England will be hoping history repeats itself as they look to end Spain’s long unbeaten run and take over at the top of Nations League Group A3 when the two powerhouses meet in Madrid on Sunday. Spain remained three points clear of Thomas Tuchel’s men on Thursday after beating the Czech Republic 2-0 while the Three Lions saw off Croatia 2-1, with both nations assured of a quarter-final spot.
Spain are now unbeaten outside of a penalty shoot-out in 43 matches, a remarkable run that started in March 2024 and has seen them crowned world and European champions, as well as beating England twice. However, England have been in this sort of position against the Spanish before, and come out victorious. On their last trip to Spain in 2018, the Iberian nation had not lost a competitive international on home soil since 2003, a run of 38 games, but were blown away by Gareth Southgate’s World Cup semi-finalists.
Inspired by Raheem Sterling , England raced into a 3-0 half-time lead before holding off a Spain fightback to claim a 3-2 Nations League win in Seville . It was England’s first victory in the country since 1987, when Gary Lineker famously scored all four goals in a 4-2 win at the Bernabeu , and the Three Lions would love a repeat this Sunday as they return to Madrid , this time at Atletico’s Metropolitano Stadium. We think the honours could end up being shared, and our opening Spain vs England prediction is a score draw @ 15/4.
Betting Odds
Spain vs England Betting Odds – Nations League 2026-27
Result | Odds | Chance |
|---|---|---|
Spain | 8/13 | 61.9% |
England | 7/2 | 22.2% |
Draw | 14/5 | 26.3% |
*Odds are correct at the time of writing, but subject to change.
Spain are 8/13 favourites to beat England, who are 7/2 for the win, with the draw at 14/5.
How to Watch
How to watch Spain vs England
The Nations League Group A3 match is scheduled to begin at 19:45 GMT on Sunday and will be shown live on ITV1 .
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Form Guides
Spain form guide
Spain maintained their 100 per cent record in Group A3 with a hard-fought 2-0 victory over 10-man Czech Republic in Prague . Alex Baena’s 39th-minute penalty put them ahead but, despite Czech captain Ladislav Krejci being sent off midway through the second half, the world champions had to wait until stoppage time to finish their opponents off, Marc Pubill netting the clincher.
That made it 12 wins on the trot for Luis de la Fuente’s side, whose only defeat since March 2024 was last summer’s penalty shoot-out loss to Portugal in the Nations League final. Spain’s defence has not been as watertight since the World Cup , when Unai Simon conceded only one goal in eight games, and their win in Prague was a first clean sheet in the group.
They shipped two at Wembley before rallying for a 3-2 victory and we can see England’s dangerous frontline causing them more problems, so a 1-1 draw @ 7/1 or 2-2 scoreline @ 12/1 is worth considering.
Spain have plenty of attacking threats of their own, though, and could also welcome back Lamine Yamal after a knee issue. The Barcelona teenager, who struck after just two minutes at Wembley , is 5/4 to get on the scoresheet while Mikel Oyarzabal (11/10) and Ferran Torres (6/5) are also tempting options.
England form guide
England continued to show their improved form since losing to Argentina in the World Cup semi-finals with Thursday’s victory over Croatia . Goals from Morgan Rogers and Harry Kane , on his record-breaking 126th international appearance, sealed the points as England made it five wins in their last six games.
An injury-hit backline were unable to keep a fourth successive clean sheet but going forward England continue to look a huge threat, with Tuchel’s men averaging almost four goals a game since that Argentina defeat.
Captain Kane has scored in all five Nations League matches so far and now just needs eight more goals to reach 100 for his country. The Ballon d’Or winner missed a penalty against Spain in September but is at the peak of his game right now and 6/4 for him to score at any time in Madrid looks decent value.
Two Spain -based players, Real Madrid’s Jude Bellingham (7/2) and Barcelona’s Anthony Gordon (4/1), will also be looking to make their mark. Don’t forget that with BOYLE Sports’ Sub Swap feature, if your selected player is substituted, then your bet immediately transfers to his replacement.
Betting Tips
Spain vs England Betting Tips – Nations League 2026-27
Lamine Yamal to score at any time @ 5/4
Harry Kane to score at any time @ 6/4
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