FedEx St Jude Championship Prediction: Why We Can't Look Past The Two Favourites

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BOYLE Sports Team · Betting Experts

Tournament Name: FedEx St Jude Championship | Aug 13-16

Course : TPC Southwind, Memphis, Tennessee

Par : 70 | Yardage : 7,288 | Defending champion : Justin Rose

The St Jude Championship is the first round of the FedExCup play-offs and features the 70 top-ranked players from the PGA Tour regular season. The top 50 this week will advance to the BMW Championship , where only the t op 30 will then progress to the Tour Championship and a chance to win a USD 10million payday.

2026 FedEx St Jude Championship Prediction - PGA Tour

Betting Odds

FedEx St Jude Championship Betting Odds

Player

Odds

Implied Chance

Scottie Scheffler

9/2

18.2%

Rory McIlroy

10/1

9.1%

Sam Burns

14/1

6.7%

Tommy Fleetwood

14/1

6.7%

Xander Schauffele

14/1

6.7%

Bar

16/1

5.9%

*Odds are correct at the time of writing, but subject to change.

FedEx Cup Rankings

FedEx Cup Rankings – Top 30

Rank

Player

FedEx Cup points

1

Scottie Scheffler

4,123

2

Matt Fitzpatrick

3,329

3

Cameron Young

3,161

4

Wyndham Clark

2,255

5

Chris Gotterup

2,254

6

Collin Morikawa

2,229

7

Si Woo Kim

2,201

8

Sam Burns

2,078

9

Tommy Fleetwood

2,046

10

Ludvig Åberg

1,929

11

Xander Schauffele

1,780

12

Rory McIlroy

1,738

13

Jacob Bridgeman

1,727

14

Akshay Bhatia

1,723

15

Russell Henley

1,706

16

Ryan Gerard

1,496

17

Min Woo Lee

1,470

18

Kristoffer Reitan

1,464

19

Alex Fitzpatrick

1,407

20

Hideki Matsuyama

1,399

21

J.J. Spaun

1,387

22

Ryan Fox

1,342

23

Viktor Hovland

1,340

24

Justin Rose

1,333

25

Alex Smalley

1,331

26

Tom Kim

1,244

27

Gary Woodland

1,238

28

Rickie Fowler

1,231

29

Adam Scott

1,218

30

J.T. Poston

1,193

Tee Times

FedEx St. Jude Championship Tee Times

The PGA Tour will confirm tee times for the FedEX St. Jude Championship on Tuesday afternoon and we will update here when those tee times are available.

Round 1 Tee Times

TBD

Round 2 Tee Times

TBD

Betting Tips

FedEx St. Jude Championship Tips

Pressure off Scheffler

Pressure off Scheffler ahead of play-off opener

The big guns are back out in force as the PGA Tour heads to Memphis for the FedEx St Jude Championship , the opening event of the FedExCup play-offs. Reigning FedExCup champion Tommy Fleetwood , record three-time winner Rory McIlroy and top-ranked Scottie Scheffler are those returning to action for the start of the tour’s post-season.

In fact, the only player of the 70 who qualified that is not teeing up at TPC Southwind is Daniel Berger , who finished 60th in the standings but is sidelined by injury. The jeopardy now facing the world’s elite is that only the top 50 finishers at the St Jude Championship will feature in the next round of the play-offs, which is the BMW Championship.

The top 30 of that event will then go on to compete in the season-ending Tour Championship. Scheffler is highly fancied to join McIlroy and two-time winner Tiger Woods as the only men to win multiple FedExCup crowns later this year, and he is also favourite to claim victory in Memphis on Sunday.

The pressure is off the world number one as he cannot be overtaken at the top of the FedEx standings this week and is already guaranteed a spot in the BMW Championship and the Tour Championship. However, Scheffler is likely to be feeling a degree of frustration at how his regular-season campaign went, with his only title coming at the American Express in his first start of the year.

The American ace has been runner-up five times since then though, including at the 3M Open in his last outing a fortnight ago, and in his last 11 starts he has recorded eight top-four finishes. So the 30-year-old is nearly always a contender and now just needs to rediscover the missing piece of the puzzle that has earned him 20 PGA Tour wins over the last four years.

Scheffler is 9/2 to take the title this week and, having finished T3 and T4 in his last two visits to Memphis, we think this could be the week he finally gets back to winning ways.

9/2
● LIVE ODDS Scottie Scheffler Winner

The Contenders

Play-off king McIlroy back after break

McIlroy is second favourite, at odds of 10/1 , but TPC Southwind may not hold particularly fond memories for the Northern Irishman. The six-time major winner finished T68 here in 2024 and opted not to play in last year’s event.

However, he is something of a post-season expert. The world number two has won a joint-record six play-off events and is chasing an unprecedented fourth FedExCup crown , following victories in 2016, 2019 and 2022. McIlroy is currently 12th in the FedEx standings after a slimmed-down season that has seen him play just 11 events – Scheffler has had 17 – with his last outing being The Open almost a month ago.

But that schedule served Justin Rose well last year, as the Englishman, in his first tournament after The Open, won the St Jude Championship following a play-off against JJ Spaun. Of the other leading contenders this week, Sam Burns , Fleetwood and Xander Schauffele are all 14/1 to claim victory in what is set to be sweltering conditions in Tennessee , although none of them have managed a win yet in 2026.

Cameron Young , winner at the Players and Cadillac Championship earlier this year, is 16/1, the same odds as 2024 St Jude Championship winner Hideki Matsuyama.

Rookie Jackson Koivun , who scraped into the play-offs in the 70th and final qualifying spot, needs to finish in a two-way tie for seventh at the very least to have a chance of making the top 50 and continue his impressive start as a professional.

10/1
● LIVE ODDS Rory McIlroy Tournament Outright

Best Bets

FedEx St Jude Championship Best Bets

Scottie Scheffler to win @ 9/2

Rory McIlroy to win @ 10/1

Simply click/tap on the above betting tips to add to your betslip.

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