We have a Drogheda vs UCD prediction ahead of Saturday evening’s Promotion/Relegation Play-off Final at Tallaght Stadium.
Drogheda come into this game on the back of a 2-0 win over Galway United, but it wasn’t enough to lift them out of ninth, meaning Kevin Doherty’s side must win one more game to keep their Premier Division status.
UCD finished runners-up to Cork City in the First Division and have since beaten Longford Town 4-0 on aggregate and Bray Wanderers 3-1 to earn a chance for promotion after three seasons away.
Betting Odds
Drogheda vs UCD Betting Odds – Promotion/Relegation Play-off
Team | Odds | Chance |
|---|---|---|
Drogheda | 6/10 | 62.5% |
UCD | 10/3 | 23.1% |
Draw | 3/1 | 25.0% |
Drogheda are the favourites at 6/10, with UCD the underdogs at 10/3 and the draw priced at 3/1. .
* Odds are correct at the time of writing, but subject to change .
Drogheda v UCD Match Result – LOI Promotion/Relegation Play-off Final
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How To Watch
How to Watch Drogheda vs UCD
The game will kick off at 5:30pm at Tallaght Stadium and can be viewed live on Virgin Media Two.
Form Guides
Drogheda’s Form
Though hopes would’ve been high before the 2026 Premier Division season, they’ve spent the majority of the time looking over their shoulder and finished ninth with 40 points from 36 games. Last Friday’s 2-0 win over Galway United , through a 20-yard strike from Brandon Kavanagh and a lovely lob from Mark Doyle, was a fitting send-off for Ryan Brennan in his final home game, but results elsewhere meant a play-off was on the cards. However, they’ve been here before, having beaten Bray Wanderers 3-1 in the same fixture two seasons ago in Tallaght.
It was a badly needed momentum changer after only earning three points in the league from their previous four games.
Though it’s been a tough season for the club, they retain plenty of quality, including Mark Doyle, the club’s top scorer with 11 league goals, Brandon Kavanagh, Shane Farrell and Edwin Agbaje, but losing goalkeeper Luke Dennison to a broken hand was a real blow, and Owen Lambe is also a doubt.
Drogheda @ 6/10
Drogheda’s Last Five Results
Drogheda 2-0 Galway United | October 30th | Win
Waterford 3-1 Drogheda | October 23rd | Loss
Drogheda 2-0 Derry City | October 16th | Win
Shamrock Rovers 3-1 Drogheda | October 8th | Loss
Bohemians 2-1 Drogheda | September 18th | Loss
2 Wins and 3 Losses
UCD’s Form
UCD dropped out of the Premier Division at the end of 2023, but Willy O’Connor’s students have come back stronger, finishing second behind champions Cork City in the First Division and going unbeaten in their last six games in all competitions.
Last weekend UCD finally got the better of Bray Wanderers at the fifth time of asking this season, coming from a goal down to win 3-1 at Tolka Park through Sam Norval, Ciaran Behan and Hugh Smith. That followed a 4-0 aggregate win over Longford Town, and they have scored 17 and conceded only four during that six-game run.
Hugh Smith has been sensational all season for the Students, with 19 goals and five assists in 41 games in all competitions. He has six in his last four, including a hat-trick at Wexford. With Ciaran Behan, Louis Dignam and Mikey McCullagh around him, there is no shortage of confidence in this young side, though Saturday is a big step up.
UCD have scored 17 in their six-game unbeaten run and Drogheda have conceded in three of their last five, so BTTS @ 8/13 looks the play.
UCD’s Last Five Results
Bray Wanderers 1-3 UCD | November 1st | Win
UCD 2-0 Longford Town | October 27th | Win
Longford Town 0-2 UCD | October 24th | Win
Wexford 2-5 UCD | October 16th | Win
UCD 1-1 Longford Town | October 9th | Draw
4 Wins and 1 Draw
Best Bet
Drogheda vs UCD Prediction & Best Bet
Prediction: Drogheda 2-1 UCD
Drogheda have not been at the races in 2026 but come into it knowing they’ve the experience of being here before in Tallaght and getting the job done.
UCD carry a wave of momentum unbeaten in six and scoring freely, but they have had a shorter turnaround, and Premier Division opposition is a different animal from what their form was built against.
Experience against momentum: Drogheda have won the last four meetings between these sides, and with Mark Doyle leading the line, we can see them edging a thriller.
Best Bet: Drogheda @ 6/10
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*Prices are subject to fluctuation.
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Bill is as passionate about Irish football as they come, with an agonising longing to see his country grace a World Cup stage. A League of Ireland devotee and lifelong Man United fan, he knows better than most what sporting heartbreak feels like, and brings that perspective to the BOYLE Sports Blog. With roots in greyhound racing and a curiosity spanning politics, snooker, WWE and beyond, there is rarely a sporting conversation he cannot add to.


