Paris St Germain vs Chelsea Prediction & Tips: Over 2.5 Goals @ 11/20 the Standout Bet in Paris

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Paris St Germain boss Luis Enrique insists revenge isn’t on the menu for his side against Chelsea , but you can be sure last summer’s humbling FIFA Club World Cup final defeat won’t have been forgotten.

Chelsea produced a superb performance to beat all-conquering PSG 3-0 in New Jersey to become the first winners of the new-look Club World Cup. That was the only one of six trophies PSG failed to get their hands on last season, and the French giants will be going all out to avoid a repeat against the Blues even if retribution is not their driving force.

PSG vs Chelsea  Prediction – Round of 16 Champions League 2025/26

Luis Enrique said, "It will be fascinating to play against Chelsea , one of the best teams in England . We know them well, but there won't be any feeling of revenge because this is a different competition.” PSG overcame three English clubs - Liverpool, Aston Villa and Arsenal - in the knock-out stages last season en route to their maiden Champions League title , and we expect them to dispatch inconsistent Chelsea as well.

Our prediction for the first leg is a PSG win with over 2.5 goals in total @11/20.

11/20
● LIVE ODDS Over 2.5 Total Goals O/U 2.5

Betting Odds

Paris St Germain vs Chelsea Betting Odds – Champions League 2025/26

Result

Odds

Chance

Paris St Germain

20/23

53.5%

Chelsea

14/5

26.3%

Draw

13/5

27.8%

*Odds are correct at the time of writing, but subject to change.

Paris St Germain are favourites to win this match at 20/23. Chelsea are the underdogs at 14/5, while the draw is priced at 13/5.

To Qualify Odds

Paris St Germain - 4/6

Chelsea  - 23/20

Paris St Germain vs Chelsea Preview

How to Watch

How to Watch Paris St Germain vs Chelsea

The Champions League last-16 first leg is scheduled to begin at 8 pm on Wednesday and will be shown live on TNT Sports 2.

Form Guide

Paris St Germain Form Guide

Like last season, PSG missed out on automatic progress to the last 16 and had to go through the play-offs, where they overcame French opposition for the second-year running. However, unlike 12 months ago when they thrashed Brest 10-0 on aggregate, this time PSG were pushed all the way before edging past Monaco 5-4. Chelsea will be encouraged by the fact that PSG don’t seem to have rediscovered their European mojo yet, with the first-leg win over Monaco being their only victory in five Champions League outings.

However, we can expect them to start moving up the gears now the jeopardy has increased, and PSG to win both halves against Chelsea at the Parc des Princes @5/1 with a Price Boost looks promising. PSG’s glittering array of attacking talent also offers plenty of options for goalscoring bets, with Ousmane Dembele, Desire Doue, Bradley Barcola, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Goncalo Ramos and Lee Kang-in having all got on the scoresheet over the last month.

And don’t forget that with BOYLE Sports’ Sub Swap feature, you could get a second chance to win if your initial selection is replaced without scoring.

5/1
● LIVE ODDS Paris Saint-Germain To Win Both Halves WAS 9/2 Price Boosts

Chelsea Form Guide

Chelsea have made a steady if unspectacular start under new boss Liam Rosenior , with nine wins in 14 games and just the three defeats - all at the hands of Arsenal . But they have also been held to frustrating home draws by Leeds and Burnley , and discipline remains an ongoing issue with Pedro Neto’s red card against the Gunners being their ninth dismissal of the season 10 including Enzo Maresca’s sending-off against Liverpool .

Chelsea can ill afford to be caught short-handed against the reigning European champions, and that is something Rosenior is sure to be looking at. He doesn’t have to worry too much about Chelsea’s attacking threat, though. Joao Pedro took his tally for the season to 17 goals with a hat-trick in an impressive 4-1 win over Aston Villa , while Cole Palmer , who terrorised PSG’s defence last summer, will hope his strike at Villa Park will open the floodgates for him.

Chelsea have only failed to score in three of their 44 matches this season, and you can get 7/5 for more than 1.5 away goals on Wednesday. Alternatively, odds of 13/5 for both teams to notch in the first half is worth considering.

13/5
● LIVE ODDS Yes Both Teams To Score in 1st Half

Betting Tips

Paris St Germain vs Chelsea Betting Tips

Over 2.5 Goals @ 11/20

PSG To Win Both Halves @ 5/1

Over 1.5 Away Goals @ 7/5

BTTS First Half @ 13/5

Simply click/tap on the above betting tips to add to your betslip.

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