France vs Ireland Prediction: Why Ireland Can Frustrate French In Paris

BOYLE Sports Team 04 February 2026 at 01:00pm
Six Nations France Ball

In this post, you can find our France vs Ireland prediction as the French host the Irish in the opening fixture of the 2026 Six Nations, as two of Europe’s heavyweight nations renew their rivalry under the lights at the Stade de France.

Below you can find our preview of the big game, while our panel of Six Nations experts, Simon Zebo, Andy Goode, and Jim Hamilton, also discuss the tournament opener in the video below.

France vs Ireland Match Info

Match Details

Matchup: France vs Ireland

Date & Time: 20:10, Thursday, February 5th

Competition : Six Nations

Venue : Stade de France

Referee : Karl Dickson (RFU)

France vs Ireland Prediction – 2026 Six Nations

How to Watch

How To Watch France vs Ireland

The opening match of the Six Nations gets underway at 20:10 on Thursday, February 5th. In Ireland, you can catch pre-match coverage on Virgin Media One from 19:00, with Jill Douglas presenting build-up to the championship opener.

UK viewers can tune into ITV1 from 19:20 for live coverage of the game.

France vs Ireland Odds

Match Betting Odds

Result

Odds

Chance

France

1/6

85.7%

Ireland

7/2

22.2%

Draw

28/1

3.4%

France are the clear favourites at 1/6, with Ireland priced at 7/2, while the draw is available at 28/1, pointing to a strong home lean in the market.

7/2
● LIVE ODDS Ireland Match Betting

Handicap Betting

France -13 @ 10/11

Ireland +13 @ 10/11

Handicap Draw (-13) @ 18/1

France v Ireland Handicap Prediction

10/11
● LIVE ODDS Ireland Match Handicap

Total Points Betting

Over 50.5 Points @ 4/5

Under 50.5 Points @ 10/11

Will There Be Over or Under 50.5 Points? France v Ireland 2026 6N

France v Ireland Lineups

Team News

France Team To Face Ireland

Backs

15. Thomas Ramos, 14. Theo Attissogbe, 13. Nicolas Depoortere, 12. Yoram Moefana, 11. Louis Bielle-Biarrey, 10. Matthieu Jalibert, 9. Antoine Dupont ©

Forwards

8. Anthony Jelonch, 7. Oscar Jegou, 6. Francois Cros, 5. Mickael Guillard, 4. Charles Ollivon, 3. Dorian Aldegheri, 2. Julien Marchand, 1. Jean-Baptiste Gros

Replacements : 16. Peato Mauvaka, 17. Rodrigue Neti, 18. Regis Montagne, 19. Hugo Auradou, 20. Emmanuel Meafou, 21. Lenni Nouchi, 22. Baptiste Serin, 23. Kalvin Gourgues

Ireland Team To Face France

Backs

15. Jamie Osborne, 14. Tommy O’Brien, 13. Garry Ringrose, 12. Stuart McCloskey, 11. Jacob Stockdale, 10. Sam Prendergast, 9. Jamison Gibson-Park

Forwards

1. Jeremy Loughman, 2. Dan Sheehan, 3. Thomas Clarkson, 4. Joe McCarthy, 5. Tadhg Beirne, 6. Cian Prendergast, 7. Josh van der Flier, 8. Caelan Doris (c)

Replacements : 16. Rónan Kelleher, 17. Michael Milne, 18. Finlay Bealham, 19. James Ryan, 20. Jack Conan, 21. Nick Timoney, 22. Craig Casey, 23. Jack Crowley

Form Guide

Form And Momentum

France arrive as reigning Six Nations champions after winning four of their five matches in 2025, with their only defeat coming by a single point against England . Les Bleus endured a difficult summer tour of New Zealand , losing all three Tests, but showed resilience in the autumn internationals, bouncing back from an opening defeat to South Africa to record victories over Fiji and Australia.

Ireland finished third in last year’s championship following back-to-back title wins in 2023 and 2024 and face a demanding schedule in 2026, beginning in Paris before travelling to Twickenham to face England in round three. Andy Farrell returns after leading the British and Irish Lions on their tour of Australia, but Ireland enter the tournament with a lengthy injury list and are navigating a period of transition within the squad.

Head-to-Head

France vs Ireland Head-to-Head

Year

Result

Winner

2025

Ireland 27–42 France

France

2024

France 17–38 Ireland

Ireland

2023

Ireland 32–19 France

Ireland

2022

France 30–24 Ireland

France

2021

Ireland 13–15 France

France

Across 104 previous Test meetings, France hold the overall advantage with 60 wins to Ireland’s 37 , with 7 draws recorded between the sides. In the Six Nations era, the rivalry has tightened, with France winning 13 matches to Ireland’s 11, alongside 2 draws.

Try Scorer Odds

Try Scorer Betting

Try Scorer Odds

Player

First Try Scorer

Anytime Try

Louis Bielle-Biarrey

11/2

4/7

Theo Attissogbe

9/1

21/20

Antoine Dupont

10/1

6/5

Dan Sheehan

10/1

6/5

Bar

12/1

6/4

Try Scorer Betting Tips

Dan Sheehan Anytime Try Scorer @ 6/5 appeals given Ireland’s recent success targeting France through structured set plays, with Sheehan crossing in both of the last two championship meetings.

First Try Scorer in France vs Ireland: 2026 6N

Ireland’s hookers, Sheehan and Rónan Kelleher, have combined for three tries across those fixtures, underlining a clear pattern of using the hooker not just from the lineout, but from wider first-phase strike moves.

6/5
● LIVE ODDS Dan Sheehan Anytime Tryscorer

Ireland’s front row has also contributed tries in recent editions of this fixture, with Cian Healy scoring in 2025 and Andrew Porter touching down in 2023. With Jeremy Loughman Anytime Try Scorer @ 15/2, and 50/1 first tryscorer, the starting loosehead shapes as an interesting long-shot option if Ireland can apply sustained pressure near the French line.

15/2
● LIVE ODDS Jeremy Loughman Anytime Tryscorer

Match Prediction & Tips

France vs Ireland Prediction & Betting Tips

Prediction: France 27-19 Ireland

A vibrant Stade de France atmosphere and a much healthier squard should give France the edge in the championship opener, and the hosts are expected to make that home advantage count. However, the 13-point handicap looks generous in the context of recent meetings, particularly given Andy Farrell’s track record of setting Ireland up to frustrate France through physicality and structured phases.

Expect to see a competitive contest with France likely to edge proceedings while Ireland remain within touching distance for most of the game. For those reasons, both Ireland +13 @ 10/11 in the handicap betting and France to win by 1-12 points @ 7/4 catch the eye.

From a try-scorer perspective, Ireland’s continued use of Dan Sheehan in designed set plays — not only from the lineout, but across multiple first-phase options — makes a bet on Sheehan Anytime Try Scorer @ 6/5 very appealing.

7/4
● LIVE ODDS France 1 to 12 points Dozen Winning Margin

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