Wondering what the Cavan Monaghan Irish General Election odds are? Well then wonder no longer as we have you covered with all the latest odds for this constituency.
We also break down everything you need to know about the constituency including the number of seats available, previous election results and candidate track records.
Cavan Monaghan General Election Odds
Candidate | Odds | Chance |
|---|---|---|
Matt Carthy (Sinn Féin) | 1/500 | 99.8% |
Pauline Tully (Sinn Féin) | 1/12 | 92.3% |
David Maxwell (Fine Gael) | 1/4 | 80% |
Niamh Smyth (Fianna Fáil) | 8/13 | 61.9% |
Robbie Gallagher (Fianna Fáil) | 8/11 | 57.9% |
Shane P O'Reilly (Independent Ireland) | 5/6 | 54.5% |
Brendan Smith (Fianna Fáil) | 11/10 | 47.6% |
Sarah O’Reilly (Aontu) | 6/4 | 40% |
Cathy Bennett (Sinn Féin) | 3/1 | 25% |
TP O’Reilly (Fine Gael) | 11/1 | 8.3% |
Carmel Brady (Fine Gael) | 12/1 | 7.7% |
Cavan Monaghan's Favourites For Election
Matt Carthy (Sinn Féin) – Cavan Monaghan Favourite For Election
The favourite to be elected in Cavan Monaghan is Matt Carthy (Sinn Féin) at odds of 1/500. Those odds imply that he has a 99.8% chance of being elected in this constituency.
Matt was first elected to the constituency in 2020 when he topped the poll. He previously served as a Member of the European Parliament (MEP) for the Midlands–North-West constituency from 2014 to 2020.
Pauline Tully (Sinn Féin)
According to the latest betting odds, Catherine Connolly (Independent) is the next most likely candidate to earn a seat in Cavan Monaghan at odds of 1/12. These odds suggest that she has a 92.3% chance of winning a seat in this constituency.
Pauline has been a TD since her election in 2020 after previously being a member of Cavan County Council for the Ballyjamesduff local electoral area from the 1999 election until 2012.
David Maxwell (Fine Gael)
Next up in the Cavan Monaghan 2024 Irish Election odds is Hildegarde Naughten (Fine Gael) who has been given odds of 1/4 to win a Dáil seat. Those odds imply he has an 80% chance of election.
Maxwell is a Monaghan County Council Member in Monaghan Municipal District and a Peace Commissioner.
Cavan Monaghan Breakdown
Number of seats
There are 5 seats up for grabs in Cavan Monaghan
2020 Cavan Monaghan General Election Results
Matt Carthy (Sinn Féin) – 22.6% FPV,
Heather Humphreys (Fine Gael) – 17.7% FPV
Pauline Tully (Sinn Féin) – 14.1% FPV elected on 2nd count
Brendan Smith (Fianna Fáil) –10.2% FPV, elected on 11th count
Niamh Smyth (Fianna Fáil) – 8% FPV, elected on 11th count
Cavan Monaghan Projected Results
Matt Carthy (Sinn Féin) is projected to be the first candidate elected in Cavan Monaghan according to the latest Politics betting odds at BoyleSports.
Pauline Tully (Sinn Féin) and David Maxwell (Fine Gael) are expected to land the next seats.
The final two seats are harder to predict but Niamh Smyth and Robbie Gallagher both of Fianna Fáil are seen as likely to have enough to get over the line.
Cavan Monaghan Irish Election Tips
With 5 seats up for grabs in Cavan Monaghan, the first four candidates look very likely to be elected.
Outside the above-mentioned names Brendan Smith also of Fianna Fáil, and Shane P O’Reilly of Independent Ireland will be competitive.
In 2020 Matt Carthy topped the poll with 22.6% of the first preference vote with the other seats taken by Heather Humphreys, Pauline Tully, Brendan Smith and Niamh Smyth.
Sarah O’Reilly of Aontu can’t be ruled out either as she could earn plenty of transfers.
Bet on Irish Election Odds at BoyleSports
*Prices are subject to fluctuation.
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