Burnley v Liverpool Prediction, Preview & Odds - Premier League

We have a Burnley v Liverpool prediction for you plus a breakdown of the odds, team news and matchups ahead of this Premier League match.

It’s been a poor season for Vincent Kompany’s Burnley side as they’ve struggled to transition their possession and attacking-based football that dominated the Championship last season to the Premier League.

Liverpool look back close to their best under Klopp this season, and while they will have been disappointed with not getting the victory against Man United at Anfield. They look well-placed to mount a title challenge again this season.

So can Burnley secure some much-needed points against high-flying Liverpool? Find out everything you need to know about the chances of both teams below.

How To Watch Burnley v Liverpool

When is Burnley v Liverpool?

Burnley v Liverpool will take place on Boxing Day at 5.30 pm in the Premier League’s evening kick-off.

TV Channel

Burnley v Liverpool will be broadcast in Ireland on Premier Sports 1.

Live Stream

Viewers in Ireland can also live stream Burnley v Liverpool on NowTV if they are subscribed to Premier Sports 1.

In the UK you can stream Burnley v Liverpool on Amazon Prime Video.

Where is Burnley v Liverpool Being Played?

Burnley are at home so this fixture will be played at their home ground Turf Moor in Burnley, England.

Burnley v Liverpool Odds

Burnley, despite home comforts, are 6/1 underdogs for this game. Liverpool are hotly fancied at 4/11 to continue their Premier League form. The draw is priced up at odds of 4/1.

Handicap Betting Odds

Burnley: +1 @ 19/10

Liverpool: -1 @ EVS

Handicap Draw: +1@ 14/5

Click Below For Our LIVE Burnley v Liverpool Odds

Burnley v Liverpool Weather Forecast

Perfect conditions for football are expected on Boxing Day with the temperature expected to be roughly 4 degrees with no rain in the forecast.

Burnley v Liverpool Preview

Burnley’s Form

Burnley have accumulated 4 of their 8-point total (at the time of writing on December 22nd) in their last five league games.

Burnley will need the added boost of their home fans if they’re going to attempt their possession-based attacking football against Liverpool. Kompany has most commonly used 4-4-2 this season but has tinkered with tactics regularly and it wouldn’t surprise me if he moved to a 5-4-1 in this game out of possession.

Burnley have been lacking in both attack and defence this season and the advanced statistics more or less reflect this. Their 16 goals scored in their opening 17 games is from an XG of 17.14 suggesting that while not clinical it’s around where they should be.

Their defence on the other hand has conceded 38 Goals from an XG of 32.3 which suggests some poor luck on that front.

Burnley’s Last Five Results

Fulham vs Burnley | December 23rd | TBC

Burnley 0-2 Everton | December 16th | Loss

Brighton 1-1 Burnley | December 9th | Draw

Wolves 1-0 Burnley | December 5tht | Loss

Burnley 5-0 Sheffield United | December 2nd| Loss

1 Win,1 Draw, 2 Losses and TBC

Liverpool’s Form

Liverpool look back close to their best under Klopp this season, and while they will have been disappointed with not getting the victory against Man United at Anfield they look well-placed to mount a title challenge this season.

The Reds will have faced Arsenal before this game, so no matter what the result and given the time of the year, you can expect rotation from the side which faced Arsenal. However, you know what you’ll get from Liverpool and that is a 4-3-3 shape with heavy attacking intent. Expect at least one of Endo/Elliot to play along with Diaz similar to the side which beat West Ham 5-1 in the EFL Cup.

Liverpool, as of the first seventeen games of the season, were the third-highest scorers in the league with 36 goals from an XG of 36.97 scoring 1 less than Aston Villa and 4 less than Man City.

Jurgen Klopp’s side also have the joint best defence along with Arsenal with 15 goals conceded from an XGA of 22.14. Despite being 2nd in the table with 38 points their Expected Points Total has them third on 32.45 points behind Man City's 35.85 and Arsenal's 34.41.

Liverpool’s Last Five Results

Liverpool vs Arsenal | December 23rd | TBC

Liverpool 5-1 West Ham EFL Cup | December 20th | Win

Liverpool 0-0 Man United | December 17th | Draw

Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 Liverpool | December 14th | Loss

Crystal Palace 1-2 Liverpool | December 9th | Win

2 Wins, 1 Draw and 1 Loss + TBC

Burnley v Liverpool Predicted Lineups

Burnley Predicted Starting XI

Formation: 4-3-3

GK: Trafford

RB: Roberts, CB: O’Shea, CB: Beyer, LB: Delcroz

RM: Gudmundsson, CM: Berge, CM: Brownhill, LM: Odobert

CF: Rodriguez, CF: Amdouni

Liverpool Predicted Starting XI

Formation: 4-3-3

GK: Alisson

RB: Trent, CB: J.A Quansah, CB: Van Dijk, LB: Tsimikas

RCM: Szoboszlai, CM: Jones, LCM; Endo

RW: Salah, CF: Nunez, LW: Diaz

Burnley v Liverpool Head-To-Head Results & Stats

All-Time Head-To-Head Record

Burnley wins: 38

Liverpool wins: 59

Draws: 29

Head-To-Head Results Last Five Matches

Burnley 0-1 Liverpool | Premier League | February 13th, 2022

Liverpool 2-0 Burnley | Premier League | August 21st, 2021

Burnley 0-3 Liverpool | Premier League | May 19th, 2021

Liverpool 0-1 Burnley | Premier League | January 21st, 2021

Liverpool 1-1 Burnley | Premier League | July 11th, 2020

Betting Trends

Goals

Coming into this game, between both teams there has been an average of 3.17 Goals Per Match this season which is slightly more than the league average of 3.07.

In historic matches, 95% have had Over 1.5 Goals, 62% have Over 2.5 Goals and 67% have had BTTS.

Cards

Between both sides, they average 4.78 Cards Per Match, which is lower than the league average of 4.96.

Corners

The sides average 12.89 Corners per match between them which is considerably more than the league average of 10.5 corners per match.

Scoring Patterns

Burnley are most likely to concede from the 61st to 75th minute where they have scored 2 and conceded 9 goals in games this season.

Liverpool’s best period comes in the last 15 minutes where they have scored 13 goals and conceded 4.

Key Players To Watch

Josh Brownhill – Burnley

The all-action midfielder has been Burnley’s most impressive performer this season, particularly in the last month where he has scored 2 of his 3 league goals.

This could be a hotly contested game in midfield and Brownhill, along with his scoring exploits, wins 98% of his defensive actions and 86% of his Aerial Duels which ensures the Burnley defence has more protection.

Mo Salah – Liverpool

The “Egyptian King” has made rubbish of any claims that he might be slowing down this season with 15 Goals and 8 Assists from his first 24 Matches in all competitions this season.

Salah has scored 11 of those goals and recorded 7 of those assists in Premier League appearances.

Burnley v Liverpool Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Burnley 0-3 Liverpool

This will be a difficult game for Burnley although they’ve shown signs of improvement under Kompany in recent weeks. They will do well to stay in touch with Liverpool here for as long as possible.

Nothing short of a win here will be good enough for Klopp's Liverpool, and I expect them to run out comfortable winners and continue their title charge.

Best Bet: Liverpool -1 @ EVS

Click Below For Our LIVE Burnley v Liverpool Odds

*Prices subject to fluctuation

Remember, always gamble responsibly. Here’s our Safer Gambling Guide.