Sweden vs Poland, Betting Tips & Odds – International Football Tips

Published on March 30th, 2026

Sweden and Poland appear pretty evenly matched heading into Tuesday night’s World Cup play-offs clash in Solna .

The hosts probably have the edge in terms of energy and youthful enthusiasm, but Poland’s incredibly experienced spine could be a crucial factor.

Sweden v Poland Result - International Football

Sweden

Poland

Draw

We reckon these teams are hard to split and believe this tie could well go to extra time, so 23/10 for a draw at the end of regulation play appeals for our first Sweden vs Poland prediction.

23/10

● LIVE ODDS Draw Match Betting

Sweden v Poland Betting Odds – International Football

Result	Odds	Chance
Sweden	EVS	50%
Poland	5/2	28.6%
Draw	29/10	30.3%

Sweden are EVS favourites for this World Cup playoff final, Poland are 5/2 outsiders, and the draw in 90 minutes is priced at 29/10.

*Odds are correct at the time of writing, but subject to change.

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Sweden v Poland Preview

How to Watch Sweden vs Poland

The prize at stake is a place in Group F at this summer’s finals alongside Japan, the Netherlands and Tunisia, and this clash will be broadcast live by Amazon Prime, with a kick-off time of 19:45 BST.

Sweden vs Poland head-to-head record

Sweden have a historical edge in this fixture, enjoying 15 past wins compared to nine for Poland , but honours have been even across two recent meetings. The Scandinavians shaded a 3-2 victory at the European Championships in 2021 thanks to a 94th-minute decider, but Poland prevailed 2-0 the following year in a World Cup play-off.

Poland’s Robert Lewandowski scored three times in those matches and is 6/4 to hit the target at any point again here.

Sweden Form Guide

Sweden played poorly in their qualifying group, losing twice to both Switzerland and Kosovo , in between score draws against Slovenia . Those results saw them finish bottom of the table, but the Scandinavians had already booked a place in the play-offs due to winning a Nations League pool featuring Slovakia , Estonia and Azerbaijan .

In last Thursday’s semi, Arsenal forward Viktor Gyokeres struck a hat-trick to inspire Sweden to a 3-1 win over Ukraine on neutral territory, earning new boss Graham Potter a maiden victory in charge. Former Brighton , Chelsea and West Ham chief Potter , who was only appointed in October, watched Gyokeres break the deadlock after six minutes in Valencia , and the Gunners forward scored twice more after half-time.

With 16 goals to his credit for Arsenal this term, it is easy to see why Gyokeres is a 10/3 favourite to open the scoring in the Sweden vs Poland odds.

10/3

● LIVE ODDS Viktor Gyokeres First Goalscorer

Poland Form Guide

Poland are seeking to qualify for a third straight World Cup finals tournament and have also appeared at the last five European Championships , albeit they typically underperform on the big stage. The Eagles had a change of manager themselves last summer, with Jan Urban replacing Michal Probierz , who resigned after a dispute with Lewandowski . At that point, they had beaten Lithuania and Malta on home turf but had just lost away to Finland .

However, Urban steadied the ship and led his team to four wins and a couple of 1-1 draws with the Netherlands , ultimately finishing a clear second behind the table-topping Dutch . Albania threatened to spring a surprise in Thursday’s play-off semi when Arber Hoxha put them ahead in Warsaw , but Lewandowski levelled before Piotr Zielinski sent Poland through with a winner 17 minutes from time.

Sceptics will suggest that Barcelona striker Lewandowski and Inter Milan midfielder Zielinski are among a number of veteran performers in this squad, but Poland have always produced outstanding athletes who age well. They shouldn’t be overawed by a white-hot atmosphere in Solna , and 11/2 for a 1-1 stalemate at the end of normal time is added to our Sweden vs Poland betting tips.