We have a Carabao Cup Final prediction for you plus a breakdown of the odds, team news and matchups as Chelsea take on Liverpool at Wembley.
Chelsea have had a Jekyll and Hyde season so far while 10th in the league, they’ve saved their best form for the cup competitions and are 1 win away from giving Pochettino his first English domestic title success.
Liverpool are having a brilliant season under Klopp and look destined to give Klopp a well-deserved swan song with some silverware before he departs at the end of the season with them leading the Premier League and fighting on all fronts for success.
How To Watch The Carabao Cup Final
When is The Carabao Cup Final?
The Carabao Cup Final between Chelsea and Liverpool will kick-off at 3.00 pm on Sunday, February 25th.
TV Channel
Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event
Where is The Carabao Cup Final Being Played?
The Carabao Cup Final will be played at Wembley Stadium in London as is tradition.
Carabao Cup Final Odds
Carabao Cup Final Betting Odds – Chelsea v Liverpool | ||
Team | Odds | Chance |
Chelsea | 11/5 | 31.3% |
Liverpool | 21/20 | 48.8% |
The Draw | 11/4 | 26.7% |
Liverpool are the 21/20 favourites to win the Carabao Cup Final in 90 minutes per the latest football odds at BoyleSports.
Meanwhile, Chelsea are 11/5 underdogs to be the winners at full-time and the draw after 90 minutes is priced up at 11/4.
To Lift The Trophy
Chelsea @ 5/4
Liverpool @ 6/10
Handicap Betting
Chelsea: +1 @ 8/11
Liverpool: -1 @ 14/5
Handicap Draw: +1@ 3/1
Chelsea v Liverpool Preview
Chelsea’s Form
Chelsea, in a sense, are an active football experiment of plucking promising footballing talents from across the world – signing as many as possible for big fees and long contracts – and seeing if they can click together into an unstoppable force.
It hasn’t quite happened yet though, best evidenced by their mediocre league form with 10 wins, 5 draws and 10 defeats to put them 10th in the league. The underlying metrics have them 6th in the Expected Points table suggesting they’re performing better than what the real table would show.
Chelsea’s Path To The Carabao Cup Final
Due to the absence of European football, the Blues started in the 2nd round against Wimbledon. That day an Enzo Fernandez winner gave them a 2-1 victory. That was followed by 1-0 and 2-0 wins over Brighton and Blackburn respectively. Chelsea overcame Newcastle by the skin of their teeth when Mudryk equalised in the 92nd minute before eventually winning out 4-2 on penalties.
They finally booked their place in the Final against Middlesbrough, despite losing the opening leg 1-0 they proved far too good in the second leg to win 6-1 on the night and 6-2 on aggregate. It has been a long journey to Wembley but there does seem to be a grit and resilience present in this Chelsea side’s cup run.
Chelsea’s Last Five Results
Man City 1-1 Chelsea | February 17th | Draw
Crystal Palace 1-3 Chelsea | February 12th | Wins
Aston Villa 1-3 Chelsea | February 7th | Win
Chelsea 2-4 Wolves | February 4th | Loss
Liverpool 4-1 Chelsea | January 31st | Loss
2 Wins, 2 Losses and 1 Draw
Liverpool’s Form
Liverpool are recovered from the poor season last year which ended trophyless (aside from a Community Shield success) and are now fighting for trophies on fronts in both the Premier League (which they currently lead), into the Fifth Round of the FA Cup following dispatches of Arsenal and Norwich and into the Round of 16 of the Europa League. They will have to win their first chance to win silverware this season under Klopp come Sunday in the Carabao Cup Final.
Liverpool’s Path To The Carabao Cup Final
Liverpool started their cup run in the 3rd Round when they overcame potential banana skin Leicester City 3-1 and Bournemouth in the 4th Round 1-2 with Gakpo scoring for the second successive game.
It was the Quarter-Final stage where they announced themselves as serious contenders with a 5-1 demolition of fellow Premier League side West Ham with Gakpo scoring for the third successive game of the competition.
In their Semi-Final first leg, they won 2-1 against Fulham with Gakpo scoring again, they sealed their Final spot with a 1-1 draw in the second leg.
Liverpool’s Last Five Results
Liverpool 4-1 Luton Town | February 21st |Win
Brentford 1-4 Liverpool| February 17th | Win
Liverpool 3-1 Burnley | February 10th | Win
Arsenal 3-1 Liverpool | February 4th | Loss
Liverpool 4-1 Chelsea | January 31st | Win
4 Wins, and 1 Loss
Chelsea v Liverpool Weather Forecast
The temperature on Saturday is expected to be 7 degrees with no rainfall.
Chelsea v Liverpool Predicted Lineups
Chelsea’s Predicted Starting XI (4-2-3-1)
GK: Petrovic
RB: Gusto, CB: Disasi, CB: Colwill, LB Chilwell
CM: Caicedo, CM: Fernández,
RW: Palmer, AM: Gallagher, LW: Sterling
CF: Jackson
Liverpool Predicted Starting XI (4-3-3)
GK: Kelleher
RB: Bradley, CB: Konate, CB: Van Dijk, LB: Robertson
RCM: Mac Allister, CM: Endo, LCM; Gravenberch
RW: Salah, CF: Nunez, LW: Gakpo
Chelsea v Liverpool Head-To-Head Results & Stats
All-Time Head-To-Head Record
Chelsea wins: 65
Liverpool wins: 85
Draws: 46
Head-To-Head Results Last Five Matches
Liverpool 4-1 Chelsea | Premier League | January 31st, 2024
Chelsea 1-1 Liverpool | Premier League | August 13th, 2023
Chelsea 0-0 Liverpool | Premier League | April 4th, 2023
Liverpool 0-0 Chelsea| Premier League | January 21st, 2023
Chelsea 0-0 Liverpool | FA Cup | May 14th, 2022
Betting Trends
Goals
Coming into this game, between both teams there has been an average of 4 Goals per match compared to the competition average of 2.97
Across their matches this season 70% have Over 1.5 Goals, 85% have Over 2.5 Goals and 70% have had BTTS.
Cards
The sum of their bookings per match is 4.20 with Chelsea getting 2.30 cards per match and Liverpool receiving 1.90 cards per match.
Corners
The sides average 12.77 corners cumulative per match between them with Chelsea having 6.44 and Liverpool having 6.33.
Scoring Patterns
Chelsea are most vulnerable in the last 15 minutes where they have scored 8 goals and conceded 14 in the league this season.
Liverpool conversely are most dangerous in the last 15 minutes, scoring 22 goals and conceding 8.
Key Players To Watch
Conor Gallagher – Chelsea
A product of the Chelsea Academy, Gallagher plays as a box-to-box midfielder but can play further up the pitch or even deeper depending on the tactical system. Gallagher’s style of play is reminiscent of Chelsea legend Frank Lampard.
Gallagher recently saved Chelsea’s blushes with a brace against Crystal Palace to earn them a 1-3 victory which was followed by a full 90 minutes in their 1-1 draw against Man City.
Cody Gakpo – Liverpool
The versatile Dutchman has played all across the front-three this season along with occasionally playing central midfield making him a key cog in the Klopp wheel. In all competitions, he has 11 goals and 5 assists but has saved his best form for this competition with 4 goals from 5 matches.
He’s not even guaranteed a spot in the starting side Sunday but given his form I’d expect he gets the nod.
Chelsea v Liverpool Prediction & Best Bet
Prediction: Chelsea 0-2 Liverpool
Chelsea have saved their best performances for cup competitions this season and a victory in this final could be their kick-start to becoming a more confident, consistent side.
Liverpool will be driven by the opportunity to land Klopp another trophy before he departs this summer and their rampant victory against Brentford mid-week suggests they are coming to the boil nicely ahead of Sunday.
Anything can happen in a final, but Liverpool are worthy favourites in this one.
Best Bet: Liverpool -1 @ 14/5
*Prices subject to fluctuation.
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