

Player

FedEx Cup points

1

Scottie Scheffler

4,873

2

Matt Fitzpatrick

3,426

3

Cameron Young

3,183

4

Si Woo Kim

2,701

5

Wyndham Clark

2,542

6

Sam Burns

2,416

7

Chris Gotterup

2,288

8

Tommy Fleetwood

2,247

9

Collin Morikawa

2,242

10

Ludvig Aberg

2,130

11

Xander Schauffele

1,981

12

Jacob Bridgeman

1,761

13

Rory McIlroy

1,745

14

Russell Henley

1,740

15

Akshay Bhatia

1,730

16

Hideki Matsuyama

1,600

17

Ryan Gerard

1,540

18

Min Woo Lee

1,481

19

Kristoffer Reitan

1,473

20

Alex Fitzpatrick

1,416

21

J.J. Spaun

1,414

22

Viktor Hovland

1,397

23

Alex Smalley

1,375

24

Justin Rose

1,355

25

Ryan Fox

1,352

26

Tom Kim

1,341

27

Adam Scott

1,315

28

Kurt Kitayama

1,259

29

Bud Cauley

1,258

30

Rickie Fowler

1,258

Other Contenders

Can Kim challenge again?

Aberg heads to St Louis having recorded top-10 finishes in his last two outings at The Open and St Jude , where a costly third-round 74 ruined an otherwise impressive showing and saw the 26-year-old Swede have to settle for seventh spot. American trio Cameron Young, Sam Burns and Xander Schauffele are all 12/1 for victory, along with England’s Tommy Fleetwood.

Fleetwood is looking to become the first player to win back-to-back FedExCup crowns following his victory at last year’s Tour Championship , which remains the 35-year-old’s only PGA win to date. His compatriot Matt Fitzpatrick , who is second in the FedExCup standings behind Scheffler and was BMW runner-up alongside the American in 2023, is 14/1.

Of the other contenders in a 50-man field, which will be reduced to 30 heading to the Tour Championship , Si Woo Kim could be one to watch at 16/1. The South Korean is without a win in 2026 but was runner-up to Scheffler at TPC Southwind and now has 11 top-10 finishes in 2026 - including three in his last four outings.

16/1
● LIVE ODDS Si Woo Kim Tournament Outright

Best Bets

BMW Championship Best Bets

Scottie Scheffler to win @ 12/5

Si Woo Kim to win @ 16/1

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