Finland v England Prediction, Tips & Best Bet – Nations League

We have a Finland v England prediction for you plus a breakdown of the betting odds, team news and matchups ahead of their Nations League fixture.

Finland are yet to land their first point of this Nations League campaign though they took the lead against Ireland and fell to a late 1-2 defeat.

England had a shock 1-2 defeat against Greece on Thursday Night and need a win to get their Nations League campaign back on track.

How To Watch Finland v England

When is Finland v England?

Finland v England will take place on Sunday at 5.00 pm

TV Channel

RTÉ 2

Where is Finland v England Being Played?

Helsinki Olympic Stadium

Finland v England Odds

Finland are priced at 15/2 for the shock victory on Sunday evening, England are 3/10 favourites to bounce back with a win and the draw is seen as a 4/1 shot per the latest odds at BoyleSports.

Handicap Betting

Finland: +1 @ 23/10

England: -1 @ 10/11

Handicap Draw: +1 @ 13/5

Finland v England Preview

Finland’s Form 

Finland have been managed by Markku Kanerva since 2016 a role which he was appointed following a five-year stint as assistant of his country from 2011-2016 and as working as U21 coach for his country from 2004-2010. He’s a tactically flexible manager utilising a 3-5-2, 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3 formation in 2024 though against Ireland they utilised a 4-2-3-1.

Far from a footballing giant, Finland have never participated in a World Cup and their sole European Championship appearance came in 2020 when they were eliminated at the Group Stage. The national team have an All-Time win rate of 26.5%. There is talent in their squad though with Leverkusen keeper Lukas Hradecky, young LB on the books of Man City  Tomas Galvez (19) and former Premier League striker Teemu Pukki among those involved.

Finland have the opportunity to land their first point against England in this game though their performance against Ireland would suggest that it’s unlikely.

Finland’s Last Five Results

Finland 1-2 Republic of Ireland | October 10th | Loss

England 2-0 Finland | September 10th | Loss

Greece 3-0 Finland | September 7th | Loss

Scotland 2-2 Finland | June 7th | Draw

Portugal 4-2 Finland | June 24th | Loss

4 Losses, and 1 Draw

England’s Form

The  “Case for Carsley”  had a setback on Thursday Night when they fell to a 1-2 defeat against Greece which ended his 100% start to the interim job. This has prompted the British press in another media-manufactured melodrama and Carsley has insisted he suspects to return to the 21s. Who would blame him? Though he’s still stamped his authority on the team introducing fresh faces Madueke, Solanke, Lewis and Gomes.

Carsley has switched between a 4-3-3 vs Ireland and a 4-2-3-1 in his three games in charge favouring the 4-3-3 in two of the three games including against Greece. The general statistics look solid with 16.7 shots per game, an average of 60.3% of possession, a pass completion percentage of 89.2% and 12.1 aerials won.

England are far too good for Nations League Group B, but their latest loss will put pressure on them to win this game.

England’s Last Five Results

England 1-2 Greece | October 10th | Loss

England 2-0 Finland | September 10th | Win

Republic of Ireland 0-2 England | September 7th | Win

Spain 2-1 England | July 14th | Loss

Netherlands 1-2 England | July 11th | Win

3 Wins and 2 Losses

Finland v England Predicted Lineups

Finland Predicted Starting XI (4-2-3-1)

GK: Hradecky

RB: Stahl, CB: Hoskonen, CB: Ivanov, LB: Galvez

CM: Schüller, CM: Walta

RW: Jensen,  AM: Kamara, LW: Keskinen

CF: Pukki

England Predicted Starting XI (4-3-3)

GK: Pickford

RB: Trent, CB: Stones, CB: Colwill, LB: Lewis

CM: Rice, CM: Bellingham, AM: Palmer

RW: Saka, CF: Watkins, LW: Gordon

Finland v England Head-To-Head Results & Stats

All-Time Head-To-Head Record

Finland wins: 0

England wins: 10

Draws: 2

Head-To-Head Last Five Results

England 2-0 Finland | Nations League | September 10th, 2024

England 2-1 Finland | World Cup Qualifying | March 24th, 2021

Finland 1-0 England | World Cup Qualifying | October 11th, 2000

Finland 1-2 England | Friendly | June 3rd, 1992

Finland 1-1 England | World Cup Qualifying | May 22nd, 1985

Key Players To Watch

Teemu Pukki – Finland

The Finnish record goal-scorer with 42 goals from his 124 appearances might be getting on in years at 34 he remains a crucial component for his nation. Pukki remains a lethal finisher, and they looked a far more threatening side when he came off the bench against Ireland.

Ollie Watkins – England.

With the absence of Kane through injury, I was interested to see who would lead the line against Greece. I thought it would be Watkins, but Carsley went with Bellingham up top against Greece. For this game, I expect Aston Villa striker Ollie Watkins who has 4 goals from 15 caps with England to get the nod. For Villa, this season he’s continued to be in strong form with 4 goals and 3 assists from 9 games and his pace, finishing and link-up play could be crucial to avoid further embarrassment.

Finland v England Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Finland 0-3 England

While Finland have some decent players their goal against Ireland came from a calamitous mistake by Collins rather than attacking ingenuity. If they persist in not starting Pukki I fail to see who could score for them against England.

Carsley may want the job, he may not want the job but what he certainly will want is a bounce-back performance against Finland and with the attacking talent they’ve at their disposal they have the potential to release the shackles under Carsley and score a few.

England are certainties to win, the question is by how much and who scores?

Best Bet: England Win + Under 3.5 Total Goals @ 21/20

*Prices are subject to fluctuation.

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