France v Italy Prediction, Tips & Preview – Nations League

We have a France v Italy prediction for you plus a breakdown of the betting odds, team news and matchups ahead of Friday’s fixture.

France are coming off their Euro 2024 run which brought them to the Semi-Final before being eliminated by eventual winners Spain 2-1.

Italy put in a disappointing Euro Championship defence this summer when they were knocked out at the Round of 16 stage 2-0 by Switzerland.

France v Italy Match Info

When is France v Italy?

France v Italy will take place on Friday, September 6th at 7.45 pm.

Where is France v Italy Being Played?

As France are the home team this game will be played in Parc des Princes in Paris, France.

France v Italy Odds

France are 8/13 favourites ahead of this game, Italy are priced at 15/4, and the draw is currently 11/4.

Handicap Betting

France: -1 @ 9/5

Italy: +1 @ 6/5

Handicap Draw: -1 @ 5/2

France v Italy Preview

France’s Form

Didier Deschamps has been in charge of France since he was first appointed on the 8th of July 2012 and has brought them to a 2018 World Cup title, a runner-up finish in the 2022 tournament, a Nations League success in 20/21 and a Euro Championship runner-up at Euro 2016. However, he has garnered criticism during Euro 2024 for his negative tactical approach.

France for several seasons have had inarguably one of the strongest squads in International Football boosting names even outside of the squad who would be mainstays for pretty much every other country. One name stands above all else though and that Real Madrid man Mbappe who has a phenomenal record of 48 goals in 84 appearances for France.

Following criticism over their approach at Euro 2024, it’ll be interesting to see if Didier changes tune for this campaign and encourages his side to play the football their talents deserve.

France’s Last Five Results

Spain 2-1 France | July 9th | Loss

Portugal 0-0 France (AET) | July 5th | Draw

France 1-0 Belgium | July 1st | Win

France 1-1 Poland| June 25th | Draw

Netherlands 0-0 France | June 21st | Draw

3 Draws, 1 Win and 1 Loss

Italy’s Form

Luciano Spalletti was appointed as manager on the 18th of August 2023 following the unexpected resignation of Roberto Mancini. He has since managed them to a record of 7 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 14 games, a win rate of 50% and a goal difference of +8. Although their Euro 2024 performance left a lot to be desired.

While this is a far cry from a “golden age” for Italian Football there is still plenty of quality in their squad from top to bottom with plenty of players in their early twenties it could be an emerging punting option for the next World Cup. The likes of Udogie (21) Tonali (24) and Donnarumma (25) could provide the next core for Italian Football.

Italy didn’t show up at Euro 2024, but they’re a better side than that and are well capable of giving France a good game.

Italy’s Last Five Results

Switzerland 2-0 Italy | June 29th | Loss

Croatia 1-1 Italy June 24th | Draw

Spain 1-0 Italy | June 20th | Loss

Italy 2-1 Albania | June 15th | Win

Italy 1-0 Bosnia and Herzegovina | June 9th | Win

2 Wins, 2 Losses and 1 Draw

France v Italy Predicted Lineups

France Predicted Starting XI (4-3-3)

GK: Maignan

RB: Koundé, CB: Saliba, CB: Upamecano, LB: Hernandez

RM: Kante, CM: Fofana, LM: Zaire-Emery

RW: Dembele, CF: Mbappé, LW: Griezmann

Italy Predicted Starting XI (4-3-3)

GK: Donnarumma

RB: Di Lorenzo, CB: Bastoni, CB: Buongiorno, LB: Udogie

CM: Jorginho, CM: Pellergrini, CM: Tonali

RW: Raspadori, CF: Retugi, LW: Dimarco

France v Italy Head-To-Head Results & Stats

All-Time Head-To-Head Record

France wins: 11

Italy wins: 18

Draws: 8

Head-To-Head Last Five Results

France 3-1 Italy | Friendly | June 1st, 2018

Italy 1-3 France | Friendly | September 1st, 2016

Italy 1-2 France | Friendly | November 14th, 2012

France 0-2 Italy | Euro 2008 | June 17th, 2008

Italy 0-0 France | Euro Qualifying | September 8th, 2007

Key Players To Watch

Kylian Mbappe – France

A lot is expected of the World Class attacker who has 48 goals in 84 games for his country. While he wasn’t able to replicate his World Cup showing at Euro 2024 he remains a prolific player and arguably the best player in World Football row and so naturally the man to watch.

Sandro Tonali – Italy

Returning to International Football for the first time since his ban in 2023 the spotlight will be very much on him in this game. However, if he can bring the level of performance that he is capable of with his passing ability and defensive coverage, he could be just the antidote to what Italy were missing in midfield in recent months.

France v Italy Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: France 2-0 Italy

France will be expected to put their Euro 2024 elimination behind them and win this game. However, they need to guard against complacency as if Didier decides to sit back against Italy of all sides we could be heading toward a deadlock on the scoreline.

Italy are better than what they showed at Euro 2024 and the return of Tonali is a big boost but with Barella not yet back with the squad, I can’t see them getting something out of this game.

A low-scoring French victory looks to be on the cards.

Best Bet: France Win + Under 2.5 Goals @ 14/5

*Prices are subject to fluctuation.

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