We have an England v South Africa prediction for you plus a breakdown of the betting odds, team news and matchups ahead of their Autumn Nations Series fixture.
England are reeling off the back of two gut-wrenching losses to New Zealand and Australia respectively. Now it is the Springboks who roll into town fresh off a comprehensive victory over Scotland last weekend.
Can the English restore their pride after a tough stretch and avenge their Rugby World Cup semi-final loss to this opposition last year? Or will this South African outfit impose more misery on northern hemisphere opposition? Find out everything you need to know about the big game below.
How To Watch England v South Africa
When is England v South Africa
5.40 pm, Saturday, November 16th
TV Channel
TNT Sports 1
Live Stream
Discovery+ will stream England v South Africa. Subscription required.
Who are the officiating team?
Referee: Andrew Brace (Ireland)
Assistant Referees: Chris Busby (Ireland), Eoghan Cross (Ireland)
TMO: Ben Whitehouse (Wales)
Foul Play Review Officer: Mike Adamson (Scotland)
Where is England v South Africa
Allianz Stadium, London, England (better known as Twickenham) will play host to this Autumn Nations Series test match.
England v South Africa Odds
Team | Odds | Chance |
|---|---|---|
England | 9/4 | 30.8% |
South Africa | 4/11 | 73.3% |
Draw | 22/1 | 4.3% |
England are priced at 9/4 to take full advantage of their home crowd on Saturday and win.
South Africa are priced at 4/11 to continue their dominance in World Rugby and the draw is a 22/1 chance.
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14 Points Ahead Early Payout Odds
England @ 11/5
South Africa @ 1/3
Handicap Betting
England: +8 @ Evens
South Africa: -8 @ Evens
Handicap Draw: +8 @ 18/1
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*Prices are subject to fluctuation.
Team News
England Team News
South Africa Team News
England v South Africa Preview
England Form
England have been a mixed bag of form under Head Coach Steve Borthwick in 2024 their Six Nations journey began with victories albeit narrow coming 24-27 against Italy and 16-14 against Wales. That was followed by a 30-21 loss against Scotland but in their next game, they claimed a huge bragging rights win 23-22 over Ireland before concluding the competition with a 33-31 loss against France. They grew into competition against the supposed stronger sides.
During the Summer Internationals, they commenced their second campaign of the International season with a convincing 17-52 victory over Japan in Tokyo. In their remaining games, they played out two competitive fixtures against New Zealand albeit coming out on the wrong side of the scoreline both times 16-15 and 24-17 with both games held in New Zealand.
They opened the Autumn Series playing New Zealand with them coming out the wrong side of a narrow 22-24 scoreline in England. That was followed by a 37-42 defeat against Australia last weekend.
South Africa Form
Following their narrow World Cup Final success defeating New Zealand 11-12 in October 2023 the Springboks did not return to the field until the June Internationals where they first beat Wales in a 41-13 scoreline before playing out an entertaining series against Ireland winning the first game 27-20 before losing 24-25 the window was concluded with a 64-21 win over Portugal.
Their Rugby Championship journey commenced with two victories over Australia coming in 7-33 and 12-30 scorelines. They continued their winning run against their bitter rivals the All Blacks winning 31-27 and 18-12. However, they were shocked in their penultimate games against Argentina 29-28 before securing the Rugby Championship in the reverse fixture with a 48-7 win.
They commenced their Autumn Nations campaign with a 15-32 victory against Scotland last weekend.
England v South Africa Rugby Head-To-Head
All-Time Head-To-Head Record
England and South Africa have been playing against each other in Test Match Rugby since 1906 where they played out a 3-3 draw in London during the 1906/07 South Africa tour of France, Great Britain and Ireland.
From the 46 Test Matches between both sides, South Africa have been victorious on 28 occasions and England have won 16 times and 2 draws have occurred.
South Africa have scored a cumulative of 988 points compared to England’s 784
Head-To-Head Results Last Five Matches
2023: South Africa won 15-16 in Stade de France
2022: South Africa won 13- 27 in Twickenham
2021: England won 27-26 in Twickenham
2019: South Africa won 17-32 in International Stadium
2018: England won 12-11 in Twickenham
Trends
South Africa have won 6 of the last 10 tests between both sides with the last English victory coming during the 2021 Autumn Internationals.
Key Players
Marcus Smith – England
The magic man from Fly Half England International Marcus Smith (25) oozes quality, class and flare in everything he does on the field. In his 36 caps for England since debuting in 2021 he has 260 points. He can make things happen for England on Saturday afternoon.
Smith gets the nod at no. 10 for this game against South Africa and he is 13/10 to score 12+ points.
Cheslin Kolbe – South Africa
In a Springboks side where the forwards often receive the bulk of the plaudits and attention (quite literally), Toulon Winger Cheslin Kolbe (31) is a very exciting attacking threat and has 101 points from his 368 caps for his country since debuting back in 2018. Cheslin is not only a prolific try threat, but his biggest asset is his ferocious pace which garnered plenty of attention at the Rugby World Cup.
WOW! #RWC2023 | #FRAvRSA pic.twitter.com/aVj0M4UUyq
— Rugby World Cup (@rugbyworldcup) October 15, 2023
England v South Africa Prediction & Best Bet
Prediction: England 10-26 South Africa
English Rugby has gone through a period of transition, but in recent fixtures, they’ve shown themselves to be a capable side against the strongest of nations and running the All Blacks close three times.
World Champions South Africa though look to be a different class to everyone else right now and are expected to continue their flying form on Saturday with another win.
England are no pushovers, but I still think the Springboks will win comfortably enough in the end.
Best Bet: Cheslin Kolbe Anytime Try @ 11/8
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*Prices are subject to fluctuation.
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